SESAR: what does it really mean, what will it really deliver

1
SESAR what does it really mean, what will it
really deliver?

• Bo Redeborn
• Director ATM Strategies
• EUROCONTROL

European Organisation for the Safety of Air
Navigation
2
Air Transport an Essential Economical Sector

• EU airlines, airports and the aerospace
  manufacturing industry
• Total gross output of 526 billion
• 221 billion (2.6 EU GDP)
• 3.1 million jobs (1.9 EU jobs)
• Source CERMAS, 2000 figures
• ( direct, indirect induced contributions)
• By 2020
• share of EU GDP could increase by more than 50
• if growth were to be constrained, loss could be
  as high as 900,000 jobs and 300 billion

European ANSPs 6 billion /year 1/3 is
investment 15 000 controllers
3
An Evolving Air Transport Landscape

• Airspace Users
• High cost pressure
• 9/11 and economic downturn
• Low cost airlines
• Fuel costs
• Airports
• Aviation only one business
• ANSPs
• Corporatisation/privatisation -gt new behaviours
• Under pressure of users
• Manufacturing Industry
• Concentration
• Global

• Competing but interdependent actors in their
  planning and real-time decisions
• A finite market

• Society
• Noise Climate change issue
• Safety
• Security
• Sustainable growth

4
Air Traffic Forecast
2.5 growth factorif sufficientairport capacity
4.3 p.a.
Top-3 capacity expansion constraintsas reported
by airports1. Physical site infrastructure
limits2. Environmental issues3. Surrounding
airspace geography
2.0 growth factor with max achievable airport
capacity
Assuming that airspace and ATC capacity will grow
in due time
5
The Need for a Next-Generation System
RD
RD
SESAR
Traffic
RD
CASCADE
RD
RD
FASTI
ACAS
4D
LINK2000
8.33
Predicted capacity
DMEAN
1 minute delay
Phase 3
Phase 2
Programme phases for capacity
Phase 1
Safety - Security
Airports
Closing the capacity gap
6
A High-Performance ATM Network for 2020

• Key system features
• Gate-to-gate system integration
• One dynamic airspace continuum
• Performance Based Requirements
• Co-operative ATM
• 4D Trajectory Contracts
• New roles / task distribution for controllers
• Airborne separation assistance
• Collaborative Decision Making (ATM / Airline
  operations / Airport Airside / Landside)
• System-Wide Information Management
  Interoperability
• Exploit satellite technology (GALILEO
  communications)

• Design Goals for Future Air Transport Performance
  Capability
• Safety accident rate divided by 5
• Capacity capability to handle 3 times traffic
• Delay less than 15 min delay for 99 of time
• Passenger handling less than 15-30 min in
  airport
• Environment half noise emissions

7
A Paradigm Shift
8
Converging Needs and Initiatives

• A Master Plan to transform European ATM

9
A European ATM Master Plan To Unlock Air
Transport

• Converging Industry, EC EUROCONTROL
• Needs
• Turn off fragmented approach
• Accelerate ATM evolution in response to
  challenges
• Synchronise integrate plans from research to
  operations
• Synchronise airborne and ground deployments

• SESAR
• support Single European Sky technical/operational
  implementation
• 2 Phases
• Definition of European ATM Master Plan (? end
  2007)
• Implementation (2008-2020)
• Development (? 2013)
• Deployment (2014 ?)

10
SESAR Approach

• SESAR
• Is performance driven
• Addresses European needs and Global
  interoperability
• Aims at implementation, supported by legislation

11
SESAR Benefits

• SESAR ensures that European aviation growth is
  supported in a sustained and economical manner
• European ATM will benefit from technological
  innovations
• Capacity will raise
• Flights are more efficient and predictive
• Safety standards are maintained and improved
• Environmental concerns are taken into account
  when defining solutions
• RD is more efficient and delivers to
  implementation
• Economies of scale bring costs down

12
SESAR Influence on Work
2005
2010
2015
2020
Definition
SESAR Phases
Development
Deployment
Implementation Development work Planning work
Current work
2005
2010
2015
2020
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SESAR Committing to Make Future Happen
COMMITMENT, DEVELOPMENT
and IMPLEMENTATION
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SESAR European ATM Master Plan

• ONE, Common Plan
• All actors together in defining, committing to,
  and carrying out the plan
• Based on future requirements
• Building on current agreed plans/programmes, in
  particular DMEAN
• Consistent, performance oriented Road map
• Not a replacement of individual stakeholders
  plans
• Some early benefits main effects after 2010

15
SESAR Definition Phase

• Project 100 funded jointly by EUROCONTROL and
  European Commission
• An industry wide consortium for most of the work
• Communicating findings creating buy-in
• With EUROCONTROL effort contribution

• Project Associates ATM Research Centres, UK
  CAA, EURAMID, ECA, IFATCA, ETF, ATC-EUC, IFATSEA,
  US Industry (Boeing, Honeywell, Rockwell)
• Sub-Contractors

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Definition Phase Main Milestones/Deliverables
T04 T09 T015
T019 T0 22 T024 months
Air Transport Framework The Current Situation
ATM Performance Targets
ATM Target Concept
ATM Deployment Sequence
ATM Master Plan of Action
Work Programme for 2008-2012
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SESAR Definition Phase Governance
Information Consultation Mechanisms
Single European Sky Committee
Stakeholder Consultation Group
European Commission
EUROCONTROL
Industry Consultation Body
EC/EUROCONTROL Steering Board
Contractual Relationship
EUROCONTROL Agency
Consortium
Consortium
18
Conclusion

• We make today the first step along a long journey
• Energies need be mobilised
• The challenge agree on, and accept to, change
• Getting closer to the 2020 Vision? Yes, if
  together !