Title: Risk Management
1Risk Management
- Theodore M. Godlaski
- University of Kentucky
- College of Social Work
2Legal Concerns
- The law in Kentucky requires reporting of
knowledge or reasonable suspicion of child or
adult abuse, neglect, or exploitation. - Child and adult protective services are obliged
to investigate all reports. - Courts and social service agencies have a variety
of methods to assist in the resolution of
situations of domestic violence.
3Ethical Considerations
- Under Fidelity, the therapist owes the client
confidentiality. - This is a consensual not a natural right.
- When the natural right to live free from the fear
of harm is at risk, it overrides confidentiality.
4Ethical Considerations
- Under Beneficence/Nonmaleficence the therapist
must act in the best interest of the client and
do nothing to bring the client to harm. - Doing nothing to limit risk is never considered
preferable to doing something. - The therapist is obliged to do what is possible
to insure the clients safety and that of others.
5Risk Assessment
- Theodore M. Godlaski
- Robert Walker
6Risk Management as a Duty of Care
- Clinicians have an obligation to see to the
safety of clients. - Clients may be at risk of self harm
- Harm to others
- Harm from others.
- Thus, this duty extends to all those who might be
at risk from their clients as well.
7Risk Management as a Duty of Care
- This duty of care falls under the rubric of due
diligence. - This duty of care cannot be met by a single risk
assessment. - It extends, over time, throughout the clinical
relationship. - Consequently, the need to be alert to indications
that risk is present is always part of the
therapeutic relationship. - A risk assessment is not the work of the first
session only.
8Risk Management as a Duty of Care
- Risk management is not a matter of diagnosis but
of behavioral and descriptive assessment. - Because the circumstances of the client are
dynamic and ever changing, so too the clinician
must be aware of the effect of these changing
circumstances on the risks of victimization and
perpetration.
9Risk Management as a Duty of Care
- Once it is determined that significant risk is
present the clinician is obliged to take all
reasonable measures to protect the client and
others. - These measures may include clear and sustained
focus on lethal circumstances, increased
intensity of treatment (including involuntary
treatment), involvement of external agencies. - Determining such measures should 1) respect the
clients interest in preserving freedom, 2) favor
the least restrictive effective care, 3)
recognize the resources available.
10Risk Management as a Duty of Care
- It is important to remember that one kind of risk
does not eliminate the possibility of other kinds
of risk - Individuals who are perpetrators may also be at
risk of harm to self - Individuals who are victims may also be at risk
of harm to self - Victims can also be at risk of harming others.
11Techniques of Risk Assessment
- Global-Clinical
- Construct-Based
- Actuarial
- Actuarially Anchored
- Structured Clinical Judgement
12Global-Clinical Risk Prediction
- Only method until 1980s, leading method until
1990s - Methodology Interview, personality testing,
skill and experience of assessor, global
judgement of dangerousness - Assessors tend to focus on a few key factors
and make judgements simply, despite subjective
feeling of complex consideration of many factors - Approach found to be of little value in
predicting violence
13Construct-Based Risk Prediction
- Identification of personality characteristics
associated with violence - Only one such method shown to work -- the
Psychopathy Checklist - Revised (Hare, 1991) - Combination of behavioural, historical, and
clinical items related to two factors an
antisocial, criminal lifestyle, and a callous,
remorseless use of other people - Individuals identified as psychopaths on the
PCL-R far more likely than non-psychopathic
individuals to commit further violent offences,
and at a much faster rate - PCL-R revitalized the science of risk assessment,
but only applies to a small number of those being
assessed
14Actuarial Risk Prediction
- Historical information about the person is placed
into an actuarial formula related to risk for
violence - Several methods available -- the Violence Risk
Assessment Guide, the Sex Offender Risk
Assessment Guide, the Static-99 - Methods allow for placement of individuals into
risk groups compared to a large normative
sample - Methods show good predictive validity, allow for
prediction of specific types of violence over a
defined time frame - Criticized for focussing on historical elements
that cannot change, may miss dynamic and crucial
risk elements
15Actuarial-Anchored Risk Prediction
- Attempt to address some criticisms of strict
actuarial approach by allowing for clinical
information to influence risk judgement - Actuarial risk is adjusted up or down from an
anchor based on the presence or absence of
clinical elements that seem to increase or
decrease risk - Some initial proponents of this approach have
abandoned it, stating that actuarial predictions
are too good, and clinical predictions too poor,
to risk contaminating the former with the latter
16Structured Clinical Judgment
- Most recent development in risk prediction
- Attempt to synthesize individual factors known to
be empirically related to risk into an evaluation
system - Not an actuarial formula, no comparisons to
normative samples or placement in risk groups - Clinician considers and rates all of the known
factors and makes a judgement of risk - Approach useful for assessing risk for particular
types of violence for which not enough normative
data is available, but in most cases validity not
established
17THE FOUR DOMAINS OF RISKMonahan, J. Steadman,
H.J. (2001). Violence risk assessment A quarter
century of research. In Frost, L. E. , Bonnie,
R J. (Eds.) The evolution of mental health law.
