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This project is funded by the European Commission, Research

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This project is funded by the European Commission, Research Directorate General as part of the 7th Framework Programme, Theme 8: Socio-Economic Sciences and Humanities. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: This project is funded by the European Commission, Research


1
WIODWORLD INPUT-OUTPUT DATABASE construction and
applications
This project is funded by the European
Commission, Research Directorate General as part
of the 7th Framework Programme, Theme 8
Socio-Economic Sciences and Humanities. Grant
Agreement no 225 281
  • Marcel Timmer
  • Groningen Growth and Development Centre
  • University of Groningen
  • (presentation at World KLEMS conference,
  • Harvard, 19-20 August, 2010)

2
WORLD KLEMS database
  • Benefits of WORLD KLEMS database
  • International comparisons of output, input and
    productivity growth at the industry level
  • and when combined with relative prices across
    countries (PPPs) international comparisons of
    levels also possible.
  • Although broad international guidelines (SNA,
    OECD manuals etc.) available, implementation
    conventions are needed, e.g. as in EU KLEMS
    project.

3
From WORLD KLEMS to WIOD
  • WORLD KLEMS contains national databases and is
    limited
  • focus exclusively on the supply side
  • without interaction between national economies
  • New project started up to link national
    input-output tables with help of international
    trade data to capture international dependence
    through demand and trade World input-output
    database (WIOD) project
  • Funded by funded by the European Commission,
    Research Directorate General as part of the 7th
    Framework Programme, Theme 8 Socio-Economic
    Sciences and Humanities (4 million euro,
    2010-2012)

4
Who is in WIOD?
  • University of Groningen (The Netherlands)
  • Institute for Prospective Technological Studies
    (Spain)
  • Wiener Institut für Internationale
    Wirtschaftsvergleiche (Austria)
  • Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
    (Germany)
  • Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
    (Austria)
  • Konstanz University of Applied Sciences (Germany)
  • The Conference Board Europe (Belgium)
  • CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy
    Analysis
  • Institute of Communication and Computer Systems
    (Greece)
  • Central Recherche SA (France)
  • OECD (France)

5
This presentation
  • To inform you about the World input-output
    database (WIOD) project and how it links with the
    World KLEMS initiative
  • Aims of WIOD-project
  • Brief outline of construction of the database
  • Preliminary applications to
  • consumption-accounting of green-house gas
    emissions and
  • Factor-content of international trade

6
Documentation and info
  • Dedicated website to WIOD project at www.wiod.org
  • This presentation based on paper
  • World Input-Output Database (WIOD)
  • Construction, Challenges and Applications
  • Prepared by
  • Abdul Azeez Erumban
  • Reitze Gouma
  • Bart Los
  • Robert Stehrer
  • Umed Temurshoev
  • Marcel Timmer
  • Gaaitzen de Vries

7
Aim of WIOD
  • Time-series of input-output tables with supply
    broken down by origin domestically produced or
    imported (by partner country)
  • Satellite accounts
  • Socio-economic (labour and capital input by type)
  • Environmental (energy, emissions to air and
    water, natural resources)
  • Period from 1995 to 2006
  • 27 EU countries and 13 other major countries
  • 35 industries and 59 products

8
List of Countries
  • EU-27
  • plus13 non-EU
  • - Canada - China
  • - United States - India
  • - Brazil - Japan
  • - Mexico - South Korea
  • - Turkey - Taiwan
  • - Russia - Indonesia
  • - Australia

9
WIOD characteristics
  • (Compared to other efforts such as GTAP, OECD,
    IDE etc.)
  • Time-series benchmarked on National Accounts data
  • Constant price tables
  • Explicit attention for (trade in) services
  • Supply and use tables as the basis
  • Satellite accounts (socio-economic and
    environmental)
  • Based on official statistics with maximum of
    transparency in calculations

10
National Input-Output (IO) Table (industry by
industry type)
11
World input-output table (3 regions,
industry-by-industry type)
12
Dataflows and construction steps in WIOT
13
Methodologies
  • 1. Time-series of SUTs at purchasers prices
  • Extrapolation and benchmarking of SUTs to
    National Accounts statistics, based on SUT-RAS
    method (Temurshoev and Timmer 2009)
  • 2. From SUTs at purchasers prices to basic
    prices
  • Construction of net tax, trade and transport
    margin matrices
  • 3. From national to inter-country SUTs
  • Breakdown of Use table into domestic and imported
    (by delivering country)
  • Relying on imports from international trade
    statistics
  • Not simple proportional method, but distinction
    between intermediate, consumer and capital goods.
    This is based on a new classification of
    HS6-digit products to end-use
  • (In later stage use import tables from NSIs if
    available)

14
Methodologies
  • 4. From SUTs to inter-country input-output table
  • Technology assumptions (on product sales or
    production)
  • Rest of World exports to RoW is calculated as
    residual and can become negative
  • 5. From current price to constant price tables
  • National deflators based on industry gross output
    deflators, and row wise deflation of SUT. At
    later stage add in more information from national
    accounts
  • International deflators (PPPs) World Bank ICP
    expenditure PPPs adjusted and allocated to
    industries (for 2005)

15
Possible applications
  • Production and consumption of Greenhouse gas
    emissions
  • Nakano et al. (2009, OECD), Davis and Caldena
    (2010, PNAS)
  • Quarter of produced CO2 emissions is not
    consumed in same place
  • OECD net import is about 15-20 of own
    production, while China, Russia and Middle East
    are large net exporters
  • Trade in value added
  • Series of studies, mostly two regions (US and
    rest of world)
  • Trade imbalance in value added terms much less
    than in gross terms
  • Different angle on competitiveness and trade
    policy effects, and effects on wage inequality
  • Almost all studies so far are lacking time-series
    perspectives, and breakdown of value added into
    labour skill types and capital

16
Approach, akin to Reimer (2006, JIE)
17
Greenhouse gas emissions (Preliminary results)
18
Greenhouse gas emissions (Preliminary results)
19
Factor content of trade (Preliminary results)
20
Global value chain of final output in Korean
Elec. Equip. Manu, 1995, 2005 (Preliminary
results)
21
Global value chain of final output in Korean
Elec. Equip. Manu, 1995, 2005 (Preliminary
results)
22
Value chain of final output in Global Elec.
Equip. Manu., 1995, 2005 (Preliminary results)
23
Value chain of final output in Global Elec.
Equip. Manu., 1995, 2005 (Preliminary results)
24
Concluding remarks
  • Summary of methods and applications to be found
    in paper posted on the WORLDKLEMS website
  • Main innovations in WIOD
  • Time-series data
  • Methodological improvements (e.g. SUT-RAS import
    tables)
  • Based on official data with transparent flow of
    adjustments
  • Integrated socio-economic and environmental
    accounts
  • Work in progress. Database will be made public
  • Including basic data so user can make alternative
    choices
  • parts of data public in autumn 2011 full
    data-set May 2012
  • Linking in the national KLEMS databases into WIOD
    will enhance potential area of applications

25
Additional material
26
Columns in Use table
27
Rows in Use table(part 1)
28
Rows in Use table(part 2)
29
WIOD project Work Packages
  • WP1-3 Construction of harmonized supply and use
    tables, national input-output tables, price
    deflators, trade flows and intercountry
    input-output tables
  • WP4 Construction of environmental satellite
    accounts (energy use, greenhouse gas emissions,
    etc.)
  • WP5 Construction of socio-economic satellite
    accounts (skill levels, investment, accumulation
    of intangibles)
  • WP6 Methodological research
  • WP7-9 Development of new models and
    extension/adaptation of models with track record
    within EC
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