FIRST

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FIRST ANNUAL ASIAN BUSINESS AVIATION CONFERENCE
AND EXHIBITION ABACE
GREETINGS FROM ICAO ASIA/PACIFIC REGIONAL
OFFICE LALIT B. SHAH
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OBJECTIVE OF PRESENTATION
? OVERVIEW OF GLOBAL INITIATIVES
? OVERVIEW OF REGIONAL INITIATIVES
? OBSERVATIONS
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
ICAO PROJECTION
END OF 2004 - 812 CARRIERS
1995-2004 - 32 INCREASE IN AIRCRAFT
16,586 to 21,943
TURBOJETS BY 33 14,434 to 17,895
2004 - 908 JET AIRCRAFT ORDERED ESTIMATED
AT 65,000 Million
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
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BOEING PROJECTION
NEXT 20 YEARS - 2.1 TRILLION MARKET
- DEMAND WILL BE MORE THAN DOUBLE THE
WORLD FLEET
ASIA/PACIFIC - LARGEST MARKET WITH
36 SHARE
25,700 - NEW PASSENGER FREIGHTER
AIRLINES
WORLD FLEET - MORE THAN 35,000
AIRPLANES
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
? CORPORATE AVIATION SAFETY RECORD
0.06 ACCIDENTS/100,000 DEPARTURES
? IATAS 2004 SAFETY REPORT . CARGO
OPERATIONS 1/3 OF ACCIDENTS . AFRICA
1/4 OF ACCIDENTS . GROUND DAMAGE COSTING
OVER USD4 BILLION . ALA
ACCIDENTS ALMOST HALF . FLIGHT CREW
TRAINING AND PROFICIENCY ISSUES IN
MANY ACCIDENTS
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
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IATAS 2004 SAFETY REPORT
? 48 OF ACCIDENTS DURING ALA PHASES ? MOST
SIGNIFICANT FACTORS - DEFICIENT AIRLINE
SAFETY MANAGEMENT43 - FLIGHT CREW
PROFICIENCY ISSUES 43 - FLIGHT CREW
TRAINING DEFICIENCIES 41 - POOR
STANDARDS AND CHECKING 37 - DEFICIENT
FLIGHT CREW COMMUNICATIONS 22

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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
? ICAO SAFETY RECORD
- PAX FATALITIES/100 MILLION PAX/KMS 0.01 -
FATAL AIRCRAFT ACCIDENTS/100 MILLION
AIRCRAFT-KILOMETRES FLOWN REMAINED AT 0.03 -
FATAL AIRCRAFT ACCIDENTS/100,000 LANDING
INCREASED TO 0.04 FROM 0.03 IN 2003
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
ICAO GLOBAL PROGRAMME
? ICAO UNIVERSAL SAFETY OVERSIGHT AUDIT
PROGRAMME (IUSOAP)

• - FIRST CYCLE 1999-2004
• 181 STATES/2 SARS/3 STATE TERRITORIES AUDITED
• 162 STATES/2 SARS VISITED
• FOR AUDIT FOLLOW-UPS
• SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS
• ACHIEVED IN IMPLEMENTING
• STATE CORRECTIVE ACTION PLAN

