Determinants of Interest Rates

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Determinants of Interest Rates

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Title: Determinants of Interest Rates


1
Finance Companies
2
Finance Companies
  • Finance Company - The Federal Reserve defines
    finance companies as any firm whose primary
    assets are loans to individuals and businesses.
  • Finance Companies vs. Banks and Thrifts
  • Some finance company loans are similar to
    commercial bank loans (i.e. commercial and auto
    loans), but others are aimed at relatively
    specialized areas such as high risk (low credit
    quality) loans to business and consumers.
  • Unlike banks and thrifts, finance companies do
    not and cannot accept deposits. Instead, they
    rely on short and long-term debt for funding.

3
Industry History and Composition
  • The first major finance company was originated
    during the Depression when GE created GE Capital
    Corp (GECC) to finance appliance sales to cash
    strapped customers unable to obtain installment
    credit (a loan that is paid back to the lender
    with periodic payments consisting of varying
    amounts of interest and principal).
  • By the late 1950s, banks had become more willing
    to make installment loans, so finance companies
    began looking outside their parent companies for
    business (GECC now offers leases on rail cars,
    planes, leveraged buyout financing, mortgage
    servicing and other loans to its customers.)

4
Industry History and Composition
  • The industry is very concentrated (the 20
    largest firms control 80 of the assets). In
    addition, many of the largest finance companies
    such as GMAC tend to be wholly owned or captive
    finance companies - a finance company wholly
    owned by a parent company (usually, they serve to
    provide financing for the purchase of the parent
    companys products).
  • Between 1975-1999, the industry experienced over
    1200 growth, making it one of the fastest
    growing industries in the financial services
    sector.

5
Industry Growth
  • Competitive loan rates.
  • Willingness to lend to riskier borrowers.
  • Affiliation with manufacturing firms that have
    sought means to grow.
  • Limited amount of regulation imposed.

6
Finance Companies - Types
  • Sales Finance Institutions - specializes in
    making loans to customers of a specific retailer
    to manufacturer (e.g. Ford Motor Credit, Sears
    Roebuck Acceptance Corp.).
  • Personal Credit Institutions - specializes in
    making installment and other loans to consumers
    (e.g. Capital One, Household Finance Corp., MBNA,
    etc.).
  • Business Credit Institutions - provide financing
    to corporations, especially through equipment
    leasing and factoring - the process of purchasing
    A/R from corporations (often at a discount),
    usually with no recourse to the seller should the
    receivables go bad.

7
Finance Companies - Loans (Receivables)
Outstanding
Source Federal Reserve Bulletin - Survey of
Finance Companies, 1996
8
Real Estate (Mortgages)
  • Finance companies are often willing to issue
    mortgages to riskier borrowers than commercial
    banks.
  • Mortgages include all loans secured by liens on
    any type of real estate either by direct lending
    or as a result of securitizing mortgage assets -
    purchasing mortgages and using them as assets
    backing secondary market securities.
  • Mortgages can be first mortgages or second
    mortgages (home equity loans). Secondary
    mortgages are increasingly attractive due to
    lower bad debt expense and lower administrative
    costs.

9
Consumer Loans
  • Consumer loans include motor vehicle loans and
    leases and other consumer loans (i.e. credit
    cards, furniture financing, appliance financing,
    cash loans, etc.).
  • Finance companies generally charge higher rates
    of interest on consumer loans due to riskier
    customer they lend to. High risk customers are
    often referred to as sub-prime.
  • Loan sharks - sub-prime lenders that charge
    unfairly exorbitant rates to desperate borrowers.
    The sharks may also use lower rates but charge
    high fees. The fees may be disguised. Other
    tricks include lower rates but excess collateral.

10
Business Loans
  • The largest portion of finance company assets.
  • Finance companies often have advantages over
    commercial banks in lending to small businesses.
  • They are not subject to regulations that restrict
    the type of products and services they can offer.
  • Because they do not accept deposits, they have no
    bank-type regulators establishing capital
    requirements.
  • In cases where they are subsidiaries of corporate
    sector holding companies, they may have industry
    and product expertise.
  • Willingness to accept riskier customers.
  • Lower overhead (no need to expense
    tellers/branches in order to get deposits).

11
Business Loans - Sub-categories
  • Retail loans and leases.
  • Wholesale loans - loan/lease agreements between
    parties other than the companys consumers (i.e.
    GMAC provides financing for GM dealers for
    inventory floor plans, until the car is sold, the
    dealer only pays for the cost of the financing
    and not the cost of the car).
  • Equipment Loans/Leases - the finance company may
    own or lease the equipment directly to its
    industrial customer or provide financial backing
    for a working capital loan or a loan to purchase
    or remodel the customers facilities.

12
Equipment Loans/Leases
  • From the finance companys perspective, a lease
    is often preferred to the sell and financing of
    equipment.
  • Repossession of equipment (in the event of
    default) is less complicated when the finance
    company retains the title.
  • A lease agreement generally requires no down
    payment making it more attractive to the business
    customer.
  • When the finance company retains the ownership,
    it receives a tax deduction in the form of
    depreciation expense on the equipment.

