Title: Fixed Income Securities
1Fixed Income Securities and their Derivatives
2Bond Price Volatility
3Price/Yield Relationship
- Recall that for option-free bonds the
relationship between price and yield to maturity
is given by
4The Price/Yield Relationship
Inverse relationship (downward sloping)
Nonlinear convex
5Bond Price Volatility
- Describes how much a bonds price changes(usually
in percentage terms) when yield to maturity
changes. - Bond price volatility varies from bond to bond
6Bond Price Volatility
- For small changes in yield, the percentage price
change up or down occasioned by a decrease or
increase in yield is about the same in absolute
value.
7Bond Price Volatility
- For bigger changes in yield, a decrease in yield
causes a bigger (absolute) change in price than
does an increase in yield.
8Bond Price Volatility
- Term effect
- For given coupon and initial yield to maturity,
bond price volatility is greater the greater is
the bonds term to maturity.
9Bond Price Volatility
- Coupon effect
- For given term and initial yield to maturity,
bond price volatility is greater the lower is the
bonds coupon.
10Bond Price Volatility
- Yield to maturity effect
- For given coupon and term to maturity, bond price
volatility is greater the lower the yield to
maturity.
11Measures of Price Volatility
- Price value of a basis point (P01)
- The price value of a basis point is the
(absolute) dollar price change caused by a 1
basis point change in yield to maturity
12Measures of Price Volatility
- Yield value of 1/32
- The yield value of 1/32 is the (absolute) yield
change caused by a 1/32 change in bonds (clean)
price
13Measures of Price Volatility
- The price value of an 01 and the yield value of a
32nd are related approximately by
14Measures of Price Volatility
- The price value of an 01 is a discrete measure of
the change in price associated with a change in
yield
Here the change in y is a discrete (.01) change.
15Measures of Price Volatility
- The slope of the price/yield curve at any point
is a continuous measure of the change in price
associated with a change in yield
Here the change in y is an infinitesimal change.
16Measures of Price Volatility
- The proportionate price change associated with an
infinitesimal change in yield is
17Measures of Price Volatility
- The negative of this proportionate change is
called the modified duration of a bond
The minus sign is needed to make modified
duration a positive number. Can you see why?
18Measures of Price Volatility
In this case, duration is measured in half-years.
To get modified duration in years, divide this
figure by two.
19Measures of Price Volatility
- Macaulay duration, or just plain duration, is
(for semiannual pay bonds)
To get duration in years, divide D by two. Or
you can multiply modified duration measured in
years by (1y).
20Measures of Price Volatility
- Market participants often refer to dollar
duration, which is defined as modified duration
times a bonds price. - Dollar duration is useful for approximating the
price change associated with a given change in
yield
21Calculating Duration
- Use MSExcel functions DURATION and MDURATION
- Note mistake in Excels description
- Use formula for modified duration
22Properties of Duration
- The duration of a zero coupon bond is equal to
the maturity of the bond. - For bonds having the same maturity and priced at
the same yield, duration varies inversely with
coupon. - Even though it is dimensioned in time units,
duration is not a measure of time. It is a
measure of bond price volatility.
23Duration
- Duration is useful for estimating how much a
bonds price will change if yield changes by a
small amount. - However, if you just use duration you will
- Underestimate the increase in price when yield
decreases, and - Overestimate the decrease in price when yield
increases. - Reason convexity
24Convexity
Duration is not constant It increases as yield
to maturity decreases
25Convexity
- Formally, convexity refers to the second order
term in the Taylor series expansion of the price
equation
This term is called dollar convexity
26Properties of Convexity
- For a given bond, convexity increases as yield to
maturity decreases. - Comparing two bonds with the same yield to
maturity and term, the one with the lower coupon
has higher convexity. - Comparing two bonds with the same yield to
maturity and modified duration, the one with the
lower coupon has the lower convexity.
27Applications
- Immunization example
- Problem set
28Review
- Key properties of the price/yield relationship
- Several measures of price volatility
- Three measures of duration
- Properties of duration
- Two measures of convexity
- Properties of convexity
29Next
30Term Structure