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Trading with the World

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Title: Trading with the World


1
20
CHAPTER
Trading with the World
2
After studying this chapter you will be able to
  • Describe the trends and patterns in international
    trade
  • Explain comparative advantage and explain why all
    countries can gain from international trade
  • Explain why international trade restrictions
    reduce the volume of imports and exports and
    reduce our consumption possibilities
  • Explain the arguments that are used to justify
    international trade restrictions and show how
    they are flawed
  • Explain why we have international trade
    restrictions

3
Silk Routes and Sucking Sounds
  • Since ancient times, people have expanded trading
    as far as technology allowedMarco Polos silk
    route between Europe and China is an example.
  • Many people fear free trade and some predicted a
    giant sucking sound as jobs were transferred
    from high-wage Michigan and Ohio to low-wage
    Mexico under the NAFTA.
  • Workers in China earn even less than those in
    Mexico. How can we compete with low-wage China?
  • Would it be a good idea to limit imports from
    China and other countries by putting on a tariff
    or a quota imports?

4
Patterns and Trends in International Trade
  • Imports are the good and services that we buy
    from people in other countries.
  • Exports are the goods and services we sell to
    people in other countries.

5
Patterns and Trends in International Trade
  • Trade in Goods
  • Manufactured goods represent 55 percent of U.S.
    exports and 68 percent of U.S. imports.
  • Raw materials and semi-manufactured materials
    represent 14 percent of U.S. exports and 15
    percent of U.S. imports.
  • Agricultural products account for only 8 percent
    of U.S. exports and 4 percent of U.S. imports.
  • The largest U.S. export and import items are
    capital goods and automobiles.

6
Patterns and Trends in International Trade
  • Trade in Services
  • International trade in services such as travel,
    transportation, and insurance is large and
    growing.
  • Geographical Patterns of International Trade
  • The United States trades with countries all over
    the world, but its biggest trading partner is
    Canada with 20 percent of exports going to Canada
    and 17 percent of imports coming from Canada.
  • Other U.S. trading partners are Japan, the
    European Union, and Latin America.

7
Patterns and Trends in International Trade
  • Trends in the Volume of Trade
  • In 1960, the United States exported 3.5 percent
    of its total output and imported 4 percent of the
    total amount that Americans spent on goods and
    services.
  • In 2006, the United States exported 10 percent of
    its total output and imported 15 percent of the
    total amount that Americans spent on goods and
    services.

8
Patterns and Trends in International Trade
  • Net Exports and International Borrowing
  • The value of exports minus imports is called net
    exports.
  • In 2006, U.S. net exports were 780 billion.
  • When a country imports more than it exports, it
    must borrow from foreigners or sell some of its
    assets to foreigners.
  • When a country exports more than it imports, it
    lends to foreigners or buy some of their assets.

9
The Gains from International Trade
  • Comparative advantage is the fundamental force
    that generates trade between nations.
  • The basis for comparative trade is divergent
    opportunity costs between countries.
  • Nations can increase the consumption of goods and
    services when they allocate resources to the
    production of those goods and services for which
    they have a comparative advantage.

10
The Gains from International Trade
  • Opportunity Cost in Farmland
  • Figure 20.1 shows the production possibilities
    frontier for an imaginary country called
    Farmland.
  • Without international trade, Farmland produces
    and consumes 15 billion bushels of grain and 8
    million cars at point A.

11
The Gains from International Trade
  • At point A,
  • the opportunity cost of a car is 9,000 bushels of
    grain.

12
The Gains from International Trade
  • Opportunity Cost in Mobilia
  • Figure 20.2 shows the production possibilities
    frontier for another imaginary country called
    Mobilia.
  • Without international trade, Mobilia produces and
    consumes 18 billion bushels of grain and 4
    million cars at point A'.

