Title: Do firms care about capital structure
1Do firms care about capital structure?
- Capital Structure is a part of a much larger,
value creating equation. At Sears, as in most
companies, creating shareholder value is the main
governing objective.There is considerable effort
aimed at achieving the lowest long-term cost of
capital by managing the capital structure. That
leads to a discussion in which we determine
ourtarget capital structure. I can tell you we
have dug seriously into the capital structure
question. - - Alice Peterson, Vice-President and
Treasurer of Sears (1998)
2Capital Structure
- Think of the capital structure of the firm as an
analysis of the right side of the balance sheet - The balance sheet is based on book value capital
structure on market - How does the firm finance its activities? Through
the use of debt or equity? - Just as an investor views a rate of return, the
firm must view its cost of capital. Expectations
must be in synch. How does this effect the
capital structure?
3Uses of the Cost of Capital
- Capital budgeting decisions
- Projects
- Divisions
- Risk /return trade-off
- Valuation of the firm
- Up to now, this has always been a given in our
problems!
4How does capital structure affect firm value?
- The value of any company is the sum of the firms
future operating or free cash flows discounted at
the firms cost of capital (discount rate). - Does capital structure impact operating cash
flow? - Interest expense is not part of operating cash
flow - Dividends or distributions to shareholders are
not part of operating cash flow - Operating cash flow is based on investments in
operations. - Investment and financing decisions are separate
corporate decisions, but both impact value. - Does capital structure impact the firms cost of
capital? - The cost of capital is the return investors
require on their investment in the company. - Do investors require a greater return from more
levered companies?
5Assumptions in a Perfect Market
- The following analysis assumes no market
imperfections. This means - No Taxes
- No Default Risk
- No Agency Problems
- Once we understand the perfect market, we will
relax each of these assumptions and determine how
things change
6How Does Capital Structure Effect Firm Value in a
World with No Taxes?
- Lets consider to companies, one with leverage
and one without, and the choices available to the
potential shareholder - COMPANY A
- Has no debt
- Has a market value of 8.0M
- Has 400,000 shares of stock outstanding at 20
share - COMPANY B
- Is identical to company A, but it has issued
4.0M in debt to buy back 200,000 shares of stock
at 20/ share - Has a market value of 8.0M (4.0M in debt/4.0M
in equity) - Now has 200,000 shares outstanding at 20 per
share - Which of these companies is more attractive to a
potential shareholder?
7Potential Results for Companies A B
8Potential Results for Companies A B
9Does the Shareholder prefer the results of A or B?
10Does the Shareholder prefer the results of A or B?
- The presence of debt effects both the
Shareholders ROE and EPS - If the shareholder can duplicate the results for
both capital structures using an investment
strategy, then the firm is not creating an
advantage for the shareholder by changing its
capital structure. - Consider the following 2 strategies
- Strategy A
- Expend 2,000 to buy 100 shares of the levered
firm at 20/Share - Strategy B
- Expend 2,000 to but 100 shares of the Un-Levered
firm at 20/share and borrow 2,000 using the
proceeds to buy another 100 shares
11Results of Homemade Leverage
12How Does Capital Structure Effect Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital is the weighted average of
the cost of equity and the cost of debt (or any
other securities). -
- where E is the market value of equity, D is the
market value of debt, and V is total market
value. - We sometimes use the book value of debt as a
proxy for the market value of debt when the
market value of debt is unknown.
13Capital Structure and Cost of Capital
- So, does capital structure affect value, i.e.
does it alter a firms weighted average cost of
capital? - France Modigliani and Merton Miller won the Nobel
prize for their answer to this question. They
have two basic propositions re capital structure
in a world with no taxes - 1. The value of the levered firm is the same as
the value of the un-levered firm. So - VU VL
- 2. The expected return on equity is positively
related to leverage, so the return to
shareholders must increase as leverage, and
consequently risk, also increase. -
14Capital Structure and Cost of Capital
- Keeping Value Constant
- If the cost of equity is greater than the cost of
debt and you add more debt, shouldnt the
weighted average cost of capital decrease? - No, because the cost of equity increases with
more debt in the capital structure. This is
because the increased debt also increases the
risk, and hence the return, to shareholders - So that the WACC is left unaffected.
-
15Measuring Risk
- According to the CAPM, the cost of equity Re
depends on the firms systematic risk as measured
by Be. We can measure the effect of debt on both
Re and Be
16Types of Risk
- If you think of Re as being representative of a
risk adjusted rate, then there are two elements
of risk related to Re - The business risk of the firm's equity which
comes from the nature of the firm's operating
activities, Ra - The financial risk of the firm's equity comes
from the financial policy or capital structure of
the firm, (Ra - Rd) (D/E)
17Changing leverage ratios without taxes
- Assume that a firm has a debt to equity ratio of
.4, an equity beta of 1.1, and a cost of equity
12.8 and a cost of debt of 10 - If the firm increases repurchases of stock and
finances the repurchase with debt so its debt to
equity ratio moves from .4 to .6, - What is the firms new beta?
