30 May 8008

1
Situation OverviewTajikistan
2
Flash Appeal Funding Levels
3
Snow, Rain and Floods

• Less snow at higher elevations
• Low rainfall in March and April.
• Low flows in some rivers
• Possible drought conditions
• Impact on human H20 supply unclear
• Risk of flooding remains
• Critical period Now to Spring 09

4
The Coming Winter

• Expect 08-09 energy as in 07-08.
• Can store sufficient water in Nurek in low-flow
  year, but need good management
• GoTR Winter Plan Infrastructure repair
  upgrades, Funding, Strategic storage
• Limed Humanitarian Community involvement
• Options Conservation, Preparedness
• Critical period November - February

5
Food Security

• Locusts stable
• 0.5 million severely food insecure 1.1 million
  moderately food insecure.
• Problems moderated by harvest and remittances,
  may worsen.
• Unclear
• Regional and international dynamics
• World Bank funding, Donor Plans
• Additional assessments planned.
• Re ponse Now to April 09.

6
HoC Question?

• Do we agree with the broad analysis?
• How do we view the social context?
• What should we do about it?
• And if we believe something should be done
• How should we do it?
• Planning and Funding
• Management
• Coordination, Information, Monitoring, Evaluation)