Insights from the FY08 Strategic Planning Effort

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Insights from the FY08 Strategic Planning Effort

• 25 Aug 05

Lt Col Myland Pride AFSPC/XPXP
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Overview

• Purpose
• Planning Process Overview
• FY06 Planning Results
• FY08 Analysis Results
• Summary/What We Need from Industry

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Purpose

• Provide information and insights into AFSPCs
  Integrated Planning Effort
• Identify previous planning results
• Provide insight and trends from current analysis
• Let you know where we need help

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Why We Cant Share Everything

• There are many unknowns
• Fiscal Year 2007 Out-of-Cycle Program Objective
  Memorandum (FY07 APOM)
• Base Re-alignment And Closure (BRAC)
• Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR)
• Higher level direction in development
• National Security Space Plan (NSSP)

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Overview

• Purpose
• Planning Process Overview
• FY06 Planning Results
• FY08 Analysis Results
• Summary/What We Need from Industry

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AFSPC Integrated Planning Process (1 of 2)
National Guidance
DoD/Joint Guidance
Air Force Guidance
AF CONOPs
CC Strategic Planning Guidance
CRRA
Functional Concepts
Capabilities Planning Process
Strategic Master Plan MAPs/MSP/CSP
Joint Capability Integration Development
System
Defense Acquisition System
ST Community
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AFSPC Integrated Planning Process (2 of 2)

• Define AFSPC capabilities (MAA)
• Identify all AFSPC capabilities
• Rate our ability to do the missions (MNA)
• Identify shortfalls to meet capabilities
• Ask for options and solutions to fix shortfalls
  (MSA)
• Identify options for current systems and future
  programs
• Identify investment options (IIA)
• Create a force mix that provides the best value
  capability coverage for the resources available

Ultimate Goal Best Bang for the Buck
Investment Strategy
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Mission Area Teams

• AFSPC planning is supported through five mission
  area teams
• Space Force Enhancement - provides combat support
  operations to improve the effectiveness of land,
  sea, space, air, and special operations forces
• Military Satellite Communications (MILSATCOM),
  Terrestrial and Space Weather, Intelligence,
  Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR),
  Positioning / Navigation / Timing (PNT), Command
  and Control (C2) for NORAD and USSTRATCOM
  missions, supporting all combatant commanders
• Space Force Application - provides deterrence and
  prompt global strike to the warfighter
  from/through space
• Nuclear and Non-nuclear Deterrence/Strike
• Space Support - is comprised of Spacelift and
  Satellite Operations
• Spacelift Vehicles and Spacelift Ranges
• Counterspace - operations consist of those
  operations conducted to attain and maintain a
  desired degree of space superiority by allowing
  friendly forces to exploit space capabilities
  while negating an adversarys ability to do the
  same
• Space Situation Awareness, Defensive Counterspace
  and Offensive Counterspace
• Mission Support - provides the basic
  infrastructure and support spanning all areas

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Overview

• Purpose
• Planning Process Overview
• FY06 Planning Results
• FY08 Analysis Results
• Summary/What We Need from Industry

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FY06 IIA Results First Case

• Maximum capability - What the Command Wants
  When We Want it

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FY06 IIA Results Second Case

• Optimize Coverage, Stay within TOA, FYDP
  Untouched

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FY06 IIA Results Third Case

• Maximize capabilities limited overspending
  satisfy more timing objectives

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Overview

• Purpose
• Planning Process Overview
• FY06 Planning Results
• FY08 Analysis Results
• Summary/What We Need from Industry

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FY08 Command Focus Capabilities Priorities
Near-term (FY08 13)
Mid-term (FY14 19)
Far-term (FY20 - 27)

• 1. Provide Global Satellite Communications
• 2. Provide PNT
• 3. Conduct Responsive Launch
• 4. Non-Nuclear Deterrence/Strike
• 5. Conduct Space SR
• 6. Provide Defensive Counterspace
• 7. Conduct Missile Warning SR
• 8. Space Command and Control
• 9. Nuclear Deterrence/Strike
• 10. Conduct Conventional SR
• 11. Provide Space Traffic Control
• 12. Negate Space Targets/Threats
• 13. Intelligence
• 14. Conduct Chemical, Biological, Radiological,
  Nuclear, and High Explosive SR
• 15. Collect and Disseminate Environmental
  Monitoring Data
• Conduct Routine Launch
• 17. Blue Force Situation Awareness
• 18. Operate Space Assets
• 19. Counterair/Missile Defense

