Title: Managing Change In The Visitor Industry
12004 MACVB Annual Meeting
Managing Change In The Visitor Industry
Embracing tomorrows opportunities today
2Bold New World
The way we live, work and govern ourselves is
about to plunge into a fundamental shift, a major
break from old trends. We are on the threshold
of one of those rare moments in historywhen all
the cards of power, wealth, of family and self,
are being reshuffled and dealt anew.
3Whats Up?
World Population
- One billion
- Two billion
- Three billion
- Four billion
- Five billion
- 1998 Six billion
6 billion
1 billion
Year
1800
1998
4Whats Up?
Life Expectancy
85 Years
Year
2050
5Whats Up?
Total mail messages (billions)
5,000
Year
2000
6Whats Up?
Volume of advertising ( billions)
250
Year
2000
7Whats Up?
- Global food production has tripled since World
War II, even outpacing population growth - We use seven times as much water as 1900
- Per capita paper consumption tripled in the U.S.
from 1940 to 1980, and then tripled again over
the next 10 years - In 1960, the average CEO traveled 12,000 miles a
year today, 112,000 miles - The Physician Desk Reference had 300 pages when
first published in 1948, it is now over 3,000
pages
Source Richard A. Swenson, M.D., Hurtling
Toward Oblivion, 1999, pages 32-33
8Survival Is Not Enough
Winners change losers dont. Digital, Wang,
Western Union, Compaq, Penn Central, PointCast,
Infoseek all are on my list of losers, because
all of them hesitated and lost big opportunities.
Everyone of them was king of the hill until they
toppled off, all the while struggling in vain to
make the world the way it was.
9Change Easily Accepted?
Change resistors
Change agents
70 of all people in the typical work environment
tend to resist major changes
SourceRodger Bailey, Hiring, Managing and
Selling for Peak Performance
10Information TechnologyYears to Reach 25 Market
Share
Pace Of Change?
INTERNET
7 Years
PERSONAL COMPUTER
15 Years
TELEVISON
26 Years
TELEPHONE
35 Years
30
5
10
15
20
25
35
40
Source The Milken Institute, 2000
11Embracing Change
- Understand the need to effectively manage change
- Acquire the skills to manage change
- Acquire the skills to combat change resistors
- Understand how to build the support thats needed
for the change needed - Incorporate continuous improvement (how do we
need to change what we did next time through the
cycle?)
12Embracing Change
- Understand the need to effectively manage change
- Acquire the skills to manage change
- Acquire the skills to combat change resistors
- Understand how to build the support thats needed
for the change needed - Incorporate continuous improvement (how do we
need to change what we did next time through the
cycle?)
13Two Prong Attack
14Effective Scanning
Inside And Outside
Of Tourism
15Inside Industry Scanning
TRAVEL ADVANCE (R), Volume XIV, Number 103
Thursday, May 27, 2004 AMERICANS URGED TO "HAVE
FUN," DESPITE SECURITY THREAT. Just hours before
the nation's top law enforcement officials were
warning that they are convinced that al Qaeda is
planning an attack on the U.S. in the coming
months, (Pages A1, A9. Washington Post 1A, 3A,
USA Today A3, Wall Street Journal)
SCREENERS SHIFTED TO COVER BUSIER AIRPORTS. Six
of the nation's busiest airports are getting a
major boost in security screeners as the
government gears up to handle a crush of summer
travelers. (Pages 1B, USA Today 1C, Miami
Herald)
HOTEL CHECK-IN. As signs emerge of a comeback in
travel, lodging chains are starting to spend
more money on advertising. (Page C8, New York
Times)
FROM TRAVEL AND CONSUMER MAGAZINES WORLD'S BEST
SERVICE. Asian properties and companies dominate
Travel Leisure's 2004 readers' poll to rate
the best service at hotels, airlines and cruise
lines. (Page 130, Travel Leisure, June)
16Inside Industry Scanning
A service of USAE weekly newspaper The weekly
community newspaper of associations, CVBs and
hotels
Newsletters Newsgroups
17Outside Tourism Scanning
http//www.wfs.org/futurist.htm
18Top Ten Forecasts
- Genetically modified crops may surpass natural
crops in acreage planted by 2020. - Two-thirds of the world's population will be
chronically short of water by 2050. - How do you walk? Security people will be
watching. - Voters are vanishing worldwide.
- Earthquakes will become deadlier.
