3G Americas Viewpoints on IMT2000 Spectrum

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3G Americas Viewpoints on IMT-2000 Spectrum
Erasmo Rojas Director Latin America Caribbean
Erasmo.rojas_at_3gamericas.org

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Outline
3G Americas Markets and services update Current
and future IMT-2000 spectrum Spectrum allocations
and caps scenario IMT-2000 recommended bands IM
T-2000 market potential Regulatory issues and op
portunities
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3G Americas Board of Governors
The mission of 3G Americas is to promote and
facilitate the seamless deployment throughout the
Americas of GSM and its evolution to 3G and
beyond.
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World Cellular Subscriber Distribution Growth
Opportunities in Latin America
17.5
38.7
12.8
9.2
2.8
7.5
11.5
Total World Subscribers 2.83 Billion
Source Informa Telecoms Media, March 2007
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Why More Spectrum? Wireless Technology Growth in
the Western Hemisphere
558.5 Million Wireless Customers
370 Million Wireless Customers
255 Million Wireless Customers
Customers (Millions)
More than 200 Growth
180 Million Wireless Customers
Source Informa Telecoms Media, WCIS, March 2007
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Why More Spectrum? Wireless Technology Growth in
Latin America
307.9 Million Wireless Customers
174.4 Million Wireless Customers
102.1 Million Wireless Customers
383 Growth
63.7 Million Wireless Customers
Source Informa Telecoms Media, WCIS, March 2007
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Why More Spectrum?Market Trends Affecting
Spectrum

• VOICE
• 68 Million new subscribers in Latin America in
  2006
  
• Users increasing Minutes of Use
• Wireless users have surpassed Wireline
• DATA
• Increased use of data by subscribers
• Mobile Internet beginning to be a reality around
  the world
  
• Applications requiring faster speeds and more
  network capacity

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Spectrum Utilization 2.5 - 3G Cellular Systems
in Service in Latin America the Caribbean
1
Haiti
Mexico
Guatemala
4
5
El Salvador
1
85 networks in service in Latin
America the Caribbean
Nicaragua
1
5
Panama
1
3
Colombia
Belize
Venezuela
1
3
Peru
5
Ecuador
9
Brazil
3
Bolivia
2
Paraguay
4
Chile
Uruguay
5
2
Argentina
Data as of Jan 2007
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Spectrum The coming wireless data demand
World
United States
Preferred Mobile Data Services
Text messaging Email Camera Wireless Web Music
Instant Messaging Location Based Services News

Games
Source Survey of 3,061 consumers in Europe, Asia
and North America by Circle Research for the
GSMA, 23 Nov 2006
Source Sprint Productivity Survey, Nov 2006
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Current and future IMT-2000 spectrum

• Current IMT-2000 spectrum, as per
  CCP.II-RAD/doc.578/04 rev.2
  
• 824-849 MHz paired with 869-894 MHz
• 1920-1980 MHz paired with 2110-2170 MHz
• 1710-1770 MHz paired with 2110-2170 MHz
• 1850-1910 MHz paired with 1930-1990 MHz
• 2520-2570 MHz paired with 2620-2690 MHz
• Future recommended spectrum
• 700 MHz band

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Spectrum Allocations for Mobile Services, 2005
Source Hazlett, 2005
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Spectrum caps scenario

• Argentina No operator can accumulate more than
  50 MHz per region (decree 266/98)
  
• Brazil 50 MHz per operator under consideration
  to add 2X10 or 2X15 MHz per operator
  
• Chile No established caps. It will be determined
  case by case by the TLC (Tribunal de Libre
  Competencia)
  
• Colombia 40 MHz per operator (Decree 4234 of
  2004)
  
• Mexico 35 MHz in 1900 MHz decreed in January
  2005 by COFECO (Comision Federal de Competencia)
  COFETEL had suggested a maximum of 65 MHz in all
  mobile bands
• Peru 60 MHz for mobile and trunking services
  (MTC decree 011-2005) and maximum 25 MHz in 850
  band

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IMT-2000 Dilemma Projected Band Pairings, Select
Latin American Markets
Green identified for IMT-2000
Red channelized for 2G systems or other uses
Grey Being evaluated or potentially available
for IMT-2000 use
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IMT-2000 Dilemma Projected Band Pairings Andean
Region Markets
Green identified for IMT-2000
Red channelized for 2G systems or other uses
Grey Being evaluated or potentially available
for IMT-2000 use Gold Partially used by 2G servi
ces IMT-2000 use possible
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Potential Market Sizes by New IMT-2000 Spectrum
Band Pairings, 2010 Partially Harmonized Market f
or the Americas
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WRC 2007 and SpectrumWorld Radiocommunication
Conference 2007

• Further identification of spectrum for IMT2000
  IMT Advanced is needed to support market
  requirements
  
• Important to have harmonized spectrum for
  economies of scale roaming
  
• North, Central and South America need organized
  spectrum coordination to meet wireless industrys
  ongoing spectrum consumption

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Regulatory Issues and Opportunities

• Why spectrum coordination is needed
• The growing demand for more spectrum
• The benefits of harmonizing new IMT-2000 spectrum
  in the Americas
  
• Mechanisms to facilitate awarding of new 3G
  spectrum licenses
  
• Steps toward more effective spectrum regulation
• Steps for more appropriate taxation of mobile
  services
  
• Why competition can intensify in a consolidation
  market

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Comments? Questions?
Erasmo Rojas Erasmo.rojas_at_3gamericas.org Directo
r, Latin America Caribbean