(pp. 195-211). Washington, DC, US American
Psychological Association.
- DISPOSITIONAL RISK FACTORS
- CLINICAL RISK FACTORS
- HISTORICAL RISK FACTORS
- CONTEXTUAL RISK FACTORS
18DISPOSITIONAL FACTORS
- These are life-long, enduring traits (with
probable genetic contributions) that are
associated with increased risk of harm including - SUSTAINED ANGRY DISPOSITION
- PERSISTENT NEGATIVE, HOSTILE, INFERENCES
- SUSTAINED HOSTILE ATTITUDE
- PERSISTENT INFERENCE OF BEING INJURED, HARMED BY
OTHERS
19DISPOSITIONAL FACTORS
- HYPOAROUSABILITY - The under inhibited
temperamental type - HYPERAROUSABILITY - The overly inhibited
temperamental type - LIMITED INTELLECTUAL OR COGNITIVE ABILITY
20DISPOSITIONAL FACTORS
- IMPULSIVITY
- - Cognitive impulsivity i.e., jumping to
conclusions, hasty inferences - Behavioral impulsivity
- THRILL SEEKING
- ATTENTIONAL DEFICITS
21CLINICAL FACTORS
- CONDITIONS THAT CONTRIBUTE TO HEIGHTENED RISK
- Command hallucinations - particularly when
content is threatening harm - Severely compromised sensorium
- Hallucinations secondary to withdrawal or
intoxication - Highly suspicious attitude or thinking
- Poor adherence to prescribed medications
22CLINICAL FACTORS
- Acquired brain injury
- Delusions
- Alcohol, cocaine, amphetamine, hallucinogen,
inhalant use (marijuana - only as it impedes
psychotropic medications and contributes to
social skill deterioration)
23CLINICAL FACTORS
- Severely depressed mood - particularly agitated
depression - PTSD
- Panic
- Antisocial personality traits - the greater the
number of these, the higher the risk profile - Borderline traits
24HISTORICAL FACTORS
- Events in the persons history that are
associated with heightened risk of harm
including - Childhood victim experiences of sexual abuse -
particularly when accompanied by threats - Childhood victim experiences of physical abuse or
witnessing violence toward other family members
or parents
25HISTORICAL FACTORS
- Severe and persistent neglect in childhood
- Attachment disorders
- Early onset of aggression (pre-adolescent)
- This does not necessarily include all conduct
disorder traits - but refers to higher levels of
aggressive behavior that causes injury and is
persistent, not reactive to abuse incidents
26HISTORICAL FACTORS
- Suicide attempts and family history of suicide
completion - Adult victim experiences of physical and/or
sexual violence - Childhood placements in foster care or
institutions - the greater the number, the higher
the risk profile
27CONTEXTUAL FACTORS
- Circumstances and situations that aggravate risk
and that can potentiate dispositional, clinical,
and historical factors including - Loss or threatened loss of residential setting
- Loss of loved one, caregiver, or significant
relationship - Loss of income, job or financial benefits
28CONTEXTUAL FACTORS
- Living in unmarried relationship
- Presence and availability of handguns
- Availability of lethal amounts of medication
- Serious legal problems
- Living with or in relationship with violent
partner - Adult males living with non-biologically related
children - Environmental exposure to heavy substance use
29RISK LEVELS
- LOW RISK
- MODERATE RISK
- HIGH RISK
- CRITICAL RISK
- There are no no risk individuals
30LOW AND MODERATE RISK STATUS
- LOW RISK status may be assigned to those who show
few if any identifiable risk factors or
predisposing factors for harm and no expressed
intent to harm self or others - Low risk cases call for occasional risk scanning
to determine changes in situation or status, but
NO definitive or targeted risk management
actions. - MODERATE RISK status is assigned to those who do
not have significant risk factors but who have
expressed threats to harm self or others.
