Title: This project is funded by the European Commission, Research
1WIODWORLD INPUT-OUTPUT DATABASE construction and
applications
This project is funded by the European
Commission, Research Directorate General as part
of the 7th Framework Programme, Theme 8
Socio-Economic Sciences and Humanities. Grant
Agreement no 225 281
- Marcel Timmer
- Groningen Growth and Development Centre
- University of Groningen
- (presentation at World KLEMS conference,
- Harvard, 19-20 August, 2010)
2WORLD KLEMS database
- Benefits of WORLD KLEMS database
- International comparisons of output, input and
productivity growth at the industry level - and when combined with relative prices across
countries (PPPs) international comparisons of
levels also possible. - Although broad international guidelines (SNA,
OECD manuals etc.) available, implementation
conventions are needed, e.g. as in EU KLEMS
project.
3From WORLD KLEMS to WIOD
- WORLD KLEMS contains national databases and is
limited - focus exclusively on the supply side
- without interaction between national economies
- New project started up to link national
input-output tables with help of international
trade data to capture international dependence
through demand and trade World input-output
database (WIOD) project - Funded by funded by the European Commission,
Research Directorate General as part of the 7th
Framework Programme, Theme 8 Socio-Economic
Sciences and Humanities (4 million euro,
2010-2012)
4Who is in WIOD?
- University of Groningen (The Netherlands)
- Institute for Prospective Technological Studies
(Spain) - Wiener Institut für Internationale
Wirtschaftsvergleiche (Austria) - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
(Germany) - Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
(Austria) - Konstanz University of Applied Sciences (Germany)
- The Conference Board Europe (Belgium)
- CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy
Analysis - Institute of Communication and Computer Systems
(Greece) - Central Recherche SA (France)
- OECD (France)
5This presentation
- To inform you about the World input-output
database (WIOD) project and how it links with the
World KLEMS initiative - Aims of WIOD-project
- Brief outline of construction of the database
- Preliminary applications to
- consumption-accounting of green-house gas
emissions and - Factor-content of international trade
6Documentation and info
- Dedicated website to WIOD project at www.wiod.org
- This presentation based on paper
- World Input-Output Database (WIOD)
- Construction, Challenges and Applications
- Prepared by
- Abdul Azeez Erumban
- Reitze Gouma
- Bart Los
- Robert Stehrer
- Umed Temurshoev
- Marcel Timmer
- Gaaitzen de Vries
7Aim of WIOD
- Time-series of input-output tables with supply
broken down by origin domestically produced or
imported (by partner country) - Satellite accounts
- Socio-economic (labour and capital input by type)
- Environmental (energy, emissions to air and
water, natural resources) - Period from 1995 to 2006
- 27 EU countries and 13 other major countries
- 35 industries and 59 products
8List of Countries
- EU-27
- plus13 non-EU
- - Canada - China
- - United States - India
- - Brazil - Japan
- - Mexico - South Korea
- - Turkey - Taiwan
- - Russia - Indonesia
- - Australia
9WIOD characteristics
- (Compared to other efforts such as GTAP, OECD,
IDE etc.) - Time-series benchmarked on National Accounts data
- Constant price tables
- Explicit attention for (trade in) services
- Supply and use tables as the basis
- Satellite accounts (socio-economic and
environmental) - Based on official statistics with maximum of
transparency in calculations
10National Input-Output (IO) Table (industry by
industry type)
11World input-output table (3 regions,
industry-by-industry type)
12Dataflows and construction steps in WIOT
13Methodologies
- 1. Time-series of SUTs at purchasers prices
- Extrapolation and benchmarking of SUTs to
National Accounts statistics, based on SUT-RAS
method (Temurshoev and Timmer 2009) - 2. From SUTs at purchasers prices to basic
prices - Construction of net tax, trade and transport
margin matrices - 3. From national to inter-country SUTs
- Breakdown of Use table into domestic and imported
(by delivering country) - Relying on imports from international trade
statistics - Not simple proportional method, but distinction
between intermediate, consumer and capital goods.
This is based on a new classification of
HS6-digit products to end-use - (In later stage use import tables from NSIs if
available)
14Methodologies
- 4. From SUTs to inter-country input-output table
- Technology assumptions (on product sales or
production) - Rest of World exports to RoW is calculated as
residual and can become negative - 5. From current price to constant price tables
- National deflators based on industry gross output
deflators, and row wise deflation of SUT. At
later stage add in more information from national
accounts - International deflators (PPPs) World Bank ICP
expenditure PPPs adjusted and allocated to
industries (for 2005)
15Possible applications
- Production and consumption of Greenhouse gas
emissions - Nakano et al. (2009, OECD), Davis and Caldena
(2010, PNAS) - Quarter of produced CO2 emissions is not
consumed in same place - OECD net import is about 15-20 of own
production, while China, Russia and Middle East
are large net exporters - Trade in value added
- Series of studies, mostly two regions (US and
rest of world) - Trade imbalance in value added terms much less
than in gross terms - Different angle on competitiveness and trade
policy effects, and effects on wage inequality - Almost all studies so far are lacking time-series
perspectives, and breakdown of value added into
labour skill types and capital
16Approach, akin to Reimer (2006, JIE)
17Greenhouse gas emissions (Preliminary results)
18Greenhouse gas emissions (Preliminary results)
19Factor content of trade (Preliminary results)
20Global value chain of final output in Korean
Elec. Equip. Manu, 1995, 2005 (Preliminary
results)
21Global value chain of final output in Korean
Elec. Equip. Manu, 1995, 2005 (Preliminary
results)
22Value chain of final output in Global Elec.
Equip. Manu., 1995, 2005 (Preliminary results)
23Value chain of final output in Global Elec.
Equip. Manu., 1995, 2005 (Preliminary results)
24Concluding remarks
- Summary of methods and applications to be found
in paper posted on the WORLDKLEMS website - Main innovations in WIOD
- Time-series data
- Methodological improvements (e.g. SUT-RAS import
tables) - Based on official data with transparent flow of
adjustments - Integrated socio-economic and environmental
accounts - Work in progress. Database will be made public
- Including basic data so user can make alternative
choices - parts of data public in autumn 2011 full
data-set May 2012 - Linking in the national KLEMS databases into WIOD
will enhance potential area of applications
25Additional material
26Columns in Use table
27Rows in Use table(part 1)
28Rows in Use table(part 2)
29WIOD project Work Packages
- WP1-3 Construction of harmonized supply and use
tables, national input-output tables, price
deflators, trade flows and intercountry
input-output tables - WP4 Construction of environmental satellite
accounts (energy use, greenhouse gas emissions,
etc.) - WP5 Construction of socio-economic satellite
accounts (skill levels, investment, accumulation
of intangibles) - WP6 Methodological research
- WP7-9 Development of new models and
extension/adaptation of models with track record
within EC