- We may be able to engineer longer lives for
ourselves. - Polar bears extinct by the year 2100?
- More Americans will go it alone.
- Physicians may soon have ways to help paralyzed
people move their limbs. - You may be wearing your power on your sleeve.
Top 10 Forecasts from Outlook 2004
19Listen More Than Ever
Listening Isn't What Happens When We're Not
Talking Listening is the ability to turn our
attention fully and completely to the person
speaking. There's no stopping the 60,000
thoughts that swim through our own mind every
day. Listening redirects those thoughts away from
the details of our own experience, and into the
world of the person talking.
http//www.coachingteam.com
20Embracing Change
- Understand the need to effectively manage change
- Acquire the skills to manage change
- Acquire the skills to combat change resistors
- Understand how to build the support thats needed
for the change needed - Incorporate continuous improvement (how do we
need to change what we did next time through the
cycle?)
21Managing Change
Fads or Trends?
22Managing Change
If it changes the way you need to deliver
products and services...
23Managing Change
If it changes the way you need to deliver
products and services...
it will likely result in the need to change the
way you are staffed and/or structured
24New Mandate
Employees Vendors Partners
- Versatile
- Flexible
- Specialists
- Partners
- Trustworthy
- Similar but different
25Embracing Change
- Understand the need to effectively manage change
- Acquire the skills to manage change
- Acquire the skills to combat change resistors
- Understand how to build the support thats needed
for the change needed - Incorporate continuous improvement (how do we
need to change what we did next time through the
cycle?)
26Best Practices
- The top reasons for employee resistance are a
lack of awareness about the change, comfort with
the ways things are and fear of the unknown. - Middle managers resist change because of fear of
losing control and overload of current tasks and
responsibilities.
The new 2003 Best Practices in Change Management
report presents comprehensive findings from 288
companies on their experiences and lessons
learned in change management.
Source Change Management Learning Center
http//www.change-management.com/best-practices-re
port.htm
27Embracing Change
- Understand the need to effectively manage change
- Acquire the skills to manage change
- Acquire the skills to combat change resistors
- Understand how to build the support thats needed
for the change needed - Incorporate continuous improvement (how do we
need to change what we did next time through the
cycle?)
28Accountability
- Colorado Case Study
- 1992 was the last year of full funding (10 mil)
for the Colorado Tourism Board making Colorado
the only state without publicly-funded promotion
efforts - From 1993 to 1997 share of visitors declined 30
- Partial funding (3.5 mil) was restored in 1997
- Current funding 7.5 mil - Colorado legislature
approved an additional 10 million to be added to
the tourism budget this year
Source Longwoods International
29Colorado Experience in Arizona
Budget Deficit Will Get Worse
- For every 10 lost in visitor spending Fiscal
impact would be a 98 million loss in general
fund revenues - and
- 45,200 jobs
- Colorado experienced a decline of 30
Source 2003 Arizona Office of Tourism Budget
Presentation
30Embracing Change
- Understand the need to effectively manage change
- Acquire the skills to manage change
- Acquire the skills to combat change resistors
- Understand how to build the support thats needed
for the change needed - Incorporate continuous improvement (how do we
need to change what we did next time through the
cycle?)
31Continuous Improvement
Plan Conference
Identify How To Make Conference Better Next Time
Market Conference
(Works much better if we come to the table fully
aware of how the world around us is changing)
Conduct Conference
Celebrate Conference Successes
32Continuous Improvement
When a large percentage of an organization's
people are trained and belong to improvement
teams, the relentless pursuit of continuous
improvement can really add up. A constant stream
of walks, singles, and doubles can win ball games
as effectively as a few towering home runs. And
an ethic of constantly looking for ways to do
things better also carries over to individuals'
daily work habits. - from Jim Clemmer's
article, "Process Reengineering and Improvement"
33Napoleon Bonaparte
"Glory is fleeting, but obscurity is forever."
34Embracing Change At Preprint
Evolving Focus
Newspaper Insert Company
Strategic Media Solutions
35Tourism Lovegety?
Once the holder selects a mode, the device
searches for Lovegety holders in a five meter
radius. If it locates a holder with a potentially
good match, the "get" light flashes and the
device beeps, so the pair can find each other.
If there is a holder in the vicinity with a
different mode, then the "find" light flashes and
a different sound goes off, alerting the user of
a near get.
362004 MACVB Annual Meeting
Managing Change In The Visitor Industry
Embracing tomorrows opportunities today