Title: THE DESERTEC CONCEPT
1THE DESERTEC CONCEPT
Clean power from deserts
Probably the single most effective means of
cutting worldwide emissions of CO2
- Dr Gerry Wolff
- Coordinator of Desertec-UK
2THE DESERTEC CONCEPT BACKGROUND
- Developed by the 'TREC' international network
of scientists and engineers, an initiative of the
Club of Rome. - Now promoted by the Desertec Foundation and the
Desertec Industrial Initiative. - Underpinned by detailed research at the German
Aerospace Centre (DLR), the US DoE, and
elsewhere. - Uses proven technologies that are available
now. - The Desertec concept is taking shape now.
3THE DESERTEC CONCEPT IN BRIEF
- Colossal amounts of clean electricity may be
generated in deserts using 'concentrating solar
power' (CSP)-and wind power and photovoltaics
(PV). - Efficient 'transfers' and transmission of solar
electricity over long distances via low-loss
HVDC transmission lines. - Spin-off benefits including desalination of sea
water using waste heat from power generation.
4DESERTEC IS HAPPENING NOW
- CSP plants are already feeding electricity into
the European transmission grid. - The Desertec Industrial Initiative is a
consortium of blue-chip companies (including
ABB, Deutsche Bank, E.ON, Munich Re, RWE, and
Siemens) aiming to build CSP plants and develop
the HVDC supergrid. - New CSP plants are under construction in Spain,
Morocco, Algeria, Egypt, Israel, and other parts
of the world. - More are planned by the Union for the
Mediterranean ('Mediterranean Solar Plan') and
the World Bank. - Several HVDC transmission lines are already in
place. Imera and others plan to build more. The
EC is providing funds for the supergrid. - About 9 to 14 GW of CSP capacity is in the
pipeline worldwide (World Bank and EER estimates).
5PS10 and PS20 power towers in Spain
6Parabolic trough CSP plant, Kramer Junction,
California
7Fresnel mirror systems
8HOW CSP WORKS
9Dish/engine systems in New Mexico
10CPV systems, Australia
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12GENERATING ELECTRICITY WITHOUT THE SUN
- Solar heat may be stored in melted salts so
that the generation of electricity may continue
at night or on cloudy days. - Gas or biofuels may be used as a stop-gap
source of heat when there is no sun. - With those two things, CSP plants can provide
power on demandvery useful in matching
supplies to constantly-varying demands.
13HEAT STORAGE TANKS
14TRANSMISSION START WITH THE EXISTING GRID
15A TRANSMISSION GRID IS LIKE A LAKE
Water (electricity) may be 'transferred' over a
long distance without actual transmission.
Solar power fed into southern Europe can be an
immediate benefit for countries further north.
16TRANSMISSION SUBMARINE SUPERGRID
- Low-loss submarine HVDC supergrids proposed by
MRP (A) and Airtricity (B). - Endorsed by EU Energy Commissioner, Günther
Oettinger and former Energy Commissioner, Andris
Piebalgs. The EC is providing support for the
supergrid. - Some submarine HVDC cables are already in
place. - Investment company Imera has announced a 4.4
billion plan to develop "EuropaGrid North Sea"
and "EuropaGrid Atlantic".
17TRANSMISSION DESERTEC SCHEMATIC
18BENEFITS OF AN HVDC SUPERGRID
- Security of supply a shortfall in any one area
can normally be met from elsewhere. - Reduces wastage surplus power in any one area
may be moved to where it is needed. - Smoothes out variations the wind is always
blowing somewhere across a large area like
EUMENA. - Access to offshore wind farms, waves farms,
etcand CSP! - Needed for a single market for electricity
(promoting competition between suppliers). - Good for UK exports of renewable energy.
19WORDWIDE POTENTIAL OF THE DESERTEC CONCEPT
- With CSP, less than 1 of the world's deserts
could produce as much electricity as the world is
using now. - Less than 5 of the world's deserts could
produce electricity equivalent to the world's
total energy consumption. - Using low-loss HVDC transmission lines, it is
feasible and economic to transmit electricity for
3000 km or more. - 90 of the worlds people live within 2700 km
of a desert.