13
The Gains from International Trade
  • At point A ',
  • the opportunity cost of a car is 1,000 bushels of
    grain.

14
The Gains from International Trade
  • Comparative Advantage
  • Cars are cheaper for Mobilia to produce than for
    Farmland because less grain is given up to
    produce each car.
  • Grain is cheaper for Farmland to produce than for
    Mobilia because fewer cars are given up to
    produce each bushel.
  • A country has a comparative advantage in
    producing a good if it can produce that good at a
    lower opportunity cost than any other country.
  • Farmland has a comparative advantage in producing
    grain, and Mobilia has a comparative advantage in
    producing cars.

15
The Gains from International Trade
  • The Gains from Trade Cheaper to Buy Than to
    Produce
  • If Mobilia bought grain for the price that
    Farmland produces it, Mobilia could buy 9,000
    bushels of grain for 1 cara much lower price
    than the opportunity cost of producing grain in
    Mobilia.
  • If Farmland bought cars for what Mobilia pays for
    them, Farmland could buy 1 car for 1,000 bushels
    of graina much lower price than the opportunity
    cost of producing cars in Farmland.

16
The Gains from International Trade
  • The Terms of Trade
  • The quantity of grain that Farmland must pay
    Mobilia for a car is called Farmlands terms of
    trade with Mobilia.
  • Figure 20.3 shows how the forces of international
    demand and supply determine the terms of trade
    and the volume of trade.

17
The Gains from International Trade
  • With no international trade, Mobilia can produce
    a car for 1,000 bushels of grain, so at that
    price, it plans to sell no cars to Farmland.
  • But as the price rises above 1,000 bushels of
    grain per car the quantity of cars supplied by
    Mobilia increases.

18
The Gains from International Trade
  • With no international trade, Farmland can produce
    a car for 9,000 bushels of grain, so at that
    price, it plans to buy no cars from Mobilia.
  • But as the price falls below 9,000 bushels of
    grain per car the quantity of cars demanded by
    Farmland increases.

19
The Gains from International Trade
  • The equilibrium terms of trade (price) is 3,000
    bushels of grain per car and 4 million cars are
    exported by Mobilia and imported by Farmland.

20
The Gains from International Trade
  • Balanced Trade
  • The number of cars exported by Mobilia equals the
    number of cars imported by Farmland.
  • Farmland pays Mobilia with 12 billion bushels of
    grain(4 million cars multiplied by 3,000 bushels
    for each car).
  • Mobilia imports and Farmland exports 12 billion
    bushels of grain. Trade is balanced.
  • For each country, the value of exports equals the
    value of imports4 million cars are worth the
    same as 12 billion bushels of grain.

21
The Gains from International Trade
  • Changes in Production and Consumption
  • Farmland buys cars at a price that is lower than
    it can produce cars itself, and sells its grain
    at a higher price.
  • Mobilia buys grain at a price that is lower than
    it can produce the grain itself, and sells its
    cars at a higher price.
  • Both countries gain from international trade.
  • Each PPF illustrates the production possibilities
    of a country, but it does not show the
    consumption possibilities when the country
    engages in international trade.

22
The Gains from International Trade
  • Figure 20.4 shows how both countries gain from
    trade.

23
The Gains from International Trade
  • Calculating the Gains from Trade
  • Farmland increase its consumption of both cars
    and grain.
  • Farmland decreases car production and increases
    grain production until its own opportunity cost
    of producing a car equals the world terms of
    trade and exchanges grain for cars at those terms
    of trade.
  • Mobilia increases its consumption of both cars
    and grain.
  • Mobilia increases car production and decreases
    grain production until its own opportunity cost
    of producing a car equals the world terms of
    trade and exchanges cars for grain at those terms
    of trade.

24
The Gains from International Trade
  • Gains for Both Countries
  • Both countries gain by consuming output
    combinations outside their respective production
    possibilities frontier.
  • Trade does not create a winner and a loser.
  • Both countries gain.

25
The Gains from International Trade
  • Gains from Trade in Reality
  • Gains from trade occur in the real global
    economy.
  • The United States buys TVs and DVDs from Korea,
    machinery from Europe, and fashion goods from
    Hong Kong and in exchange for machinery, grain,
    airplanes, computers, and financial services.
  • All countries gain from this trade.
  • The combination of diverse preferences and
    economies of scale create comparative advantages
    that generate a large volume of international
    trade in similar but differentiated products.

