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Morgan Stanley Mining, Paper

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lower gold prices. Development projects add upside potential. Merchant banking wealth creation ... Assumes a gold price increase from US$275 per ounce to US ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Morgan Stanley Mining, Paper


1
A Time for Gold Wayne W. Murdy, Chairman
CEO Pierre Lassonde, President
  • Morgan Stanley Mining, Paper Packaging
    Conference
  • New York, NY, March 11, 2002

2
The new Newmont
  • Operating excellence focusing on large mining
    districts
  • Cost reduction, district rationalization and
    synergy realization
  • Rationalization and optimization of vast asset
    portfolio
  • Exploration and development efforts to take
    advantage of large land position
  • No hedging philosophy
  • Growth of premier royalty income stream
  • Continued excellence in environment management,
    community development and employee safety
  • Generate superior returns for shareholders
  • Further improve a low net debt/capitalization
    level

Strategy
Future
3
The new gold standard
Leverage to rising gold price
Largest non-hedged gold producer provides
shareholders most leverage to gold
Development projects add upside potential
Merchant banking wealth creation
World class core properties with low cash costs
and high cash flows
Royalty cash flow as natural hedge against low
gold price
Stability at lower gold prices
Strong balance sheet
4
1 in reserves
Reserves
1
2
3
Source Most recent public filings 1 Includes
reserves of 59.6 mm oz. for Newmont, 26.4 mm oz.
for Normandy, 2.0 mm oz. of equivalent reserves
for Franco-Nevada and 1.9 mm oz. of reserves to
reflect Franco-Nevadas 49 ownership of Echo
Bay 2 SEC Filing of November 9, 2001 3 AngloGold
reserves assume sale of Free State assets
5
1 in production
2001 production
1
2
3
Source most recent public filings 1 Pro forma
for the acquisitions, Newmont will account for
approximately 9 of global gold production (Gold
Fields Mineral Services) 2 Newmont includes
production attributable to Franco-Nevadas share
of Echo Bay 3 AngloGold reserves assume sale of
Free State assets
6
Over 60 of reserves and 70 of production will
be in countries rated AAA1 by SP
Reserves2
Production2
Other
Other
South America
South America
8 mm ozs annually
90 mm ozs
Source Public filings 1 SP local currency
credit rating 2 Reserves and production
attributable to Newmont, Normandy and
Franco-Nevada, including Franco-Nevadas stake in
Echo Bay (assuming conversion of capital
securities) and approximately 2 MM ounces of
reserves attributable to Franco-Nevadas royalty
interests
7
1 in EBITDA
Not vulnerable to drop in hedging cash flow or
potential hedging losses
Last twelve months EBITDA
859
722
1
720
427
Hedge gain 2
279
Source Public filings EBITDA defined as revenue
less cost of sale (excluding DDA), SGA,
exploration and research and other operating
expenses Franco-Nevada revenue includes interest
income 1 AngloGold EBITDA includes Free State
(approximately 55MM), EBITDA excluding Free
State is approximately 667MM 2 Hedge gain Last
twelve months production multiplied by the result
of last twelve months realized gold price less
last twelve months average spot gold price.
8
Strong balance sheet financial flexibility
Newmont net debt/total capitalization
9
Industrys most attractive asset portfolio
Core operations Strategic operations Others
New Britannia
Musselwhite
Midas
Holloway
Twin Creeks
Nevada
Ovacik
Golden Giant
Mesquite
Martabe
Lone Tree
La Herradura
NEVADA
Zarafshan
Minahasa
Yanacocha
Yamfo-Sefwi
Phoenix
Crixas
Batu Hijau
Akim
Kori Kollo
Paracatu
La Coipa
Tanami
Carlin
Pajingo/ Vera-Nancy
Yandal
Major District Reserve Base Nevada 32.2 mm
oz. Yanacocha 18.2 mm oz. Western Australia 14.0
mm oz. Tanami 2.5 mm oz. Batu Hijau 6.1 mm
oz. Total 73.3 mm oz.
80 of reserves
Martha
Australian Magnesium Corporation
Golden Grove
Boddington
Kalgoorlie
Largest global land position 94,000 sq. miles /
244,000 sq. km
10
Transaction update
to combining 3 strong companies
  • More than 66 acceptance by Normandy holders Feb
    15
  • Closed Franco-Nevada Arrangement effective Feb
    16
  • Newmont representatives constitute majority of
    Normandy board Feb 20
  • Compulsory acquisition of Normandy Feb 25

