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Labor Market Indicators for lowmiddleincome countries Paul Cichello

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Title: Labor Market Indicators for lowmiddleincome countries Paul Cichello


1
Labor Market Indicatorsfor low/middle-income
countries Paul Cichello
  • May 1, 2009
  • The Employment Lab
  • New Diagnostic Tools for Employment Focused
    Development

2
Motivation
  • Standard indicators inadequate in depicting labor
    market conditions in low/middle-income countries.
  • LM characteristics in low-income settings
  • low labor productivity, segmentation, subsistence
    or survival employment, low regulation, low
    unemployment, self-employment and household labor
    activities, multiple jobs.
  • Need for indicators that describe the quality of
    employment.
  • Primary focus labor earnings.

3
Some standard indicators
  • Fraction of working-age population actively
    engaged in the labor market
  • Fraction of working-age population employed
  • Share of the labor force which is unemployed
  • All unemployed persons for an extended period (1
    year or longer)
  • Fraction of employed population in waged and
    salaried job, etc.
  • Labor force participation rate
  • Employment-to-population ratio
  • Unemployment rate
  • Long-term unemployment
  • Status in employment (waged and salaried,
    self-employed, unpaid family workers)

4
Why arent they appropriate?
  • In low-income countries, participation and
    unemployment are not an issue
  • Think about family enterprises
  • Unemployment rate is usually low
  • Often high educated people from rich households,
    or
  • ex-formal worker looking for a new job while
    getting unemployment subsidies
  • Need to focus on employment, not just as an
    aggregate measure (ER, E-T-PR, UR, etc.), but on
    the distribution by status
  • Waged and salaried workers
  • Self-employed (without paid employees,
    own-account)
  • Employers (Self-employed with paid employees)
  • Unpaid family enterprise workers (contributing
    family worker).

5
Cont.
  • Most of working-age population is employed, but
    workers are often underemployed and working poor.
  • How much are they earning?
  • Median earnings, all workers, wage and salaried
    workers, self-employed, employers and household
    enterprise workers
  • Low earnings rate, all workers, wage and salaried
    workers, self-employed, employers and household
    enterprise workers

6
Earnings
  • Earnings considered primary measure of job
    quality
  • Issues in developing countries
  • (1) Earnings data collected from wage and
    salaried workers only and
  • (2) Significant share of unpaid workers

7
Distribution of earnings
  • Wage and salaried workers
  • Self-reported earnings in reference period
  • Household enterprise workers
  • Total household enterprise earnings in reference
    period (sum of reported earnings of own-account
    workers) distributed to own-account and unpaid
    workers in proportion to hours worked.
    Alternatively, run a profit function, predict
    profits and individual contribution to total
    profits, then split profits according to
    individual contribution.

8
Low Earnings Line
  • Low earnings line 1 individual poverty line
  • Why individual poverty line?
  • To see if the worker earnings enough to
    individually escape poverty

9
Low Earnings Line
  • Low earnings line 2 individual poverty line x
    scaling factor for household dependency on
    individual earnings
  • Why scale up?
  • Earnings of worker also typically used to
    support other members of the household
  • Proposed country-specific low earnings line
  • national individual poverty line x the median
    ratio of household members to working-age
    employed household members
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