26
International Trade Restrictions
  • Governments restrict international trade to
    protect domestic producers from competition by
    using two main tools
  • 1. Tariffs
  • 2. Nontariff barriers
  • A tariff is a tax that is imposed by the
    importing country when an imported good crosses
    its international boundary.
  • A nontariff barrier is any action other than a
    tariff that restricts international trade.

27
International Trade Restrictions
  • The History of U.S. Tariffs
  • Figure 20.5 shows the U.S. average tariff rate
    since 1930.

28
International Trade Restrictions
  • General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) is
    an agreement between nations to have a series of
    trade negotiations, or rounds, to reduce
    tariffs on international trade.
  • Rounds of the GATT occurred in the 1960s, late
    1970s, 1980s, and late 1990s and have resulted in
    gradual decline in the average tariff rate. The
    current Doha Round has made little progress.
  • The Uruguay round was the most ambitious and lead
    to the creation of the World Trade Organization
    (WTO).
  • WTO membership brings greater obligations to
    follow the GATT rules governing trade.

29
International Trade Restrictions
  • In 1994, the United States became party to the
    North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA),
    under which trade barriers between Canada,
    Mexico, and the United States are to be virtually
    eliminated after 15 years.
  • The European Union (EU) is an organization of
    European countries that have agreed to eliminate
    trade barriers among them.
  • The Asia-Pacific Economic group (APEC) is another
    agreement to reduce trade barriers among East
    Asian countries, including China.

30
International Trade Restrictions
  • How Tariffs Work
  • Tariffs increase the price that consumers of the
    importing country must pay for imported goods or
    services.
  • Figure 20.6 uses the Farmland and Mobilia example
    to illustrate the effects of a tariff on car
    imports into Farmland.

31
International Trade Restrictions
  • The supply of cars to Farmland decreases because
    the tariff must be added to the price at which
    Mobilia is willing to supply a given quantity.
  • The price rises, the quantity falls,
  • the government collects the tariff revenue.
  • Exports change by the same amount as imports.

32
International Trade Restrictions
  • Nontariff Barriers
  • The two main types of nontariff barriers are
  • A quota is a quantitative restriction on the
    import of a particular good, which specifies the
    maximum amount of the good that may be imported
    in a given period of time.
  • A voluntary export restraint (VER) is an
    agreement between two governments in which the
    government of the exporting country agrees to
    restrain the volume of its own exports.

33
International Trade Restrictions
  • How Quotas and VERs Work
  • Figure 20.7 illustrates the effects of a quota on
    cars imported into Farmland.
  • The quota limits the quantity that may be
    imported.
  • The domestic price rises.
  • Importers of cars make a profit.

34
International Trade Restrictions
  • A quota can generate the same outcome as a tariff
    but with a quota, the importer makes an economic
    profit equal to the tariff revenue that the
    government receives with a tariff.
  • A VER is similar to a quota except that the
    exporter captures the economic profit.

35
The Case Against Protection
  • Despite the fact that free trade promotes
    prosperity for all countries, trade is
    restricted.
  • It is often argued that international trade
    should be restricted to
  • Protects national security
  • Protect infant industries
  • Punish dumping
  • None of these arguments bear scrutiny.

36
The Case Against Protection
  • Other common arguments for protection are that it
  • Saves jobs
  • Allows us to compete with cheap foreign labor
  • Brings diversity and stability to our economy
  • Penalizes nations with lax environmental
    standards
  • Protects national culture
  • Prevents rich nations from exploiting poor ones

37
The Case Against Protection
  • The National Security Argument
  • The idea that a country must protect the
    industries that produce defense equipment and
    supply raw material to these industries.
  • This argument does not withstand close scrutiny.
  • In time of war, no industry does not contribute
    to national defense.

38
The Case Against Protection
  • The Infant-Industry Argument
  • The infant-industry argument is that it is
    necessary to protect a new industry from import
    competition to enable it to grow into a mature
    industry that can compete in world markets.
  • This argument is based on the concept of dynamic
    competitive advantage, which can arise from
    learning-by-doing.
  • Learning-by-doing is a powerful engine of
    productivity growth, but this fact does not
    justify protection.