• 1. Provide Global Satellite Communications
• 2. Provide PNT
• 3. Nuclear Deterrence/Strike
• 4. Conduct Missile Warning SR
• 5. Non-nuclear Deterrence/Strike
• 6. Conduct Responsive Launch
• 7. Conduct Space SR
• 8. Conduct Routine Launch
• 9. Space Command and Control
• 10. Conduct Conventional SR
• 11. Conduct Chemical, Biological, Radiological,
  Nuclear, and High Explosive SR
• 12. Provide Space Traffic Control
• 13. Provide Defensive Counterspace
• 14. Intelligence
• 15. Negate Space Targets/Threats
• Operate Space Assets
• 17. Collect and Disseminate Environmental
  Monitoring Data
• 18. Blue Force Situation Awareness
• 19. Counterair/Missile Defense

• 1. Provide PNT
• 2. Provide Global Satellite Communications
• 3. Nuclear Deterrence/Strike
• 4. Conduct Missile Warning SR
• 5. Conduct Space SR
• 6. Conduct Routine Launch
• 7. Space Command and Control
• 8. Conduct Conventional SR
• 9. Conduct Chemical, Biological, Radiological,
  Nuclear, and High Explosive SR
• 10. Operate Space Assets
• 11. Conduct Responsive Launch
• 12. Intelligence
• 13. Provide Space Traffic Control
• 14. Provide Defensive Counterspace
• 15. Collect and Disseminate Environmental
  Monitoring Data
• Non-Nuclear Deterrence/Strike
• 17. Negate Space Targets/Threats
• 18. Conduct Space Launch Warning SR
• 19. Conduct Science and Technology SR

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FY08 Investment Vignettes

• Warfighter Requirements
• Maximizes performance
• Planning Force
• Allows for moderate growth over a constrained
  Total Obligation Authority

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FY08 IIA ResultsWarfighter Requirements
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Warfighter RequirementsCapability Assessment

• Space Radar (SR) 10-satellite constellation
• Transformational Satellite 7-satellite
  constellation
• Communications (TSAT)
• Space-Based Infra-Red System (SBIRS)
  Geosynchronous Orbit Highly Elliptical Orbit
  constellation
• Global Positioning System (GPSIII) 24-satellite
  constellation
• National Environmental Monitoring 3-satellite
  constellation
• Satellite System (NEMSS)
• Space Environmental Effects Monitoring Block 1,
  Block 2, Block 3
• System (SEEMS)
• Land-Based Strategic Deterrence (LBSD) 4
  increments/500 Sorties
• Common Aero-Vehicle (CAV) 32 CAVs
• Common Vertical Lift Support 28 Helicopters
• Platform (CVLSP)
• Affordable REsponsive Spacelift (ARES) Medium and
  Heavy Launchers
• Responsive Satellites Hyper-Spectral Imager,
  Communications,
• Global Positioning System-Augmentation,
• Environmental Monitoring, and
• Blue Force Situational Awareness

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FY08 IIA ResultsPlanning Force
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Planning Force Capability Assessment

• To contain cost under this option, tremendous
  pressure is placed on our transformational
  capabilities since they are resource intensive
  programs
• Transformational Satellite Communications,
  Land-Based Strategic Deterrence, and Space Radar
• Continue to provide sustainment and some
  improvement for critical capabilities
• Space-Based Infra-Red Satellite, Global
  Positioning System, National Polar-Orbiting
  Environmental Satellite System
• Other programs are pursued to provide additional
  capabilities however, some later than expected
• Space Environmental Effects Monitoring System,
  Common Aero Vehicle, Common Vertical Lift Support
  Platform, Affordable Responsive Spacelift, and
  some responsive satellites

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Overview

• Purpose
• Planning Process Overview
• FY06 Planning Results
• FY08 Analysis Results
• Summary/What We Need from Industry

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Help from Industry

• AFSPC Planning Force is the Optimized Force mix
  based on a limited top line
• Success of the process is dependant on having
  viable affordable concepts to run through the
  investment models
• What we need from Industry
• Concepts that allow viable tradeoffs within each
  capability
• Full spectrum of capability/cost options
• Cost estimates that provide realistic cost
  projections for capability received

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Areas For Industry Focus

• The following Capabilities do not have viable
  (reasonable cost/performance) concepts
• Detect chemical/biological agents from space
  (Priority 14 of 23)
• Conduct Air/Missile Defense (Priority 19 of 23)
• On orbit support (Priority 20 of 23)
• Details on these capabilities are published in
  the AFSPC Strategic Master Plan

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Additional Forums

• Space Science and Technology forums strengthen
  our tie to industry
• Allows industry to understand the challenges
  faced by AFSPC and identify areas needing
  investment
• SPACE IRAD Conference
• Run by AFRL/XPS, Mr Al Livada, Phone
  (656)-255-0741
• Industry Days
• Run by SMC/TD, Lt Col Casipit, Phone
  (310)-363-2584