Title: New Perspective on Major Education
1Rewarding Innovation
- New Perspective on Major Education
- Acquisitions, Investments, and IPOs
- Moderator - Mona Westhaver
- President Co-Founder
- Inspiration Software, Inc.
- The leaders in visual thinking and learning
2Walk away with a better understanding of
- How the economy is/might influence buying and
selling in 2008 - How innovative technologies (interactive
whiteboards and student response systems) were
merged to create a better, total solution for an
emerging market - The analysts view on the possibilities of
innovation out of the recent HM
Riverdeep/Harcourt transaction - Current trends in MA activities
3Panelists
- Michael Bijaoui - Managing Director, MESA
- Boutique investment banking firm that serves
growth companies throughout media and
entertainment industries - Chris Curran - Managing Director, Berkery Noyes
- Provide value-added MA advisory services to
emerging and established leaders in the K-12
through post-secondary and for-profit education
markets - Trace Urdan - Managing Director, Signal Hill
- Trace is a research analyst for Signal Hill which
provides investment banking services,
institutional brokerage and equity research for
small and mid-cap companies and their investors
4YEAR IN REVIEW Rewarding Innovation Perspective
on Major Education Acquisitions, Investments, and
IPOs
MAY 20, 2008
4
5A YEAR IN REVIEWBROADER TRENDS DRIVING
INVESTMENT/MONETIZATION
- Sustained GDP growth U.S. and overseas
- Growing tax receipts and government spending on
education - Consumer spending on education
- Flatwordization
Economy
- Accountability and graduation pressures
- Parents and students exercising discretion as
consumers of education - Technology acceptance (hardware, software, social
networking) - Business model acceptance (subscription,
advertising)
Education Market
- Cash-rich financial investors
- Unprecedented availability of debt financing
- US Dollar relative affordability
Financial Markets
6A YEAR IN REVIEWTRANSACTION HIGHLIGHTS
- APAX - Thomson Learning (Cengage)
- Riverdeep Houghton Mifflin and Harcourt
- Pearson Harcourt Assessment
- Pearson eCollege
- K12.com IPO
- Follett CafeScribe
- Blackboard NTI
- eInstruction Interwrite Learning
- Intel Capital - Tutor.com
- Providence Equity Study Island
- Veronis Suhler - Cambium Learning
- Haights Cross (Triumph, Sundance) pending
- Voyager Learning pending
- Bain Capital Bright Horizons
- American Education Little Sprouts, Tampa Day
School - CFM Religion Benziger Silver Burdett Ginn
- Ad Venture Interactive Beautyschools.com
- Madrona Venture Teachstreet
- University of Phoenix Insight Schools
Economy
Education Market
Financial Markets
7LOOKING FORWARDWHAT HAS CHANGED?
- Sustained GDP growth U.S. and overseas
- Growing tax receipts and government spending on
education - Consumer spending on education
- Flatwordization
Economy
- Accountability and graduation pressures
- Parents students exercising discretion as
consumers of education - Technology acceptance (hardware, software, social
networking) - Business model acceptance (subscription and
advertising)
Education Market
- Cash-rich financial investors
- Unprecedented availability of debt financing
- US Dollar relative affordability
Financial Markets
8FUNDAMENTAL VALUATION AND TRANSACTION DRIVERS
- Market Environment
- Current and forecast market growth
- Buyers/investors dynamics strategic and
financial - Availability of debt financing
- Strategy Business Model
- Market share upside
- Competition
- Length of sale cycle
- Predictability of revenue
- Resiliency of revenue
- Intellectual property
- Operations
- Strength and depth of management team
- Well managed
- Marginal cost structure
- Ability to scale
- Opportunities for synergies (revenue and cost)
- Financial Information
- Historical and projected revenue growth
- Historical and projected cash flow growth
- Capital expenditure needs
- Seasonality and working capital changes
- No bad surprise during process
- Not every driver is available
- Flexibility and time as an asset
9MESA OVERVIEW
- Founded in 2003, MESA is one of the nations
leading independent investment banks specializing
in media entertainment - Exclusively focused on assisting early stage and
middle market companies achieve their growth and
transactional objectives - Private placement agent, buy-side and sell-side
representation, and strategic consulting services - Transactions range from private placements to
500 million acquisitions and divestitures - MESAs partners have extensive expertise across
the media industry, an expansive network of
industry relationships, and the technical skills
required to execute complex financial
transactions - Key areas of expertise and focus include
- Media Services
- Business Media
- Film
- Animation
- Digital Media
- Education
- Publishing Information
- Music
9
10 MESA 85 FIFTH AVENUE, SIXTH FLOOR NEW YORK, NY
10003 212 792 3950 M.E.S.A. Securities, Inc.
