Modern Trends in Information Technology Dr. Lloyd Brooks

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Modern Trends in Information Technology

• Dr. Lloyd Brooks, Professor
• Management Information Systems
• The University of MemphisInformation and
  Economic Growth ConferenceMoscow, Russia
• November 2006

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Trends Shaping the Future

• Worlds Population Doubles in 40 Years
• Developed Countries Population Living Longer
• Undeveloped Countries Faster Birth Rate
• Global Economy More Integrated
• Economy and Society Dominated by Technology
  Applications
• Pace of Technology Development Increasing at a
  Faster Rate
• Source World Future Society

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Largest Population Growth in Undeveloped Countries

• Palestinian Territory 217
• Niger 205
• Yemen 168
• Angola 162
• Republic of the Congo 161
• Uganda 133
• Developed and Industrialized Countries to See
  Declines in Population Due to Low Fertility Rates
  
• Source World Future Society

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Search Engine Trend

• Google Number 1 Started in 1998
• Yahoo/AOL Searches Routed to Google
• 88 of All Searches Use Google
• 200 Million Searches Per Day
• 6 Billion Pages Stored on the Web
• Microsoft Announced a Challenge to Google to be
  Initiated in 2007

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Speed and Power Growth

• Processing Speed
• 2 times every 18 months
• Storage Space
• 2 times ever 9 months
• Fiber Optics
• 2 times every 6 months
• Internet Traffic
• 2 times every 12 months

Source U. S. News and World Report
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Wireless Phones to Increase

• 125 million cell phone subscribers in India, or
  three times the number of landlines in the
  country. By 2010, half of the nation's 1.1
  billion people will be connected by cell phone.
  (The Washington Post NewspaperOctober 2006)

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Privacy A Thing of the Past

• Sensor networks, robots and biological chips
  would leave network management, health care and
  many household tasks to machines. Every moment
  of your life would be preserved on video.

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Computers More Prevalent

• Today's PDAs (personal digital assistants) make
  early supercomputers look like stone knives and
  bear skins. Fifteen years ago, e-mail was
  not indispensable.

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Internet Statistics

• 2.6 Billion to Clean Up Code Red Virus
• 7.9 Million Personal Visits From Work Per Month
• Online Gaming Growing to 14 Billion by 2008
• 60.7 of Workers Use Web for Personal Use
• 32 Bought a Holiday Gift Online
• Based on USA Statistics

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Internet Statistics

• Sex is the Number 1 Search Term
• Workers Spend 21 Hours at Work and 9.5 Hours at
  Work on Internet Each Week
• 32.6 of Workers Have No Objective While Surfing
  the Internet
• 31 of Employers Restrict Internet Use
• 82 of Businesses Believe Internet Use Should Be
  Monitored (Business Week Magazine 2006)

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IT Trends

• Security technologies, including biometrics
• Intelligent" machines and robots that respond to
  human needs and patterns
• Source Harvard Business School Cyberposium

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Comparative Market Share by Technology
Biometrics Market Share
Source http//www.ict.tuwien.ac.at/skripten/Pen
zhorn article by Dr. W. Z. Penzhorn
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Global Positioning Systems

• Direct Auto Driving
• Integrated into Cell Phone
• Keep Up With Children
• Keep Up With Spouse
• Disney Phoneis Available Now

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Keyboard of the Future

• Half the size of your average deck of cards
• Sits wirelessly on any flat surface
• Projects a red standard QUERTY-layout keyboard on
  any flat opaque surface. Watches your fingers
  hit the key locations it has projected, and then
  sends the keystrokes through to your PDA or PC

Available Now
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Hands-Free Remote Control
Increase Volume
Change to Channel 3
Record
Remembers Favorite Channels
Remembers 54 Different Voice Commands
Recognizes 4 Voices
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Bill Gates Introduces the Tablet PC
May change the way that notes are taken
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Future Movie Watching
Connects (wireless) to any video source PC,
DVD, TV and so forth
Uses two AA batteries and sells for 499
Available Now
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Energy Management

• Check HVAC system remotely
• Wireless plumbing leak remote detection
• PDA to remotely check home temperature
• PDA to review what is taking place in the home
  spying on the nanny or at-home wife
• Source International Data Corporation

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Smart Appliances

• Microwave with 400 recipes
• Refrigerator that recognizes sour milk
• Alarm clock communicates with coffee maker
• Source Microsoft Network

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Moores Law

• In 1965, when Intel was developing the first
  microprocessor, company cofounder Gordon Moore
  predicted that the number of transistors on a
  microprocessor would double approximately every
  18 months. To date, Moore's law has proven
  remarkably accurate. In 2003, Moore predicted
  that his law will last until at least 2013.
  Speed to exceed 98 GHz by 2013.

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IT Trends

• USA Government may add taxes on Internet trade.
  Current moratorium to expire. Look for possible
  E-Tax system by 2008.

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Phones 2013

• Phones will be low-powered, lightweight,
  ear-mounted, and equipped with one follow-you
  phone number. It will connect to the Net via the
  PDA.

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Writing Pens 2013

• As you write with your pen, it captures your
  scrawled messages and beams them to your PDA or
  your tube rollup monitor.

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PDA 2013

• The PDA of the future will connect to the Net and
  replace money, keys, credit cards, and remotes.

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PDA Agent ID 2013

• By using new scanning technology that verifies
  the user's thumb-print, the PDA will open doors
  to cars, homes, and offices. It will secure
  access to your personal databases, such as online
  medical records, and guarantee their privacy.

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Laptop 2013

• The laptop with voice recognition will make
  keyboards obsolete and a rollout LCD screen
  permits the monitor to scroll.

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Computers 2013

• Computer displays and TV monitors are replaced by
  one lightweight, flat LCD panel that can be
  placed on a desk or hung on a wall. Your PDA
  pulls up your personal desktop configuration for
  work or for play.

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Medical Diagnosis 2013

• A camera and LCD screen analyze skin color and
  provide a real-time link to doctors.
  "Point-at-what-hurts" interaction aids diagnosis.
  The device lets you monitor your parents' health,
  too

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E-Map 2013

• Electronic ink and GPS combine to provide a
  lightweight moving map that displays your exact
  location in all terrains.

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Seating 2013

• Chairs will be made of a gel that conforms to
  your body shape and will be matched to human
  tissue to provide a subtle massaging.
• People will be able to heat and cool their
  chair and change its configurations for
  perching, lounging, and sitting.

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Connectivity 2013

• Most electrical appliances connected to Web -
  machine to machine communication.
• Washing machine using too much watermessage
  sent electronically to Maytag that arepair is
  needed.

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Cable 2013

• Television will contain a hard disk to record
  shows1 terabyte of space to store hundreds of
  hours of high-definition programming.
• Shows can be seen when you want to see themnot
  just when they are transmitted.
• Entertainment sold as a pay-per-view fee or as a
  monthly subscription.

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Identification 2013

• Radio-frequency identification tags (RFID) to
  keep track of inventory and payment. RFID chips
  are the size of a grain of rice and will sell for
  one cent.
• People will bag the products and a RFID will
  total the products and deduct from your RFID
  credit card in your wallet.
• RFID will mark the beginning of the end for paper
  cash money.

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Communications 2013

• Reliable speech recognition will allow computers,
  phones, and household appliances to understand
  spoken commands.
• Commands such as Car, how far to the next gas
  station? will be common.

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Questions and Comments