PROBABILITY

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PROBABILITY

• What are my chances?

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What is Probability?

• Probability is everywhere. Every time we play a
  game, we take a chance at winning or losing.
  Every time we flip a coin, roll dice, play cards,
  or play games like twister, we are using
  probability to see our chances. Lets see how
  these outcomes affect us.

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own Score
3
The Plan

• Make predictions of probability games
• Play probability games
• Find outcomes and probabilities
• Compare predictions and results
• Design own probability game

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own Score
4
Pick a game make prediction

• List game websites
• worksheet to go with each game played Print
  first
• Various Games
• Roll the Dice
• Find the probability of the fish
• Toss the coin
• Probability Cards
• Use the spinner to win
• Find the green balls
• Find the prize under the door

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5
Outcomes Probabilities

• Find number of outcomes
• Outcome result of the game
• Find the probability of wins, colors, choices
• Probability chance or likelihood of an outcome
• Probability of wanted outcome
• P (w) of wanted outcomes / of total
  outcomes

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own Score
6
Example of Game Table
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Compare Prediction Result

• Predict how many outcomes would occur for 100 and
  5000 games
• Play the game again
• Was your prediction the same as the result?
• Was your prediction the same as the probability?

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8
Your Turn

• DESIGN A GAME
• Based on the games you played,
• create your own game with dice, cards, colors,
  etc
• Explain how your game involves probability
• Predict which player would win your game
• Color and decorate your game

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9
What do I score?

• 10 points for each day of predicting probability
  games
• 10 points for each day recording results of games
• 10 points for comparing results and predictions
• 50 points for game designed
• 10 points for showing probability with dice,
  cards, or a spinner
• 10 points for explaining how probability is used
  in your game
• 10 points for showing your prediction of the
  winner of your game
• 10 points for creativity (color and design)
• 10 points for turning in on time

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own Score
10
Let's take a chance!
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