- What is the firms new cost of equity?
- What does this mean to the WACC?
- What is the change return required because of the
firms business risk? - What is the change return required because of the
firms financial risk?
18Market Imperfections
- So, in a perfect world, capital structure
influences the firms financial risk and, thus,
the cost of equity but not the firms cost of
capital (WACC). - But what if the world is not perfect.
- Taxes
- Interest on debt is tax deductible for
Corporations. - Shareholders and Bondholders have different tax
rates. - Default Risk
- Debt increases the probability of Bankruptcy.
- Agency Problems
- Debt may alter shareholder incentives.
- Debt may alter managers incentives.
19Corporate Taxes
- Assume I am holding 10 for you. If I put 5 in
my left pocket and 5 in my right, do you care?
No, (unless I have a hole in my pocket!). - Lets pretend now that my right pocket is a magic
pocket and will turn 1 dollar into 1 dollar and
25 cents. - Now, if I am holding your 10. Do you care if I
hold it in my right or left pocket? - Debt is like the right pocket and the magic
taxes. - Interest is tax deductible. Dividends are not.
So, a firm can keep money from the government by
having more debt rather than equity. - So, debt accomplishes 2 things
- It provides an Interest deduction which reduces
taxes - It creates the potential for bankruptcy
20Corporate Taxes
- MM recognize the impact of corporate taxes and
show that - where R(U) is the cost of capital for the
un-levered firm, which is equivalent to the cost
of equity for the un-levered firm since it has no
debt. - This implies that firms should have 100 debt to
maximize the value of the tax shield. However,
other costs and benefits of debt must be
considered.
21Corporate Taxes
- The WACC equation with corporate taxes only
accounts for one benefit and none of the costs of
debt. We often use this equation in our
analysis. - It is important to recognize that there are other
costs and benefits to debt and a firm will
obviously not have 100 debt.
22Corporate Taxes
- Corporate Taxes reduce the financial risk of the
firm. - We can also restate the relationship between beta
and leverage incorporating debt.
23Changing the Capital Structure
- Using the WACC incorporating taxes to value the
firm requires that the firm does not change its
leverage ratio. If the firms leverage changes,
then the WACC will change. - You must UNLEVER and RELEVER
24Changing leverage ratios with taxes
- Assume in a world with no taxes, that a firm has
a debt to equity ratio of .5, an equity beta of
1.4, and a cost of equity 15.2 and a cost of
debt of 10. - If the firm increases repurchases stock and
finances the repurchase with debt and its debt to
equity ratio from .5 to .7, - What is the equity of the firms new beta?
- What is the firms new cost of equity?
- What is the change return required because of the
firms business risk? - What is the change return required because of the
firms financial risk?
25Changing leverage ratios with taxes
- Now, in addition, assume that a firm has a
corporate tax rate of 30 - What happens to the firms WACC?
- What happens to the firms cost of equity?
- What happens to the beta of that equity?
- What happens to the cash flows, and hence the
valuation of the levered firm? - Assume EBIT 1,000
- Levered firm has 1,000 in debt at an 8 interest
rate in perpetuity - Levered firm has a tax rate of 30
26Accounting for Leverage in Valuation
- To examine the costs and other benefits of debt
and how they influence value, we must break up
the value of the firm into the value of the firm
if it had no debt and the value due to debt. - Note this is NOT the value of debt but the value
due to having debt.
27Accounting for Leverage in Valuation
- Value of the levered firm
- Value of the un-levered firm Value of Debt
- You can either
- Value the levered firm at the WACC, or
- Value the firm as if it is un-levered at the
un-levered cost of capital and add any benefits
or subtract any costs of having debt.
28Cost of Capital for the Levered Firm
- To value the firm as a whole (AB)
- As in the cases of Smuckers and Barnes Noble,
you would discount the FCF and terminal value at
the firms weighted average cost of capital
(WACC). - WACC is the Cost of Capital for the levered firm
(AB) - Emarket value of equity
- DMarket value of debt
- VED
29- But, to Value the firm in parts (Value of A
Value of B) - Value of the un-levered firm
- FCF and Terminal Value discounted at the COC
- for the un-levered firm r(U).
- Value added by debt ? (this is not the same as
the value of debt) - Must consider all of the costs and benefits of
debt to derive the firms Optimal Capital
Structure. - Corporate Taxes
- Bankruptcy Costs
- Agency Problems
30Corporate Taxes
- What is the value of debt considering only the
impact of corporate taxes? - Present Value of the Interest Tax Shield
- Tax Shield Interest Paid corporate tax rate
- (Debt rD) tc
- PV(Tax Shield) (Debt rD) tc
- rD
- The Tax Shield is a perpetuity just like the
firms cash flows are a perpetuity. (Going
Concern Assumption of Accounting) - Value added by Debt PV(Tax Shield) Debt tc
- If Debt1,000 and the tax rate is 30, the value
added by debt is 300.