Situational (contextual) factors are very
important in these cases. Clinical responses
should be shaped by the nature of the expressed
risk and risk should be monitored nearly every
session.
31HIGH AND CRITICAL RISK STATUS
- HIGH RISK status should be assigned to those who,
independent of immediate threats to harm self or
others, have significant risk factors that
predispose toward danger. These individuals
should be monitored closely every session and
treatment should be aimed at harm
reduction/prevention.
32HIGH AND CRITICAL RISK STATUS
- CRITICAL RISK status should be assigned to those
who have significant risk factors AND are
expressing (verbally or behaviorally) intent to
harm self or others. They combine high levels of
predisposing factors plus situations and intent
to harm. The clinical response must be aimed at
harm reduction and vigilant care to protect self
and/or others.
33RISK SCANNING
- RE Self harm -
- Have you thought of harming yourself?
- How would you do this?
- Have you given thought to suicide in the past?
Are you thinking of it now?
34RISK SCANNING
- Harm to others -
- Have there been times in the past when you have
injured others? - How so?
- Have you found yourself thinking about harming
others? - In what ways?
- Do you find yourself losing your temper easily?
- What happens when you do this?
35RISK SCANNING
- Harm to self from others -
- Do you ever find yourself fearing injury or harm
from someone? - How so? What do you think would explain this?
- Is anyone threatening to harm you?
- Have you been seriously injured by anyone before?
- How so?
- Do you feel unsafe in your home?
- In what way?
36RISK SCANNING
- If the individual answers in the affirmative to
any of these items and the immediate follow-up
questions elicit positive answers, then the
clinician should go ahead and conduct a full risk
assessment.
37RISK SCANNING
- If the individual answers these items negatively
and does not fall into any of the high risk
groups then the scan should suffice. This
individual would fit into the low risk category
described above. The clinician should remain
vigilant for the appearance of risk factors at
any time in therapy and should re-visit this scan
from time to time in treatment.
38Risk Assessment Perpetrators DISPOSITIONAL
CHARACTERISTICS
- Look For
- BASIC DISPOSITIONAL CHARACTERISTICS
- males are far more likely to batter, threaten or
coerce spousal partners. - males with early age onset of alcohol use and
whose fathers were alcoholic have higher risk of
aggression than others - an angry, hostile disposition is a significant
marker for harm to others and to self -- there
are three variations (there are at least three
types of batterers in the literature)
39Risk Assessment Perpetrators DISPOSITIONAL
CHARACTERISTICS
- emotionally reactive type (hostile/depressive)
- poor inhibition of impulses
- poor social skills
- has an explosive, volatile quality
- experiences a feeling of loss of control when
angry - is highly aroused by angry states - impresses others as being immature and often
ineffectual
40Risk Assessment Perpetrators DISPOSITIONAL
CHARACTERISTICS
- instrumental type (perfectionistic/over
controlling) - is very controlling
- experiences calming effects from violence and
anger episodes - opposite to the reactive type - is extremely suspicious and jealous
- is emotionally constricted
- has rigid, controlling, personality style
41Risk Assessment Perpetrators DISPOSITIONAL
CHARACTERISTICS
- antisocial type (antisocial)
- is not attached to others
- very likely to abuse drugs or alcohol
- has poor impulse control
- blames others for negative outcomes
- little or no remorse
- uses violence to get his way rather than to
control others
42Risk Assessment Perpetrators DISPOSITIONAL
CHARACTERISTICS
- risk taking temperamental traits - particularly
when associated with temperament of
hypoarousability - the trait of needing high
thresholds of excitement in order to achieve
desired mental state - poorly regulated emotions
- poor ability to inhibit impulses
- attentional deficits
- poor ability to put ideas and feelings into
words - hyperactivity
43Risk Assessment Perpetrators Clinical Features
- Clinical Features
- use of substances (use, not necessarily abuse or
dependence, is a factor) - cocaine, amphetamine (including MDMA, post
intoxication), and alcohol are most often
associated with violence and harm to others. - alcohol use may be associated with the degree of
injury or harm caused by the aggressive act. It
is a potentiator, but not a cause of violence.