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USOAP - FINDING AND ANALYSIS LACK OF EFFECTIVE
IMPLEMENTATION
Primary Aviation Legislation
Specific Operating Regulations
CAA Structure Safety Oversight Functions
Technical Guidance Material
Technical Personnel Qualifications
Licensing Certification Obligations
Continued Surveillance Obligations
Resolution of Safety Issues
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
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ASSOCIATION BETWEEN AUDIT FINDINGS AND ACCIDENT
RATES
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80
70
60
50
40
30
20
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0
Asia and Pacific Region
Southern American Region
Eastern and Southern African Region
European and N. Atlantic Region
N. / C. American and Caribbean Region
Western and Central African Region
Middle East Region
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
ICAO SAFETY PROGRAMMES
? COMPREHENSIVE SYSTEMS APPROACH FOR THE
CONDUCT OF SAFETY OVERSIGHT AUDITS . SAFETY
RELATED PROVISIONS OF 16 OF THE 18 ICAO
ANNEXES . CONSIDERS ICAO PANS AND
GUIDANCE MATERIAL
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
COMPREHENSIVE SYSTEMS APPROACH
TOOLS - SOA QUALITY MANUAL
- STATE AVIATION ACTIVITIES QUESTIONNAI
RE (SAAQ) - COMPLIANCE CHECKLIST
(CC) - AUDIT PROTOCOLS (STANDARDISED AUDIT
QUESTIONS)
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
COMPREHENSIVE SYSTEMS APPROACH
PROGRESS - 7 SEMINARS/WORKSHOPS CONDUCTED
- TOTAL OF 437 PARTICIPANTS FROM 111
CONTRACTING STATES, 13
INTERNATIONAL AND REGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS AND
FROM 7 REGIONAL OFFICES PARTICIPATED - FIVE
AUDITOR TRAINING COURSES CONDUCTED MOST
RECENT ONE - WASHINGTON - 104 PARTICIPANTS
TRAINED - TRAINING IN CAIRO/MEXICO/NAIROBI REGIO
NAL OFFICES PLANNED FOR 2006 - CANADA, FIRST
STATE TO BE AUDITED 11-25 APRIL 2005 IN ADDITION
TO GERMANY, THAILAND AND MALASIA
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
PERFORMANCE-BASED STANDARDS
- SHIFTING FOCUS - PERFORMANCE
REQUIREMENTS AN IMPORTANT ASPECT FOR A
LONG TIME - BENEFITS OF PERFORMANCE
BASED STANDARDS - FUTURE ICAO STANDARDS - MAJOR
CHALLENGE
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
UNIFIED STRATEGY
? A35-7 UNIFIED STRATEGY TO RESOLVE
SAFETY RELATED DEFICIENCIES
? KEY ELEMENTS - SHARING OF SAFETY
INFORMATION - PROVIDING
ASSISTANCE TO GROUPS OF STATES
- FOSTERING PARTNERSHIPS AMONG STATES,
INDUSTRY, ORGANIZATIONS AND FINANCIAL
INSTITUTIONS
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
ASIA/PACIFIC REGIONAL INITIATIVES
? COSCAP COOPERATIVE DEVELOPMENT OF
OPERATIONAL SAFETY AND CONTINUING AIRWORTHINESS
PROGRAMME ? RASMAG REGIONAL AIRSPACE
MONITORING SAFETY ADVISORY GROUP
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
COSCAP
YEAR OF SUB-GROUPING ESTABLISHMENT
VENUE COMPOSITION COSCAP-SA 1998 NEPAL
7 STATES COSCAP-SEA 2001 THAILAND 11
ADMs COSCAP-NA 2003 CHINA 4
STATES PASO 2003 VANUATU 7 STATES
NOTE PACIFIC AVIATION SAFETY OFFICE IS A
GROUPING IN THE PACIFIC SUB-REGION
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
COSCAP
SALIENT FEATURES
? INFORMAL ? APOLITICAL ? FLEXIBLE ? DYNAMIC
? COST / EFFECTIVE ? GENUINE PARTNERSHIP
? TOTAL OWNERSHIP WITH STATES
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
COSCAP
ACHIEVEMENTS
? COSCAP-SA 4,271 PARTICIPANTS
ATTENDED 170 COURSE/WORKSHOPS 52
FROM INDUSTRY 60 EVALUATIONS OF AIR
OPERATORS
? COSCAP-SEA 586 PARTICIPANTS
ATTENDED 145 TRAINING PROGRAMME
? COSCAP-NA 1065 PARTICPANTS
ATTENDED 25 TRAINING PROGRAMMES
? RAST REGIONAL AVIATION SYSTEM
TEAMS HAVE BEEN ESTABLISHED UNDER
EACH COSCAP AND ARE FULLY
FUNCTIONING
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
COSCAP PARTNERSHIP - CONTRIBUTION
? CANADA, DOT ? EUROPEAN COMMISSION ? FAA,
U.S.A. ? NORDIC AID ? AIRBUS ? BOEING ?
RELEVANT AIRLINES OF THE GROUPING
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
REGIONAL AIRSPACE SAFETY MONITORING ADVISORY
GROUP RASMAG
? ICAO SAFETY MANAGEMENT PROVISIONS IN ANNEX
11 ? INCREASED SAFETY PLANNING
AND MONITORING ACTIVITIES ? RASMAG IS THE FRST
SAFETY GROUP TO CENTRALIZE
ASSISTANCE TO STATES ? ESTABLISHED BY
APANPIRG IN 2003
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
RMA/SMA REGIONAL MONITORING AGENCYAND SAFETY
MONITORING AGENCY, AUSTRALIA (A)PARMO
PACIFIC APPROVALS REGISTRY AND MONITORING
ORGANIZATION USA /FAA TECHNICAL CENTRE MAAR
MONITORING AGENCY FOR ASIA REGION, THAILAND
RASMAG
TARGET LEVEL OF SAFETY (TLS) - 9 5 X 10
FATAL ACCIDENTS/ FLIGHT HOUR
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
RASMAG
SOME CONCERNS
? MISSING TRAFFIC SAMPLE DATA ? MISSING LARGE
HEIGHT DEVIATION REPORTS ? INCOMPLETE AND
NON-REPORTING OF STATE APPROVALS REGISTRY DATA
AND ? INCOMPLETE INFORMATION ON FOLLOW- UP
MONITORING OF AIRCRAFT HEIGHT KEEPING
PERFORMANCE
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
OBSERVATIONS
? REQUIREMENTS MAY BE GETTING OVERWHELMING ?
INTERVENTIONS ARE MODEST AND NOT AGGRESSIVE
ENOUGH ? TRAINING AND SKILLED
HUMAN RESOURCES CONTINUE
TO BE A WEAK AREA ? STATES OVERSIGHT
CAPABILITY IS BEING BADLY OUTPACED BY GROWTH OF
OPERATORS
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SAFETY CULTURE OF AVIATION
CONCLUSION
AIR TRANSPORT CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A REMARKABLE
SAFETY RECORD HOWEVER, THIS IS BECOMING
INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT UNLESS WE EXPAND AND
ENHANCE OUR COOPERATIVE PARTNERSHIP SUBSTANTIALLY
AND MORE AGRESSIVELY
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THANK YOU