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21HUGE QUANTITIES OF CLEAN ENERGY IN DESERTS
World the area of desert needed to generate
(with CSP) as much electricity as the world is
using now. EU and MENA corresponding areas for
Europe and for the Middle East with North Africa.
22ENERGY DENSITIES
23DESERTEC SPIN-OFFS
- Waste heat from the generation of solar
electricity may be used for the desalination of
sea water. - The shaded areas under solar collectors are
protected against the harshness of direct
tropical sunlight. They have many potential uses
including horticulture using desalinated sea
water.
24WASTE HEAT FROM CSP MAY BE USED FOR DESALINATION
OF SEA WATER
25CSP PROTECTION FROM THE SUN
Shaded areas under solar mirrors have many
potential uses including horticulture using
desalinated sea water. Land that would otherwise
be unproductive may be used for growing food.
26CSP COOLING BY SHADING
Solar collectors provide shade Waste heat
may be used to drive air conditioners.
The system generates electricity
27POWER FOR INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
- In principle, heat or electricity from CSP
plants, or both, may be used to power industrial
processes - Synthesis of hydrocarbons from CO2 and H2O.
- Synthesis of hydrogen by electrolysis of water
or direct thermal cracking of water. - Production and processing of steel, aluminium,
etc. (Hydrogen as a reducing agent?) - Glass making.
- Etc.
28FURTHER INFORMATION
www.desertec.org
29CSP COSTS (1)
30CSP COSTS (2)
- German Aerospace Centre (DLR) CSP is likely to
become one of the cheapest sources of electricity
in Europe, including the cost of transmission. - Vinod Khosla "... we are poised for breakaway
growthfor explosive growthnot because we are
cleaner than "clean" coal-fired electricity but
because we are cheaper. We happen to be cleaner
incidentally." - CSP costs are falling while the cost of
traditional sources of energy are rising.
31HOLDING DOWN COSTS
32SUPERGRID COSTS
- The estimated cost of a EUMENA-wide Supergrid
- 45bn for 100 GW (20 x 5 GW).
- 5bn for 10 GW (2 x 5 GW) between North Africa
and the UK. - Divided amongst 30 countries and spread over
10 years, average annual cost per country would
be 150 million or less. - For comparison
- 132.5bn (90bn) is Gordon Brown's estimate of
the cost of cleaning up the UK's nuclear legacy. - 7.5bn (5.1bn) is the estimated cost of adding
a new lane to the M1 motorway. - 166bn (US235bn) is the annual subsidy
worldwide to fossil fuel industries (New
Economics Foundation, 2004).
33WORLDWIDE POTENTIAL OF RENEWABLES
- Renewable energy technologies can provide 100
percent of the worlds energy (not just
electricity) and it is technically feasible to
make the transition by 2030. See A path to
sustainable energy by 2030 by Mark Z. Jacobson
and Mark A. Delucchi in the November 2009 issue
of Scientific American. - Using renewables, total world demand for power
in 2030 would be 11.5 terawatts compared with
16.9 terawatts with conventional sources of
energy. - In the JD scenario, wind supplies 51 percent of
the demand worldwide, provided by 3.8 million
large wind turbines. For comparison, the world
manufactures 73 million cars and light trucks
every year.
34WIND POWER 1
- A network of land-based 2.5-megawatt (MW)
turbines restricted to nonforested, ice-free,
nonurban areas operating at as little as 20 of
their rated capacity could supply more than 40
times current worldwide consumption of
electricity and more than 5 times total global
use of energy in all forms. There is additional
potential in offshore wind farms. See Global
potential for wind-generated electricity, Xi
Lua, Michael B. McElroya, and Juha Kiviluomac,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
of the United States of America, June 22, 2009.
35WIND POWER 2
- The "economically competitive potential" of wind
power in Europe is 3 times projected demand for
electricity in 2020 and 7 times projected demand
in 2030. Offshore wind power alone could meet
between 60 and 70 of projected demand for
electricity in 2020 and about 80 of projected
demand in 2030. See Europe's onshore and
offshore wind energy potential, European
Environment Agency, 2009.