44Risk Assessment Perpetrators Clinical Features
- acquired brain injury
- affective instability and extreme mood variations
- in batterers, extreme controlling behaviors
- jealousy and suspicious attitudes toward partners
- beliefs about the legitimacy of male dominance
and rigid stereotypes about male roles - fatalistic beliefs
45Risk Assessment Perpetrators Clinical Features
- poor self esteem and, most importantly, low self
efficacy ( the belief that one is actually able
to affect change in his or her life) - personality disorder - particularly the B
Cluster disorders - Primarily Antisocial and Borderline, secondarily
Narcissistic - bipolar disorder
- presence of suicidal thinking
46Risk Assessment Perpetrators Clinical Features,
B Cluster
- Antisocial
- Conformity to law lacking
- Obligations ignored
- Reckless disregard for safety
- Remorse lacking
- Underhanded (lies and cons)
- Planning insufficient (impulsive)
- Temper (irritable aggressive)
47Risk Assessment Perpetrators Clinical Features,
B Cluster
- Borderline
- Abandonment fear of
- Mood instability
- Suicidal (self-mutilating) behavior
- Unstable, intense relationships
- Impulsive (2 potentially damaging areas)
- Control of anger lacking
- Identity disturbance
- Dissociative symptoms (transient and
stress-related) - Emptiness, chronic feelings of
48Risk Assessment Perpetrators Clinical Features,
B Cluster
- Narcissistic Personality Disorder
- Special (believes he/she is)
- Preoccupied with fantasies
- Entitlement
- Conceited (grandiose and self-important)
- Interpersonal exploitation
- Arrogant (haughty)
- Lacks empathy
49Risk Assessment Perpetrators Life History
- Life History
- childhood experience of physical, sexual, and
emotional abuse - childhood witness to domestic violence
- early history of aggression and bullying
- early history of sexual aggression or adult-like
sexual pursuits - poor adaptations to social norms in school and in
personal relationships
50Risk Assessment Perpetrators Life History
- early experience with alcohol, inhalants,
tobacco, and other drugs - history of conflicts and instability in personal
relationships that lead to physical harm to self
or others (adolescent experiences with date
violence) - history of sexual promiscuity and HIV high risk
sexual activity
51Risk Assessment Perpetrators Life History
- history of suicidal attempts or gestures (the
greater the number of attempts, the greater the
risk both for suicide and uxoricide) - adult experiences of violent crime, rape, or
brutality (can include witnessing AND being a
victim)
52Risk Assessment Perpetrators Context and
Environment
- Context and Environment
- partners decision or action to separate or
divorce - belief that spouse or partner is involved with
another person - ready availability of guns - particularly
handguns - loss of employment and/or significant economic
hardship
53Risk Assessment Perpetrators Context and
Environment
- incidents of perceived injury to self esteem
- partner has children from an earlier
relationship living in the family - partner is enjoying greater success in work or
other social settings - individuals socialization is predominantly in
male-only settings OR the individual is socially
isolated
54Risk Assessment Perpetrators Mitigating Factors
- Mitigating Factors
- desire to avoid negative consequences such as
arrest, protective order, or incarceration - belief that there will be legal or other serious
consequences for violence toward partner or
children - willingness to participate in batterers treatment
programs AND any other treatment that might be
indicated (medication or other therapy - e.g.,
substance abuse treatment)
55Risk Assessment Perpetrators Mitigating Factors
- empathy for others, realistic guilt for harmful
actions - including harm to the children in the
family who witness the violence - history of periods of alcohol and drug abstinence
- belief that violence to self or others is wrong
- childhood or other experiences that instill a
conviction against violence to self or others
56What to Ask
- When you become angry, do you ever have thoughts
of hurting yourself? - What kind of event is MOST likely to make you
feel suicidal? - When you feel suicidal, what are you thinking
about your partner? - Do you ever find yourself wanting to die?
