Title: Insider Trading in Australia
1Insider Trading in Australia
- Is the regulation of insider trading in Australia
necessary or even desirable?
Invaluable Reference Lyon, G. and du Plessis, J.
(2005) The Law of Insider Trading in Australia,
Sydney The Federation Press.
2- Knowledge is power.
- Advance knowledge is profit.
- Attributed to the Rothschild Family.
- Almost 200 years ago the Rothschild Family
secured their fortune by accumulating British
Government securities on the basis of advance
knowledge of Wellingtons victory over Napoleon
at Waterloo. - While this quote identifies the benefits of
inside information, is this truly a case of
insider trading?
3What is insider trading?
- Trading by a trader who possesses information
that is material to the price of securities
which are traded, which is not already known to
other traders in the market, and which is not the
product of the analysis of publicly available
information by that trader. - Baxt, Black and Hanrahan, above n 5, 503.
4Who is an insider?
- A person is defined as an insider if he, she or
it possesses inside information (defined on the
next slide) about the securities of a body
corporate and knows or ought reasonably to know
that the information is not generally available
and, if it were, a reasonable person would expect
it to have a material effect on the price or
value of those securities. - There is no longer a requirement for a person
connection to exist between the insider and the
company whose securities are traded. - An insider is defined by the bare requirement of
trading whilst in the possession of inside
information e.g. a person who hears inside
information in passing and trades on the
information is just as liable to prosecution as a
company director who learns of inside information
due to their position.
5What is inside information?
- Information that is not generally available, but
if it were generally available, a reasonable
person would expect that information to have a
material effect on the price or value of
securities of a body corporate. Corporations Act
s 1042A. - Information includes matters of supposition and
matters insufficiently definite to warrant being
made known to the general public and matters
relating to the intentions or likely intentions
of a person. Corporations Act s 1042A.
6When is information generally available?
- Information is generally available if
- it consists of readily observable matter or
- without limiting (a)
- it has been made known in a manner that would, or
would be likely to bring it to the attention of
persons who commonly invest in securities of a
kind whose price and value might be affected by
the information and - a reasonable period of time has elapsed after it
has been made known for it to be disseminated
among such persons or - it consists of deductions, conclusions or
inferences drawn from (a) or (b)(i). - Corporations Act s 1042C.
7The Australian experience
- 19 insider trading cases from 1985 2005 led to
criminal prosecutions. - Of these cases, about half were acquitted or did
not go to trial, although less so in recent
years. - About the same number of civil actions again
with mixed results. - Possible reasons why so few convictions
- Low occurrence of insider trading (unlikely)
- Hard to detect
- Inefficient regulator (ASIC)
- Complexity of legislation
8A prominent case R v Rivkin (2003)
- Rivkin received information about the prospective
merger of Impulse Airlines with Qantas after the
CEO of Impulse sought to convince Rivken of his
financial worth during unrelated business
negotiations. The Crown alleged that the profit
made from the sale of shares based on this
information was 2664.94. - Convicted and a custodial sentence of 9 months
weekend detention and a fine of 30000 were
imposed. - The conviction also disqualified Rivken from
managing a corporation for 5 years and made it
possible for ASIC to disqualify Rivken from
holding his Security Dealers Licence. - Although Rivken did not make a huge monetary
profit, the judge viewed the crime as serious
because of Rivkens position as a trader and
because Rivken knew full well the price
sensitivity of the information and had been
warned not to trade in the shares.
9Insider trading in Australia should not be
regulated.
Mark Christensen
10- Definition of insider trading, effectiveness of
legislation, other laws - Difference between OTC and Exchange Traded
issue is probably liquidity - Regulation hinders market efficiency
- Who are the players investors who buy and hold
or traders who are not forced to sell and who
willingly buy and sell. - Market efficiency price discovery process
information reflected in price speed of
incorporation - efficiency reflects information
and speed of response
11Trading
- The concept of an efficient market is a special
application of the no free lunch principle. In
an efficient financial market, costless trading
policies will not generate excess returns. the
connection between information not reflected and
prices is to subtle and tenuous to be easily or
costlessly detected. Relevant information is
difficult and expensive to uncover and
evaluatethe existence of such traders (seeking
relevant information) is actually a necessary
precondition for markets to become efficient
Richard Roll
12- Creation of equity and not efficiency
- Loss of Profits
- Harm to Market confidence
- Unfair/wrong
- Value of regulation
- Equality of opportunity v equality of outcome
13Insider trading in Australia should be
regulated.Or why economist (who run the RBA,
Treasury, IMF, Central Banks and the other top
regulatory bodies) dont support the idea of
unrestricted trading.
14What would happen if you would have no
restrictions on insider trading?
Take an asset of which 90 is owned by outsiders
(who trade amongst each other at the going
price), 10 owned by an insider and where there
is a shock to the value, with the shock
anticipated by the insider..