39
The Case Against Protection
  • The Dumping Argument
  • Dumping occurs when foreign a firm sells its
    exports at a lower price than its cost of
    production.
  • Dumping is seen as a justification for a tariff
    to prevent a foreign firm driving domestic firms
    out of business and then raising its price.
  • This argument does not justify protection
    because
  • It is virtually impossible to determine a firms
    costs
  • If there was a natural global monopoly, it would
    be more efficient to regulate it than to impose
    a tariff against it.

40
The Case Against Protection
  • Saves Jobs
  • The idea that buying foreign goods costs domestic
    jobs is wrong.
  • Free trade destroys some jobs and creates other
    better jobs.
  • Free trade also increases foreign incomes and
    enables foreigners to buy more domestic
    production.
  • Protection to save particular jobs is very costly.

41
The Case Against Protection
  • Allows us to Compete with Cheap Foreign Labor
  • The idea that a high-wage country cannot compete
    with a low-wage country is wrong.
  • Low-wage labor is less productive than high-wage
    labor.
  • And wages and productivity tell us nothing about
    the source of gains from trade, which is
    comparative advantage.

42
The Case Against Protection
  • Brings Diversity and Stability
  • The idea that protection brings diversity of
    production and greater stability of income is
    wrong.
  • A nation can achieve diversity and stability
    through its international investments.

43
The Case Against Protection
  • Penalizes Lax Environmental Standards
  • The idea that protection is good for the
    environment is wrong.
  • Free trade increases incomes and poor countries
    have significantly lower environmental standards
    than rich countries.
  • These countries cannot afford to spend as much on
    the environment as a rich country can and
    sometimes they have a comparative advantage at
    doing dirty work, which helps the global
    environment achieve higher environmental
    standards.

44
The Case Against Protection
  • Protects National Culture
  • The idea that trade restrictions protect the
    national culture is wrong.
  • This argument is heard in Canada and European
    countries.
  • Many countries are afraid of the
    Americanization of their culture through the
    prominence of American films, television
    programs, art, literature, and even cuisine in
    world markets.
  • Protecting cultural industries is a form of
    rent seeking and the surest way to eliminate a
    national culture.

45
The Case Against Protection
  • Prevents Rich Countries from Exploiting Poorer
    Countries
  • The idea that trade restrictions prevent rich
    countries from exploiting poorer countries is
    wrong.
  • Free trade is the best way of raising wages and
    improving working conditions in poor countries.

46
The Case Against Protection
  • The most compelling argument against protection
    is that it invites retaliation.
  • We saw retaliation to the Smoot-Hawley Act in the
    United States during the Great Depression.
  • And we see it today as the world reacts to high
    U.S. tariffs on steel and agriculture.

47
Why Is International Trade Restricted?
  • The two key reasons why international trade is
    restricted are
  • Tariff revenue
  • Rent seeking

48
Why Is International Trade Restricted?
  • Tariff Revenue
  • It is costly for governments to collect taxes on
    income and domestic sales.
  • It is cheaper for governments to collect taxes on
    international transactions because international
    trade is carefully monitored.
  • This source of revenue is especially attractive
    to governments in developing nations.

49
Why Is International Trade Restricted?
  • Rent Seeking
  • Rent seeking is lobbying and other political
    activities that seek to capture the gains from
    trade.
  • Despite the fact that protection is inefficient,
    governments respond to the demands of those who
    gain from protection and ignore the demands of
    those who gain from free trade because protection
    brings concentrated gains and diffused losses.

50
Why Is International Trade Restricted?
  • Compensating Losers
  • The gains from free trade exceed the losses, and
    sometimes free trade agreements address the issue
    of the distribution of gains from trade by
    compensating those who lose from free trade.
  • 1. The cost of identifying the losers form free
    trade and compensating them would be enormous.
  • 2. Difficult to know if the person is a loser
    from free trade or some other reason.
  • Because we do not compensate losers,
    protectionism remains popular.

51
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