Measuring PostSecondary Access and Outcomes of Recent High School Graduates with Disabilities

1
Measuring Post-Secondary Access and Outcomes of
Recent High School Graduates with Disabilities

• Prepared by
• Paul E. Harrington
• Center for Labor Market Studies
• Northeastern University

CENTER FOR LABOR MARKET STUDIES Northeastern
University
2
Origins of This Research

• Institute for Human Centered Design concerns that
  there was little understanding of the nature of
  post-secondary outcomes of high school graduates
  with disabilities
• Little longitudinal research on outcomes for high
  school graduates
• National Longitudinal Survey
• High School and Beyond Study provide only limited
  insights into students with disabilities
• National Longitudinal Transition Study of the
  National Center for Special Education Research
• Only tracks outcomes for students with disability

3
Project Overview

• Pilot longitudinal study designed to measure
  student access to post-secondary institution
  after graduating from high school for both
• Special education student
• All other students
• Current study examines
• Initial college enrollment
• One year college retention
• Future studies will examine
• College dropout behavior
• College graduation outcomes

4
Data Sources

• High School Information Total of 25 cooperating
  high schools provided information on graduation
  seniors
• Demographic characteristics
• Low income measure
• School behavior measure
• Disability Status and Characteristics

5
Data Sources (cont.)

• National Student Clearinghouse Centralized data
  on post-secondary enrollment organized for
  student loan verification
• Based on semester/term reports submitted by
  nations colleges and universities
• Covers about 92 of undergraduate enrollment in
  the nation
• Provides measures of
• Initial enrollment
• Retention
• Transfer
• Graduation

6
Creating the Longitudinal Data Base

• CLMS working with high schools and NSC creates a
  longitudinal record for each graduate
• Record connects high school background
  information with post-secondary enrollment
  history on a term by term basis
• Permits tracking of individual students from a
  given high school into college
• Tracks students into particular post-secondary
  institutions
• Tracks students as they transfer on a school by
  school basis

7
Analysis

• Quasi-experimental design
• Natural experiment composed of participant group
  of graduates with disabilities
• Control group of all other students
• Data can be used for both longitudinal and
  cross-sectional analysis
• Today we will present
• Descriptive finding
• Multivariate findings on the impact of disability
  on the likelihood of college enrollment or
• Likelihood of one year college retention

8
The Gender Composition of High School Graduates
from 7 Vocational Technical High Schools by
Vocational-Technical Educational Program, Classes
of 2004, 2005, 2006
9
The Gender and Race-Ethnicity Characteristics,
Native English Speaking Status, and School Lunch
Eligibility of High School Graduates from 7
Vocational Technical High Schools, Classes of
2004, 2005, 2006
10
The Gender and Race-Ethnicity Characteristics,
Native English Speaking Status, and School Lunch
Eligibility of High School Graduates from 9
Comprehensive High Schools
11
Special Education Status High School Graduates
from 7 Vocational Technical High Schools,
Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
12
Special Education Status High School Graduates
from 9 Comprehensive High Schools
13
Post-Graduation Plans of High School Graduates
from 7 Vocational Technical High Schools,
Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
14
Post-Graduation Plans of High School Graduates
from 7 Vocational Technical High Schools,
Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
15
Post-Graduation Plans of High School Graduates
from 9 Comprehensive High Schools
16
College Enrollment Rates of High School Graduates
from Seven Vocational Technical High Schools, by
Gender, Race-Ethnicity, and Native English
Speaking Status, Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
17
College Enrollment Rates at 9 Comprehensive High
Schools (Ever Enrolled) by Selected
Characteristics