13
Liabilities and Equities
  • Commercial paper - finance companies are the
    largest issuers in the market (21 of total
    liabilities and capital in 1996).
  • Other debt - due to parent holding company and
    other not classified.
  • Loans from banks - this is less than in the past
    (2.2 of total liabilities and capital in 96).
  • Capital surplus (11 of total liabilities and
    capital in 96).

14
Finance Company Regulation
  • The lack of deposits exempts finance companies
    from the extensive oversight of the federal and
    state regulation experienced by banks and
    thrifts. Because of the lack of regulatory
    oversight, finance companies are able to offer
    bank like services, but avoid the expense of
    regulatory compliance.
  • Like depository institutions, finance companies
    may be subject to state imposed usury ceilings on
    the max loan rates charged to customers.
  • Because of their heavy reliance on money and
    capital markets, finance companies need to signal
    their safety and solvency to investors. As a
    consequence, finance companies often maintain
    higher credit ratings than banks and carry higher
    capital to assets ratios.
  • Finance companies operate more like
    non-financial, non regulated companies than the
    other types of FIs.

15
Mutual Funds
16
Mutual Funds
  • Mutual fund- intermediary that pools the
    financial resources of investors and invests
    those resources in (diversified) portfolios of
    assets.
  • Open end mutual fund - a fund that sells new
    shares to investors and redeems outstanding
    shares on demand at fair market value (the
    majority of funds).
  • Closed-end mutual fund - a fund with a fixed
    number of shares outstanding. The shares are
    exchange traded and may sell at a discount or
    premium to fair market value. Real estate
    investment trusts (REITs) are a common form of
    closed end investment company

17
Mutual Fund Functions
  • Opportunities for small investors to invest in
    financial securities.
  • Opportunities to diversify risk.
  • Lower transaction costs and commissions by
    passing on economies of scale.
  • (In most cases) free exchange between funds
    within the mutual fund company.
  • Automatic investing
  • Check-writing priveleges on some money market
    funds and even some bond funds.
  • Automatic reinvestment of dividends and automatic
    withdrawals.

18
Mutual Fund History
  • First fund established in Boston in 1924.
  • Initially, industry growth was slow - in 1970,
    360 funds held about 50B in assets. By 2000,
    more than 7800 different mutual funds held total
    assets of over 6.8B.
  • Recent explosive growth can be attributed to
  • the advent of the money market mutual fund (72)
  • the advent of tax exempt money market mutual
    funds (79) and tax exempt funds (80)
  • the explosion of special purpose equity, bond,
    emerging market and derivative funds
  • the proliferation of 401(k) plans
  • market growth

19
Mutual Fund Types
  • Open-end and closed-end
  • Long-term funds
  • Equity funds (common and preferred)
  • Bond funds
  • Hybrid or balanced funds (stock and bonds)
  • Short-term funds - comprise both taxable and
    tax-exempt money market mutual funds. Money
    market do not have FDIC insurance (consequently,
    they typically have higher yields). Some money
    market mutual funds are covered by private
    insurance /or implicit or explicit guarantees
    from management companies.
  • Prospectus - regulators require that mutual fund
    managers specify the investment objectives of
    their funds in the prospectus.

20
Mutual Fund Types
Source Investment Company Institute
21
Mutual Fund Types
Source Investment Company Institute
22
Components of Return from Mutual Funds
  • Income/dividends
  • Capital gains - when a mutual fund sells assets
    at higher prices
  • Capital appreciation in the underlying values of
    existing assets adds to the value of mutual fund
    shares (NAV)
  • Net Asset Value (NAV) - the market value of the
    assets in the mutual fund portfolio divided by
    the number of shares outstanding. Each day,
    mutual fund assets are marked-to-market or
    adjusted to reflect current market prices. In
    open-end funds, the NAV is the price that
    investors obtain when they sell shares back to
    the fund or the price they pay to buy new shares
    in the fund on that day.

23
Mutual Fund Costs
  • Two types of fees incurred by mutual fund
    investors 1) sales loads 2) fund operating
    expenses
  • Load vs. No-load funds
  • Load funds - funds that charge a 1X sales or
    commission charge to compensate a registered
    representative of a broker (front - end loads).
    Back-end loads (differed sales charges) are
    sometimes charged when shares are sold.
  • No-load funds - funds that market shares directly
    to investors and do not use sales agents working
    for commissions

24
Mutual Fund Costs
  • Operating expenses - annual fees are charged (as
    a of assets) to cover all fund level expenses
    (management, administration, shareholder
    services, etc.). 12b-1 fees - (generally in
    no-load funds) are fees charged to meet fund
    level marketing and distribution costs (limited
    to 25 bps).

25
Mutual Fund Regulation
  • Heavily regulated industry with the SEC as the
    primary regulator.
  • Securities act of 1933 - requires fund
    registration and dictates prospect procedures.
  • Securities Exchange Act of 1934 - appoints the
    NASD to supervise mutual fund share distribution.
  • Investment Advisers Act and Investment Company
    Act of 1940 - establishes rules to prevent
    conflict of interest, fraud, and excessive fees
    or charges for fund shares.
  • The National Securities Markets Improvement Act
    (NSMIA) of 1996 - exempts funds from oversight by
    state securities regulators.
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