- How would you harm yourself?
- How would you put the plan in place - step by
step? - What weapons do you have access to? What about
drugs or other means of self harm?
57What to Ask
- Where would your family or partner be at the time
of your harming yourself? - When you have attempted suicide in the past, how
have you done it? - What has happened in the past to keep you from
killing yourself? - What has made the hopelessness go away?
- How much more likely is that you will try to hurt
yourself when you are high or drunk? - When you want to harm yourself are you more
likely to want to harm others as well?
58What to Ask
- In what way do you take control when angry at
your partner? - What are the steps by which you insure that you
are not going to be put down? - When you think about getting back at your
partner, how do you do it? - When you have been angry, how have you dealt with
it in the past? - Have you gotten back at your partner in the past?
- How do you follow through on threats?
59What to Ask
- What was the earliest time in your life that you
were involved in a fight? Threatened others with
a weapon? - What injuries resulted?
- What happened to you after this - any
consequences? - What was the first time you used force with a
girl friend or date when she was not acting the
way you thought she should? - What has helped to prevent you from following
through on threats in the past? - Do you plan these things out in your mind or do
they just happen out of the blue? - If they just happen, what has helped you to
contain them in the past?
60What to Do
- Explore the victims experience of the offender
and her assessment of intent, degree of harm,
history of events and sequences. - Explore the victims plans for her own safety and
take steps to link her with services that can
assist this including - make a report to DSS pursuant to applicable law
- execute any duties to warn if actual specific
threats are present - make a referral to law enforcement where the
victim can achieve legal remedies and protection
(EPOs, DVOs) - maintain open line of communication between
victim and clinician - advise offender of necessity for making reports
and for keeping open communications between
public agencies, collateral parties and others
when domestic violence is present
61What to Do
- If the individual is making threats of actual
specific harm, execute duties to warn and to
protect by contacting the victim and law
enforcement agency nearest the victim. - Do not rely on any form of treatment as the sole
means of reducing risk of harm or protection for
the victim - treatment settings may be considered
IN ADDITION to law enforcement or other safety
referrals for the victim. - When the individual discloses acts of domestic
violence, set aside traditional mental health or
substance abuse counseling and shift focus to
risk reduction.
62What to Do
- Where there is high or critical risk, AND
evidence of serious mental disorder (bipolar
disorder, delusional disorder, schizophrenia)
consider hospitalization and execute duties to
warn/protect. - If the high risk is associated with alcohol
intoxication, refer for detoxification AND
execute duties to warn/protect.
63What to Do
- With evidence of domestic violence risk,
discontinue any marital or family counseling
until the violence is sufficiently dormant for
safety to be reasonably predictable for the
victim and other family members. - Be exceedingly cautious about the use of
individual therapy with individuals who present
with domestic violence but no other severe mental
disorder.
64Risk Assessment Victims Dispositional
Characteristics
- Dispositional Characteristics
- a shy personal style or a temperament that is
characterized by hyperarousability may be
associated with increased risk of harm from
others - alternatively, risk taking temperamental traits
and a combative reaction to assault can be
associated with increased risk of harm
65Risk Assessment Victims Clinical Features
- Clinical Features
- use of substances (use, not necessarily abuse or
dependence, is a factor) - cocaine, amphetamine (including MDMA), and
alcohol are most associated with increased risk
of harm - alcohol and Benzodiazepine use associated with
impaired ability to make sound judgments about
safety and to take steps to avoid harm - alcohol and other CNS depressants are associated
with suicide and self-mutilation in those with
severe sexual and/or physical abuse in childhood
- watch for chemical dissociation - narcotic analgesic use can result in danger due
to its illegality and exposure to antisocial
lifestyle more than pharmacological factors
66Risk Assessment Victims Clinical Features
- Clinical Features
- acquired brain injury can greatly impair the
victims ability to make sound decisions
regarding safety for herself and children and it
is associated with diminished ability to be a
reliable witness with law enforcement and in
court - depression
- beliefs about the legitimacy of male dominance
and rigid stereotypes about male roles - rigid
religious beliefs about marital obligations and
the roles of women
67Risk Assessment Victims Clinical Features
- Clinical Features