100.0
89.4
90.0
80.5
80.3
80.2
79.8
77.7
74.6
74.7
80.0
69.0
70.0
60.5
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
All
Female
Male
American
Asian or
Black
White
Hispanic
Native
Speak
students
Indian or
Pacific
English
other
Alaskan
Islander
Speaker
language
Native
at home
18
College Enrollment Rates of High School Graduates
from Seven Vocational Technical High Schools, by
Low Income Status, Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
19
(No Transcript)
20
College Enrollment Rates of High School Graduates
from Seven Vocational Technical High Schools, by
Special Education Status, Classes of 2004, 2005,
2006
21
(No Transcript)
22
College Enrollment Rates of High School Graduates
from Seven Vocational Technical High Schools, by
Vocational Technical Educational Program, Classes
of 2004, 2005, 2006
23
College Enrollment Rates of High School Graduates
from Seven Vocational Technical High Schools, by
Their Post-Graduation Plans, Classes of 2004,
2005, 2006
24
(No Transcript)
25
Percentage Distribution of High School Graduates
from Seven Vocational Technical High Schools Who
Had Enrolled in College, by Type and Sector of
College Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
All
Without Disabilities
With Disabilities
26
Continued
Full Inclusion
Partial Inclusion
27
Percentage Distribution of High School Graduates
from 9 Comprehensive High Schools Who Had
Enrolled in College, by Type and Sector of
College
28
Percentage Distribution of High School Graduates
from 9 Comprehensive High Schools Who Had
Enrolled in College, by Type and Sector of
College
29
One Year System Retention Rate,Graduates from 9
Comprehensive High Schools, by Selected Student
Characteristics
30
One Year System Retention Rate,Graduates from 9
Comprehensive High Schools, by Family Income
Status
31
One Year System Retention Rate,Graduates from 9
Comprehensive High Schools, by Post High School
Plans
32
One Year System Retention Rate,Graduates from 9
Comprehensive High Schools, by Disability Status
33
One Year System Retention Rate,Graduates from 9
Comprehensive High Schools, by Disability Status
and Type and Level of School of Initial Enrollment
34
Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of
the Probability of College Attendance Among High
School Graduates from Seven Vocational Technical
High Schools,Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
35
Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of
the Probability of College Attendance Among High
School Graduates from Seven Vocational Technical
High Schools,Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
(Cont.)
36
Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of
the Probability of College Attendance Among High
School Graduates Enrollment Model 1
37
Enrollment Model 1 Continued (additional
variables)
38
Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of
the Probability of College Attendance Among High
School Graduates Enrollment Model 2
39
Enrollment Model 2 Continued (additional
variables)
40
Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of
the Probability of College Attendance Among High
School Graduates Enrollment Model 3
41
Enrollment Model 3 Continued (additional
variables)
42
One Year College Retention Rates Among
College-Enrolled High School Graduates from
Seven Vocational Technical High Schools, by
Gender and Race-Ethnicity, Classes of 2004, 2005,
2006
43
One Year Retention Rates Among College-Enrolled
High School Graduates from Seven Vocational
Technical High Schools, by Low Income Status,
Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
44
One Year Retention Rates Among College-Enrolled
High School Graduates from Seven Vocational
Technical High Schools, by Disability Status in
High School, Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
45
A Summary of the Pathway from High School
Graduation to the Second Year in College Among
High School Graduates from Seven Vocational
Technical High Schools, by Disability Status in
High School, Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
46
Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of
the Probability of One-Year College Retention
Rate Among College Enrolled High School Graduates
from Seven Vocational Technical High Schools,
Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006
47
Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of
the Probability of One-Year College Retention
Rate Among College Enrolled High School
Graduates Retention Model 1
48
Retention Model 1 Continued (additional variables)
49
Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of
the Probability of One-Year College Retention
Rate Among College Enrolled High School
Graduates Retention Model 2
50
Enrollment Model 2 Continued (additional
variables)
51
Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of
the Probability of One-Year College Retention
Rate Among College Enrolled High School
Graduates Retention Model 3
52
Enrollment Model 3Enrollment Model 1 Continued
(additional variables) Continued (additional
variables)
53
A Summary of the Pathway from High School
Graduation to the Second Year in College Among
High School Graduates from Nine Comprehensive
High Schools, by Disability Status in High
School, Classes of 2004, 2005, 2006 2007
Total graduates
13090
With disabilities
Without Disabilities
1148, 8.7
11903, 90.9
Partial Inclusion
Full Inclusion
681, 59.3
467,40.6
College Enrolled
College Enrolled
College enrolled
312,66.8
362,53.1
9482,79.7
One year retention
One year retention
One year retention
173,47.7
195,62.5
6542, 69.0