36MATCHING VARIABLE DEMANDS WITH VARIABLE SUPPLIES
- The variability of sources such as wind power
is much less of an issue than is sometimes
suggested. See Managing Variability by
independent consultant David Milborrow, July
2009. - Electricity transmission networks in the UK are
already designed to cope with unscheduled outages
of power stations and variations in consumer
demand. - For a small additional cost, wind power could
provide up to 40 of the UK's electricityand
more is possible. - There is a range of techniques for matching
variable demands with variable supplies.
37SECURITY OF ENERGY SUPPLIES
- The TRANS-CSP scenario provides greater
security of electricity supplies than current
systems - Less imported energy. CSP imports would be the
exception (lt 15 of European electricity
supplies). - Greater diversity of sources of electricity.
CSP adds to that diversity. - Plentiful supplies of clean electricity means
greater energy security for everyone. - Supergrid allows shortfalls in any area to be
met from elsewhere. - CSP plants are hard to disrupt and easy to
repair. - The transmission grid can be designed (like the
internet) to be resilient in the face of damage
or attack. - There would be a buyers' market for solar
electricity. It would be difficult to create a
solar cartel and any such cartel would probably
be self-defeating.
38ENDORSEMENTS (1)
- At the inaugural meeting of the Union for the
Mediterranean in July 2008, Prime Minister Gordon
Brown said - ... in the Mediterranean region, concentrated
solar power offers the prospect of an abundant
low carbon energy source. Indeed, just as
Britain's North Sea could be the Gulf of the
future for offshore wind, so those sunnier
countries represented here could become a vital
source of future global energy by harnessing the
power of the sun. So I am delighted that the EU
is committing at this summit to work with its
neighboursincluding Egypt, Jordan, Morocco and
the League of Arab Statesto explore the
development of a new 'Mediterranean Solar Plan'
for the development and deployment of this vital
technology from the Sahara northwards.
39ENDORSEMENTS (2)
- 173 MPs have signed Early Day Motion 123 in
support of the DESERTEC concept (rank 39 out of
2109 EDMs). - The German government has formally endorsed the
DESERTEC concept. - The Dutch House of Representatives has voted
134 to 16 in favour of the DESERTEC concept. - H.E Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, the President of
the Republic of Tunisia, has endorsed the
concept. - Prince Hassan bin Talal of Jordan is a strong
supporter of the concept. - In the EUMENA region, CSP plants are being
built in Spain, Italy, Morocco, Algeria, Egypt,
and Israel. - Other endorsements Al Gore, Google Inc, Vinod
Khosla, Hans-Gert Pöttering, The Climate Group,
Forum for the Future,
40WHAT GOVERNMENTS CAN DO
- Remove overt and hidden subsidies for
established sources of power. - Ensure that a proper price is paid for the
environmental cost of CO2 emissions. - Create an appropriate international system of
incentives. - Create a single market for electricity
throughout Europe (good) or EUMENA (better). - Upgrade existing transmission grids and develop
a EUMENA-wide HVDC supergrid.
41THE DLR REPORTS (2005-2007)
- The MED-CSP, TRANS-CSP and AQUA-CSP
reports produced by the German Aerospace Center
(DLR). - They are the foundation of the Desertec
concept. - Show in detail, country by country, how Europe,
the Middle East and North Africa (EUMENA) can - meet all needs for electricity.
- make deep cuts in CO2 emissions.
- phase out nuclear power at the same time.
- Concentrating solar power (CSP) as one of
several renewable sources of energy throughout
EUMENA.
42MINIMISING THE USE OF FRESH WATER
- Steam generation
- Water is recycled. Avoid leaks.
- Use dish/engine systems or CPV.
- Cooling
- Use dry cooling (best with power towers). Small
loss of efficiency. - Use dish/engine systems or CPV.
- Use sea water for cooling.
- Cleaning mirrors
- Brushes.
- Damp cloths or sponges.
- Self-cleaning glass.
43SOME MOTIVATIONS
- UK businesses and householders will welcome the
opportunity to buy inexpensive clean power from
deserts. - DESERTEC is a bold plan that is likely to be
popular with voters. - CSP costs are falling while the costs of fossil
fuels and nuclear power are rising. - Global security plentiful cheap power
increases energy security for everyone. - The technologies are all proven and available
now. - CSP plants are quick to build.