is a registered broker dealer with FINRA
10
11SIIA Ed Tech Industry Summit Houghton Mifflin
Harcourt Innovation or Monopolization?May 20,
2008
Trace A. Urdan, 415-315-1661, turdan_at_signalhill.co
m
12The Transactions
- December 2006 Riverdeep plc acquired Houghton
Mifflin to create Houghton Mifflin Riverdeep
Group PLC. Price is 3.4 billion which amounts to
3.3x sales and approximately 12-13x EBITDA. - December 2007 HMR announces purchase of
Harcourt K-12 publishing assets for 4.0 billion,
including 3.7 billion in cash and 300 million
in cash or 2.7x sales.
HMH Today
K-12 Curriculum Content Sales
- HMH generates 2.5 billion in annual sales from
- K-12 basal textbook programs
- Instructional technology
- Standards-based assessments for students and
educators - Reference works
- Trade for adults and young readers
13Competing Theories
- Innovation
- Riverdeep management understands power and
efficacy of interactive, digital content. - Larger scale of enterprise and concentration of
revenue will allow for greater investment in RD
and better distribution of digital content. - Lesser development costs and faster turnaround
will drive promotion of flexible, digital
content. - Brand strength will allow for digital content to
be presented and taken seriously in the adoption
process.
- Monopolization
- Riverdeep management ex-investment bankers
looking at the financial transaction. - Enormous leverage will restrain capacity for
innovation as organization focuses on digesting
and cutting costs. - Tight margins and high leverage will intensify
organizational pressure to sell core product
first. - Disproportionate size of print units make notion
of upturning the core less likely rather than
more likely.
14Relatively Small Piece of the Pie
- Size of industry quite small in relation to 500
billion spent annually on K-12 education. - Industry growth also modest and cyclical.
15Cyclicality of K-12 Curriculum Market
16Industry FocusDelivering return to shareholders
requires improving efficiency
17ELHI spending lagging overall state expenditure
in near-term
18Conclusion
- Cyclicality and shrinking share of ELHI dollar
places pressure on basal publishers that leaves
them more vulnerable than they might initially
appear. - Pressure on HMH is likely to cause the firm to
be most focused on generating cash and creating
efficiency. - Consolidation primarily financial.
- Line between basal and other supplemental
beginning to blur. - Innovation unlikely to come from vendor side of
equation, but rising knowledge and competency in
alternative delivery methods cant hurt. - Buyer-side demand and spending pressure in other
sectors of the market more likely to drive
innovation in basal.
19Important Disclosures
- Analyst Certification
- I, Trace Urdan, hereby certify that all of the
views expressed in this research report
accurately reflect my personal views about the
subject securities or issuers. I also certify
that no part of my compensation was, is or will
be directly or indirectly related to the specific
recommendations or views expressed in this
research report. Signal Hill does not compensate
its equity research analysts based on specific
investment banking transactions. Signal Hill
Equity research analysts receive compensation
based on several factors, including overall
profitability and revenues of the firm, which
include investment banking revenues. - Applicable current disclosures for all companies
covered in this report are available in written
or electronic format upon request. To request
copies of applicable current disclosures please
write to the Signal Hill Capital Group Research
Department at the following address Signal Hill
Capital Group Research Department, 300 East
Lombard Street, Suite 1700, Baltimore MD 21202. - Disclaimer
- This report has been prepared using sources we
deem to be reliable but we do not guarantee its
accuracy and - it does not purport to be complete. This report
is published solely for information purposes and
is not intended to be used as the primary basis
for making investment decisions, which should
reflect the investment objectives and financial
situation of the investor. The opinions expressed
herein are subject to change without notice. This
report is not an offer or the solicitation of an
offer to buy or sell securities. Additional
information is available upon request.