11
Fundamentals of gold price very positive
SP 500 Index/Gold Price (18712001)
Index (U.S./oz.)
  • Mine output set to fall
  • Producer hedging is decreasing
  • US over valued

12
Why gold is going up
Supply is decreasing
  • Reduced hedging and short sales combine with flat
    mine production and stable central bank sales,
    resulting in reduced gold supply

Total supply
4,234
4,106
4,154
3,970
3,845
Source GFMS data
13
Why gold is going up
Producer hedging is decreasing
Producers have been net buyers of gold in 2000
and 2001
Net producer hedging (Tonnes of gold)
Source GFMS data
14
The levitating greenback
U.S. dollar against all other world currencies
(NBF trade-weighted index)
The USD is now stronger than at its late 1985
peak
It is up nearly 8 from a year ago
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
Source NBF Economic Research Measured against
30 other currencies
15
Why gold is going up
4-year gold price performance
US Gold Spot
Euro Gold Spot
1998 1999 2000 2001
1998 1999 2000 2001
Yen Gold Spot
Rand Gold Spot
1998 1999 2000 2001
1998 1999 2000 2001
16
The new industry leader
Source Public filings market data as of
February 15, 2002 1 Includes production
attributable to Franco-Nevadas share of Echo
Bay 2 AngloGolds reserves assume sale of Free
State assets 3 Enterprise value represents market
capitalization plus net debt, minority interests
and preferred stock
17
The GO TO non-hedging gold stock
Total combined market capitalization (US41
billion)
New Newmont 20
Hedgers (US23 billion)
Non-hedgers (US18 billion)
Other Non-hedgers 24
New Newmont will constitute 45 of the total
market capitalization of all non-hedgers
Source NBF Economic Research
18
Leverage to gold
Estimated increase in annual pre-tax cash flow
from US25 increase in gold price 1, 2
Further upside as new Newmont unwinds Normandys
hedge book
3
US millions
Based on analysis of public filings 1 US25 per
ounce multiplied by unhedged 2001E production 2
Newmont includes pre-tax cash flow from Normandy
and Franco-Nevada. Assumes a gold price increase
from US275 per ounce to US300 per ounce 3 Pro
forma for the sale of Free State assets assumes
no adjustment to hedge book
19
Option value for rising gold prices
Nevada, 15mm oz of reserves Leeville
underground, 3mm oz Twin Creeks South expansion,
2mm oz Phoenix, 6mm oz Gold Quarry South layback,
4mm oz
Core operations Strategic operations Others
Martabe, Indonesia prefeasibility of Purnama
deposit for heap leach
Yamfo-Sefwi, Ghana 3.3mm oz in equity reserves
Akim, Ghana 51.4 mm metric tons at 2.1g/t (0.06
opt)
Golden Grove
Yanacocha, Peru Expansion beyond 2.5 mm oz
annually Exploration upside Covered oxides
Copper/gold sulfides
Boddington, Australia 4.9mm oz in equity
reserves
20
The new gold standard
  • Balance sheet strength
  • Low cash costs
  • Balanced political risk
  • Management strength
  • No hedging philosophy
  • U.S. domicile

1
leverage to gold
reserves
gold production
trading liquidity
EBITDA
21
Cautionary Statement
PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT SAFE
HARBOR STATEMENT These materials include
forward-looking information and statements about
Newmont Mining Corporation that are intended to
be covered by the safe harbor for
"forward-looking statements" provided by the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Forward-looking statements are statements that
are not historical facts. These statements
include financial projections and estimates and
their underlying assumptions statements
regarding plans, objectives and expectations with
respect to future operations, products and
services and statements regarding future
performance. Forward-looking statements are
generally identified by the words "expect,"
"anticipates," "believes," "intends," "estimates"
and similar expressions. The forward-looking
information and statements in these materials are
subject to various risks and uncertainties, many
of which are difficult to predict and generally
beyond the control of Newmont, that could cause
actual results to differ materially from those
expressed in, or implied or projected by, the
forward-looking information and statements.
These risks and uncertainties include those
discussed or identified in the public filings
with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC) made by Newmont. Such risks include, but
are not limited to, gold price volatility,
increased production costs and variances in ore
grade or recovery rates from those assumed in
mining plans.
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