- Many opportunities for UK plc.
- DESERTEC can help meet targets for renewable
energy and cuts in CO2 emissions.
44DESERTEC BENEFITS
- Plentiful, inexhaustible, inexpensive and
carbon-free power for EUMENAand corresponding
cuts in CO2 emissions (mitigation). - Alleviation of climate-change-induced shortages
of water, food and usable land (adaptation). - Jobs and earnings in large new industries
throughout EUMENA. Large commercial opportunities
for UK plc. - Global security
- By alleviating shortages of energy, water, food
and usable land, CSP can reduce the risk of
conflict over those resources. (cf Margaret
Becketts speeches). - A win-win solar collaboration amongst countries
of EUMENA can help to improve relations amongst
different groups of people. (cf Nicolas Sarkozys
call for a new trans-Mediterranean partnership).
45BENEFITS FOR THE UK
- With or without electricity imports into the
UK - Cutting worldwide emissions of CO2 (we are all
at risk). - Plentiful supplies of clean energy means, and
increased diversity of supplies, means increased
energy security for everyone. - Holding down the price of electricity
throughout EUMENA. - Raising living standards in developing
countries and reducing tensions from poverty and
immigration. - Business opportunities and jobs for "UK plc".
- Imports of electricity into the UK
- Physical and/or virtual imports of clean
electricity. - Kyoto credits and/or EU renewable energy
credits.
46SUGGESTED NEXT STEPS FOR THE UK GOVERNMENT
- Recognise the importance of the DESERTEC
concept in cutting worldwide emissions of CO2. - Incorporate the DESERTEC concept in the UK's
strategy for renewable energy. - Establish a DESERTEC team within DECC to
promote DESERTEC developments. - Work with the UKs international partners to
make the necessary reforms in laws and
regulations.
47Parabolic trough CSP plant, Kramer
Junction, California
48A dish-engine system
49Solar Two power tower, Barstow, California
50Parabolic trough collector, Albuquerque
51Sunset over solar collectors
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53DESERTEC AND STEEL
- Solar electricity may serve as a clean source
of power for steel making. - Solar heat may, in principle, be used for steel
making R D required. - CSP-generated hydrogen may be used as a
reducing agent in steel making R D required - CSP plants and HVDC transmission lines will
need lots of steel. - DESERTEC projects may qualify for CDM or other
credits.
54REDUCING UK DEMANDS FROM ENERGY-INTENSIVE
APPLICATIONS, eg computer data centres
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57HVDC SUPERGRID FEATURES
- HVDC grids are highly-efficient losses are
only about 3 per 1000 km. - Electricity may be transmitted between North
Africa and London with less than 10 loss of
power. - It is feasible and economic to transmit solar
electricity for 3000 km or more. - 90 of the worlds population lives within 2700
km of a desert. - HVDC grids do not replace existing HVAC grids,
they complement them.
58ASSESSING CSP COSTS AND BENEFITS
- Potential benefits include desalination of sea
water and CSP horticulture. - Fossil fuels are still heavily subsidised in
many countries this has to stop. - Fossil fuels are still not paying a proper
price for CO2 emissions this has to stop. - Costs widely quoted for nuclear power are far
too low and do not take account of several hidden
subsidies. - Feed-in tariffs or other kinds of support for
renewable forms of energy are already available
in many countries. - Most CSP plants are hybrids the fossil part
is cheap to build but expensive to run the solar
part is more expensive to build but cheaper to
run.
59TRANS-CSP SCENARIO
60SARGENT LUNDY 2003
61SARGENT LUNDY 2005
62JOBS AND EARNINGS
- Design and manufacture of CSP plants
- Boilers, steam turbines, generators etc (same
as ordinary power station). - Solar collectors and heat stores.
- Building CSP plants using manufactured
components (in the sun belt). - Management and maintenance of CSP plants (in
the sun belt). - Design and manufacture of HVDC transmission
lines and associated equipment. - Installation and maintenance of HVDC
transmission lines (throughout EUMENA).
