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Slide Title44 points SubTitle32 points

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Harvey E. Green. President/CEO. U.S. Economic Conditions ... 2/01 5/03 -2.7 Million. Non-Farm Employment (millions) Jan-06 ... Denver. 21% Kansas City ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Slide Title44 points SubTitle32 points


1
Harvey E. Green President/CEO
2
U.S. Economic Conditions FavorableEmployment
Above Prior Peak
5/03 1/06 4.7 Million
2/01 5/03 -2.7 Million
Non-Farm Employment (millions)
Jan-06
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
BLS
3
Top-Line Inflation Skewed By Energy PricesCore
Prices Under Control (For Now)
Crude Oil (price per barrel)
Year-Over-Year Change
Forecast
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
BLS, Federal Reserve
4
Record Home Price Appreciation Cooling Median
Existing Single-Family Home Price
Data points growth from 2000-2005
72
Median Home Price
69
49
37
38
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
National Association of Realtors
5
Median Home Price Change By Market2000 to 2005
Source Marcus Millichap Research Services
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
National Association of Realtors
6
U.S. Housing Market Cooling EvidentMonths
Supply of Inventory Rising
58.9
YOY Change
25.6
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
National Association of Realtors
7
U.S. Single-Family Home Price to Apartment Rent
Ratio
20-Year Average (1981-2001)
Home Price to Apartment Rent Ratio
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services
8
Conversion Volume Outpacing Ground-Up
Development Nationally
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
Real Capital Analytics
9
Apartment Vacancy Recovery to Continue in 2006
and Beyond
Completions (Thousands of Units)
Forecast
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
Reis, U.S. Census Bureau
10
Conversions Drive Most Rapid Drop in
VacancyUnits Sold for Conversion as a of
Rental Stock 2003-2005
Source Marcus Millichap Research Services
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
Reis
11
Concession Burn in Full Swing, Highest Effective
Rent Growth Since 2000 Expected
Asking Rent Growth
Effective Rent Growth
Forecast
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
Reis
12
Top 10 U.S. Apartment Markets By Vacancy
Rate2006 Forecast
Forecast
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
Reis
13
Bottom 10 U.S. Apartment Markets By Vacancy
Rate2006 Forecast
Forecast
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
Reis
14
U.S. Renter Demographics Turning Positive
Change in Population
Forecast
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
Economy.com
15
U.S. Apartment Fundamentals Catching Up To
Pricing Gradually
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services
CoStar Group, Inc., Reis
16
Conversions, Buyer Demand Pressuring So. Cal
Apartment Prices - Median Price per Unit
Condo Conversion Price/Premium
220,000 70
241,000 60
149,000 40
193,000 40
Sources Marcus Millichap Research Services,
CoStar Group, Inc.
17
Harvey E. Green President/CEO
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