- poor self esteem and, most importantly, low self
efficacy (the belief that one is actually able to
affect change in his or her life) - lack of belief in a better future
- personality disorder - particularly the B
Cluster disorders - bipolar disorder
- presence of suicidal thinking
68Risk Assessment Victims Life History
- Life History
- childhood experience of being a victim of
physical, sexual, and emotional abuse -
particularly sexual abuse - childhood witness to domestic violence
- poor adaptations to social norms in school and in
personal relationships - early experience with alcohol, inhalants,
tobacco, and other drugs
69Risk Assessment Victims Life History
- Life History
- history of conflicts and instability in personal
relationships that lead to physical harm to self
or others (adolescent experiences with date
violence) - history of suicidal attempts or gestures (the
greater the number of attempts, the greater the
risk) - adult victim experiences of violent crime, rape,
or brutality (can include witnessing AND being a
victim)
70Risk Assessment Victims Context and Environment
- Context and Environment
- a decision or action to separate or seek a
divorce from a battering partner - Pregnancy
- having young dependent children
- ready availability of guns in the home -
particularly handguns - partners loss of employment and/or significant
economic hardship in the family
71Risk Assessment Victims Context and Environment
- Context and Environment
- victim has children from her earlier relationship
living in the family - victims partner perceives her family of origin
as adversarial - social isolation - including geographical
isolation - victim is enjoying greater success than partner
in work or other social settings - victim is isolated by partner and has limited
freedom of access to goods and services
72Risk Assessment Victims Mitigating Factors
- Mitigating Factors
- desire to seek safety and work toward a safety
plan - belief that there will be legal or other serious
consequences for violence toward self or children - willingness to use treatment and social services
- availability of shelter services
73Risk Assessment Victims Mitigating Factors
- Mitigating Factors
- availability of advocacy services
- ability to reduce drug or alcohol use
- availability of effective law enforcement
personnel and policies - availability of supportive family and friends
74What to Ask
- Do you have thoughts of hurting yourself?
- What situation is MOST likely to make you feel
suicidal? - Do you ever find yourself wanting to die?
- How would you harm yourself?
- How would you put the plan in place - step by
step?
75What to Ask
- Where would your family be at the time of your
harming yourself how would you protect your
children? - When you have attempted suicide in the past, how
have you done it? - What has happened in the past to keep you from
killing yourself? - What has made the hopelessness go away?
- How much more likely is that you will try to hurt
yourself when you are high or drunk?
76What to Ask
- How have you been injured by others, including
your partner, in the past? - Are you in danger now? How so?
- What is the history of events and how violence
erupts? - Have threats been made against you, your children
or other family members recently?
77What to Ask
- Are you in danger of being harmed physically?
Sexually? Emotionally? - Has anyone been a witness to the threats or the
assault? - Where are you most threatened? At home? At
work? - Have you been more likely to be harmed when on
drugs or alcohol? How so?
78What to Ask
- What plan do you have for your safety?
- What has protected you in the past?
- Is there anything about the present situation
that makes it different from the past?
79What to Do
- Begin safety planning with the victim and
children - Make referrals to shelters, victim advocates and
to law enforcement where indicated - Rehearse safety plans with victim
- Address treatment needs along with safety
planning, but do not use treatment as an
alternative to safety planning - If the individual is intoxicated and in need of
shelter, consider detoxification program (crisis
stabilization unit) - Link the individual with a victims advocate in
the local area.
80What to Do
- Look closely at the individuals level of
impulsivity and her history of acting on impulses
during crises or intoxicated states. - Pay special attention to the availability of the
means for suicide. - When suicidality has been identified, the
clinician should - 1) explore enhanced safety arrangements for the
individual - 2) engage the individual in a no-harm agreement
until treatment can move beyond crisis
management and - 3) be available to the individual for continuing
crisis management.
81What to Do
- Do active telephone follow-up on missed
appointments if the individual has told the
clinician that this is safe and will not provoke
harm from the offender - Continue to monitor suicidal thoughts from
session to session - At any point in the interview, seek consultation
when in doubt about the degree of lethality of
the individuals responses and the appropriate
risk management actions.