63GLOBAL SECURITY
- By alleviating shortages of energy, water, food
and usable land, CSP can reduce the risk of
conflict over those resources. - A win-win solar collaboration amongst countries
of Europe, the Middle East and North Africa can
help to improve relations amongst different
groups of people.
64SECURITY OF TRANSMISSION
- HVDC Supergrid
- Improves security a shortfall in any one area
can normally be met from one or more other areas. - Can be designed to accommodate damage (like the
internet). - Airtricity propose laying HVDC cables under the
sea.
65EACH YEARS DELAY MEANS STEEPER CUTS IN CO2
EMISSIONS
200
S curve from 2012
180
9 p.a. reduction
160
140
120
Carbon emissions (MtC)
100
Cumulative CO2 emissions
80
60
40
20
0
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Year
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69DESERT POWER FOR THE UK?
70TOO FAR?
- With low-loss HVDC transmission lines, it is
feasible and economic to transmit electricity up
to 3000 km or more. - There may be less than 10 loss of power over
the 2000 km between North Africa and the UK. - Electricity may be "transferred" over long
distances without actual transmission (see next).
71TOO LONG TO WAIT?
- The UK can begin to benefit soon from CSP via
long-distance "transfers" of electricity via the
existing grid. We don't have to wait for the
supergrid to be completed. - CSP plants are relatively quick to build.
- As quantities increase, the grid may be
upgraded by removing bottlenecks, by converting
HVAC lines to HVDC, and by adding new HVDC lines
and smart electronics. - A large market for CSP will give confidence to
investors, helping rapid expansion of the
industry.
72TOO INSECURE?
- The TRANS-CSP scenario provides greater
security of electricity supplies than current
systems - Less imported energy. CSP imports would be the
exception (lt 15 of European electricity
supplies). - Greater diversity of sources of electricity.
CSP adds to that diversity. - Supergrid allows shortfalls in any area to be
met from elsewhere. - Many countries have sunny deserts.
- CSP plants are hard to disrupt and easy to
repair. - The transmission grid can be designed (like the
internet) to be resilient in the face of damage
or attack. - Plentiful supplies of clean electricity means
greater security for everyone.
73TOO COSTLY?
- Estimated cost of 100 GW supergrid is 45
billion (TRANS-CSP report). - Shared amongst 30 countries and spread over 10
years, this would be, on average, 150 million
(or less) for each country, each year. - CSP is likely to be one of the cheapest sources
of electricity in Europe, including the cost of
transmission (TRANS-CSP report). - Studies show that supergrids are good value for
money.
74OPPORTUNITIES FOR "UK PLC"
- There are now over 40 CSP companies worldwide,
including several with a UK base - Arxiel Ventures
- HelioDynamics
- Microsharp Corporation Limited
- Naanovo Energy
- Schott Solar Thermal
- Silicon CPV
- Whitfield Solar
- Transmission companies
- ABB UK
- Nexans
- Siemens UK
- Other Steel, electronics, project management,
finance, etc etc.
75Study Project TRANS-CSP Trans-Mediterranean
Interconnection for Concentrating Solar Power
(Introduction Summary) Project for the
Research Development Programme of the German
Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature
Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU)
7650 Countries analysed within the MED-CSP and
TRANS-CSP Studies
77Gross Electricity Demand in the Analysed Countries
78TRANS-CSP Electricity Generation in Europe
79Security and Redundancy of Power Supply in a
Future TRANS-Mediterranean HVDC Grid
80TRANS-CSP CO2 Emissions in Europe
RUE Rational Use of Energy RES Renewable
Energy Systems CCS Carbon Capture
Sequestration Avoided CO2 is calculated with
respect to a mix as in the year 2000 including
nuclear power
81Land Lost or Gained ?Concentrating Solar Thermal
Power Plants combined with Sea Water Desalination
in Coastal Desert Areas
Energy Water Income Sustainable economic
development in arid regions
AC Grid
HVDC Link
(artist view created with Google Earth)
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87TRANS-CSP Investment for Least Cost Electricity
Example Spain
TRANS-CSP Mix Energy Mix as described here incl.
RUE, RES and CCS Mix 2000 Maintaining exactly
the Power Mix like in the Year 2000 with CCS