Underlying value of the asset (share) price
Time
t0
t1
Time at which outsiders get to know the increase
in value
Time at which an insider gets to know the future
increase in price
15What would the smart insider do?
The insider will attempt to buy the asset from
the outsiders at the old price. To prevent the
outsiders from being alerted to his inside
information, hell try to work through outsiders
(friends, family, traders, banks, etc. whatever
is needed to hide the tracks. Since in a free
system there is no obligation for openness, the
insider will find a way)
Underlying value of the asset (share)
Time
t0
t1
Result the insider will buy some outside shares
and sell them again when the value increase is
observed to outsiders, netting the difference.
The amount of money he makes depends on the
number he can afford to buy
16What would the smart outsiders do?
The outsider would try to monitor the insiders,
each in essence replicating what regulators do
but more (because they have to know things when
they trade, not afterwards). Since there are many
firms and since insiders would have no
restriction on the many ways they can hide their
buying operations, outsiders will only very
imperfectly pick up the fact that an insider is
buying based on inside information. Hence the
result would be a gradual increase in price
Underlying value of the asset (share)
Time
t0
t1
Result the insider will buy some outside shares
and sell them again when the value increase is
observed to outsiders, netting a large slice of
the difference, but some smarter outsiders will
share in the profit.
17What would happen with a downward shift in value?
The insider would try to sell his shares (or tell
his befriended traders and family to sell them),
and buy them again after the value change.
Underlying value of the asset (share)
Time
t0
t1
Result the insider will sell his shares and buy
them again when the value increase is observed to
outsiders, netting a large slice of the
difference, with again some smart outsider
picking up some crumbs.
18What would the possibility of buying options mean
in this situation?
Options allow the insider to make a far greater
profit on his inside information because with the
same amount of money available he can effectively
multiply his winnings the insider buys the
option of outsiders to but the shares at t1 for
the old price, and then sells those options at
t1. In the extreme case of deep pockets, the
insider can buy 1 option for every share owned by
an outsider, leading to a complete appropriation
of the increase in value of the outstanding
shares.
Underlying value of the asset (share)
Time
t0
t1
19How does market analysis, meaning the attempt at
using publicly available information to predict
the value change, fit into this?
Suppose market analysis allows you to know at
time t0.5, that the value of the stock will
increase. The insider still has an advantage but
needs to act quicker. The market analyst though
has made the market more efficient in the sense
of faster adaptation to fundamental shocks. The
success of the analyst can be copied by everyone,
whereas the actions of the insider cannot. Hence
while the market as a whole may learn from
analysis, it cant learn from insider trading.
Underlying value of the asset (share)
Time
t0.5
t0
t1
20What happens with current restrictions?
The insider will still try to make a profit on
his information and will covertly and illegally
try to buy (or let friends buy) some shares,
leading to a slight increase in price. The better
the monitoring, the less the profit the insider
can make and the more the insiders actions have
to be covert. In the limit, all the insider can
do is to be the very first of the traders at t1
to buy the shares, sharing only slightly in the
additional value with the majority of the net
value increase going to the outside share owners.
Underlying value of the asset (share) and price
Time
t0
t1
21Knock-on effect of inside information?
What would you as the insider do if inside
trading is allowed? Because youll make money on
price changes (both up and down), you will
deliberately create shocks to the real value.
This is most easily accomplished by running down
the company. Hence insider trading would lead the
insiders to deliberate mismanagement.
Artificially created negative shock to the value,
for instance via sabotage
Underlying value of the asset (share)
Time
t0
t1
22So, what have we learned from this textbook
knowledge?
- 1. If you allow insider trading, the insider can
appropriate the full value of the new
information even though outsiders own the
shares, the insider essentially owns the value of
the shocks. - 2. A market for options aggravates the insider
information problem. Hence you can only have a
market for options if you have a very
sophisticated monitoring system. Indeed, you
cannot have a market in stocks or options without
regulation!!!! - 3. Insider trading would lead to wilful sabotage
of the companies by insiders. - 4. Regulation against insider trading is a
cat-and-mouse game of insiders trying to hide
their activities and regulators trying to monitor
them. With no regulation at all, the only outcome
is where no stocks are traded anonymously which
means the useful function of financial markets
disappears and most of the students and staff
here would have no job. - 5. The clever insiders (crooks) and the most
savvy traders will thus make money at the expense
of the majority of traders. Whilst ignorant
people may admire those wealthy crooks and dream
of emulating them, the wealth of the majority and
the value of having a stock market in the first
place is due to the regulators. The crooks are
not a necessary part of the system but the
unfortunate amount of skimming that comes with
imperfect monitoring. - 6. Economic theory is useful financial market
regulation (as well financial research) is justly
based on a solid understanding of economics
rather than the views of financial market
practitioners whose world exists because of
market regulation rather than despite of it.