Title: Smith Barney Citigroup Small
1Smith Barney Citigroup Small Mid-Cap
ConferenceMay 6, 2004
Allmerica Financial Corporation
Ed ParryExecutive Vice PresidentChief
Financial Officer
2Allmerica Financial CorporationForward Looking
Statement
- Certain statements in this presentation may
contain, forward looking statements as defined
in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995. Use of the words believes,
anticipates, expects and similar expressions
is intended to identify forward looking
statements. In particular, this presentation may
include forward looking statements with respect
to earnings growth, return on equity, anticipated
price increases in our PC business, growth,
expense management and improved underwriting. - The Company cautions investors that any such
forward-looking statements are not guarantees of
future performance and actual results could
differ materially. Investors are directed to
consider the risks and uncertainties in our
business that may affect future performance and
that are discussed in readily available
documents, including the Companys annual report
and other documents filed by Allmerica with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. - These uncertainties include the possibility of
adverse catastrophe experience and severe
weather, adverse loss development and adverse
trends in mortality and morbidity, changes in the
stock and financial markets, changes from assumed
surrender activities and assumed stock market
returns, adverse selection in underwriting
activities and surrender patterns, investment
impairments, heightened competition, adverse
state and federal legislation or regulation,
financial ratings actions, and various other
factors, which include the effect of the
Companys decision to close its retail
broker-dealer operations as well as the
anticipated impact and cost of the GMDB hedging
program. The performance of the hedging program
is dependent on, among other things, the future
performance and volatility of the equity market,
the extent to which the performance of the
various hedging instruments correlate with the
investment performance of the underlying annuity
sub-accounts, the continued availability of
equity index futures and redemption and mortality
patterns in the Companys annuity contracts. - The discussion in this presentation includes
financial measures that are not derived from
generally accepted accounting principles, or
GAAP. Information regarding these non-GAAP
financial measures is available in the Investor
Relations section of the Allmerica website at
www.allmerica.com
3Who We Are
- Fortune 500 Market Capitalization of 1.9B
- Regional Property and Casualty Company
- 30th Largest Property and Casualty Insurer
- Over 2 billion in Written Premium
- Partnerships with 1,850 Local Agenciesin 25
States Northeast and Michigan Focus - Hanover Citizens Brand Names
- Over 150 Years in the Business
- A.M. Best Rating of A- Excellent
- Life Companies
- Closed Block of Business Consisting Primarily
ofVariable Annuities - 14B in Assets
- 120 Million in Annual Operating Cash Flow
- A.M. Best Secure Rating of B Very Good
4Who We Are in Numbers
2003 Revenue
2003 Pre-tax Segment Income
24
7
76
93
Excludes Corporate Debt
2003 Net Income 87m EPS 1.63
5Who We Are in Numbers
GAAP Equity
Statutory Surplus
1,619
1,555
1,312
43
1,218
57
Life and PC Equity 2.8B Debt
(0.5B) Total GAAP Equity 2.3B
3/31/04 Life Company RBC 420
6Allmerica Financial Corporation 2003 Property
and Casualty Business Mix
Commercial Lines by Size
2.2B Total Net Written Premium
13
22
25k-50k
9
10k lt 25k
50k-100k
gt 100k
10
lt 10k
46
81 in Policies lt 50K 2/3 of Accounts lt 75K
- 68 Personal Lines - Short-tail Liabilities
- 32 Commercial Lines - Predominately Main
Street Small Commercial
7Personal Lines2004 Priorities
Margin Improvement Drive Earnings Growth
- Identify and Grow with Key Agents
- Aggressively Manage Underperforming Agents
- Achieve Adequate Pricing Levels
- Continue Implementation of Rate
- Tiering
- Shift Geographic Mix of Business
- Improve MA Auto Results
Product Underwriting
Responsive Service Delivery
- Accelerate Deployment of POS
- Introduce Pre-Fill
8Commercial Lines2004 Priorities
Build the Foundation for Earnings Growth in 2005
- Lock in Strategic Partnerships with Winning
Commercial Lines Agencies
- Improve Renewal Retention
- Enhance New Business Mix
- Tiered Pricing Strategies
Product Underwriting
Responsive Service Delivery
- Refine small commercial operating model
9Life Companies2004 Priorities
- Maintain Expense Margins
- Retain Profitable Customers
Maximize Long Term Cash Flow
- Manage GMDB Risk Through Hedging
Manage Volatility
- Create Strategies to Utilize Excess Capital
Maximize Long Term Value
10Allmerica Financial Corporation Financial
Performance
( in millions)
After Tax Segment Earnings
First Quarter Highlights
- Segment Income up 40
- Solid PC Earnings
- Life Earnings Better than Expected
11Property Casualty Financial Performance
( in millions)
Pre-tax Segment Earnings
First Quarter Highlights
- Personal Lines
- Rate Increases
- Lower Frequency of Losses
- Commercial Lines
- Lower Favorable Development
- Premium Growth
- Increased Retention
12Life Companies Financial Performance
( in millions)
Pre-tax Segment Earnings
- Lower Operating Expenses
- Favorable Equity Market
5
Q1 2003
Q1 2004
2
( in millions)
Net Operating Cash Flow
42
40
39
32
32
- Strong Positive Cash Flow
Q1 2004
Q4 2003
13AFC Performance Metrics
PC
Life
- Cash Flow
- Statutory Surplus
- GAAP Earnings
- GAAP Book Value
- Return onEquity
142004 Financial Summary
Focus on the Basics
Personal Lines
Great Start Towards Becoming a World Class
PC Company
Margin Improvement Drives Earnings Growth
Improve ROE
Commercial Lines
Building the Foundation for Growth
Life Companies
Maximize Cash Flow Maintain Strong Surplus
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