31Default Risk
- Lets think back to the money in my right and
left pocket. - Assume that there is a hole in the top of my
right pocket. - If you put a little money in it no problem
- If you put too much money in the right pocket,
then some will get lost - Debt is like the right pocket and the potential
for bankruptcy is the hole in the pocket. - Too much debt and you will lose some of your
money.
32Default Risk
- Debt increases the probability of Financial
Distress, or Bankruptcy. - Financial distress short of bankruptcy has costs
- Management time in dealing with debtholders
- Time spent managing working capital
- Bankruptcy has costs.
- Direct Costs Legal and Administrative
- Only 1 of market value 7 years prior Warner
(1977). - Indirect Bankruptcy Costs due to disruption of
normal activities (ex. Business lost due to
pending bankruptcy). - Approximately 12 of market value 3 years prior
Altman (1984).
33Default Risk
- Bankruptcy impacts value by the present value of
the expected bankruptcy costs (estimated costs
probability of bankruptcy). - Value added by Debt Debt tc PV(EBankruptcy
Costs) - If PV(bankruptcy cost) are 500 and the
probability of bankruptcy is 5, then the value
added 350 - (.05 500)325
34Agency Problems between Shareholders and
Debtholders
- Shareholders incentives
- Shareholders of a levered firm may take on more
risk because they have less to lose. - By doing this, they increase the value of the
equity and reduce the value of debt. - Assume a firm has two choices of equal
probability cashflow and the firm will distribute
all cashflow (so expected CF Value). -
-
35Agency Problems between Shareholders and Managers
- Managers may waste excess cash flow (i.e. free
cash flow after dividend and debt payments). - The more you have the more you spend.
- Managers may invest in NPV projects (pet
projects) or consume perquisites. - Debt acts as a monitor. The more debt the less
excess cash to waste. - Make use of protective covenants to protect the
debtholder - Value added by Debt Debt tc PV(Bankruptcy
Costs) Value loss due to excess risk taking
improved monitoring due to debt - It is more difficult to calculate these costs.
36Why do debt ratios differ?
- Corporate Tax shield
- Same for all firms with effective tax rate
- Differ if more non-debt tax shields
- Bankruptcy Costs
- Increase with probability of bankuptcy (risk and
volatility) - Increase with cost of bankruptcy (intangibles)
- Agency Problems between debtholders and
shareholders - Increase with growth opportunities
- Agency Problems between managers and shareholders
- Increase with excess cash flow
37Understanding Firms Debt Ratios
- Why doesnt Microsoft have any debt?
- Benefit of tax shield out weighed by costs of
debt - High growth / intangibles so greater agency
problems between debtholders and equityholders. - Higher bankruptcy costs?
- Probability low but cost may be high if firm is
unique - Agency problems between shareholders and
managers may not be an issue because of high
insider ownership. - Other firms with higher than average debt to
assets ratios (1997) - Benefit of tax shield costs of debt
- Dole Foods 0.31
- General Motors 0.41
- Sears 0.54
38Review
- To value the unlevered firm by discounting FCF
and terminal value at unlevered firms cost of
capital plus the value added by debt we need 3
things - We know how to value debt.
- We know how to calculate FCF and terminal value
- How do you calculate the unlevered cost of
capital?
39Cost of Capital for the Unlevered Firm
- If there is a tax advantage to debt, you must
unlever the firms cost of equity. - If you consider personal taxes, you multiply the
unlevered COC by (1- te). However, you must also
do the same for the cash flow you are
discounting, so they cancel each other out. - Without taxes, WACC R(U), the return on the
unlevered firm.
40Valuing the levered firm
- Two ways to value the levered firm.
- Value unlevered firm by discounting FCF and
terminal value at unlevered firms cost of
capital plus the value added by debt (considering
all costs and benefits). - Value whole firm by discounting FCF and terminal
value at the levered firms cost of capital. - Need the levered firms weighted average cost of
capital. - How do you incorporate other costs and benefits
of debt into WACC? - Bankruptcy costs and the agency cost of debt will
influence the firms cost of debt. - The monitoring benefit of debt will influence the
cost of equity.
41Optimal Capital Structure
- A firm wants to choose a capital structure that
maximizes firm value or minimizes the cost of
capital. - This targeted debt/equity mix will be
- Greater due to corporate taxes
- Affected by personal taxes (possible lower)
- Lower due to bankruptcy costs.
- Lower due to the risk shifting that occurs due to
the agency problems between shareholders and
debtholders - Greater due to debt monitoring, reduction in
agency problems between managers and
shareholders.
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