Karl Allmark CEO CITY TECHNOLOGY - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Karl Allmark CEO CITY TECHNOLOGY

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Malta can be modelled as a system = to a chain of supermarkets, hotels, retail ... Malta can adapt these complex systems to ... Malta Is An Island Of Variation ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Karl Allmark CEO CITY TECHNOLOGY


1
Karl AllmarkCEOCITY TECHNOLOGY
2
Prototype Malta Why?
  • Most Patents don't Apply here.
  • Small Size - Rapid rollout.
  • Small Size - Observe results.
  • Small Size - Less threatening.
  • Small Size - More sympathy.
  • Large enough to make results meaningful.
  • Many problems to solve.
  • Access to EU funding schemes.
  • Geographic location.
  • Going through a rapid transition.

3
MISSION OBJECTIVE
  • To become the global leader in designing and
    managing intelligent cities.
  • By making available technologies which will
    enable integration of social, economic and
    environmental dimensions.
  • WHICH WILL ENABLE OUR CUSTOMERS
  • To produce sustainable, pleasant and healthy
    communities within which they can pursue their
    personal goals.
  • By adopting the most efficient systems to suit
    their particular needs and wants.

4
MISSION IMPLEMENTATION
  • CITY MIND (Modern Ideas New Designs)
  • Will work with up to 2 local and 3 foreign
    entities per sector.
  • The collective conscious and unconscious
    processes that direct and influence behavior
  • CITY ASPECT (Active System Performance Estimate
    Computation Tool)
  • Applications delivered via an ASP Model.
  • A way in which something can be viewed by the
    mind looked at all aspects of the situation
  • CITY MATRIXES (MArket TRacking Immediate
    eXploitation Employment System)
  • Franchise and clustered company systems. Targeted
    at SMEs.
  • A situation or surrounding substance within which
    something originates, develops, or is contained
  • CITY 4D (Space-Time)
  • Shared Temporal Data Portal.
  • CITY VENTURE (Money, Money, Money)
  • Joint ventures and Funding arm, works closely
    with MBAN.

5
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6
Most planning is like..
  • Designing the ultimate paper plane!

7
1. Design our plane
  • Considering
  • Weather
  • Wind
  • Gravity
  • Direction
  • Speed

8
2. Launch our plane
  • Hoping that
  • Weather is good
  • Wind is mild
  • Target is reached
  • Speed is fast

9
3. Observe the result
  • Random results due to unpredicted changes we
    cannot control!

10
The best planning
11
They built gauges.
To measure changes
12
Simulators.
To test different responses
13
Instruments.
To rapidly respond control
14
and systems
To predict, respond quicker
15
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16
Step 1 Network
17
Network
Which forecast will prevail? What is the overall
policy? What has an impact on what?
Can I reduce double work? What is happening elsew
here?
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
18
Network
The creation of a network, would in many cases
improve dramatically the availability of
effective research, and consolidate numerous
planning processes
A network
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
19
Network
It would consolidate private and public systems
which both can benefit from a single
comprehensive source, and would make more data
accessible for analysts to study
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
20
Network
It generates fast integrated reports from all
data variables available
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
21
Step 2 System
22
Govt. Policy System
A system describes how data in the network is
related, one to the other.
An official policy system
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
23
System
Analysts describe how data in the network is
related to their function, and understand how
their functions relate to every other policy
planner.
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
24
System
A change in policy from one department/sector/etc.
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
25
System
A change in policy from one department/sector/etc.
will immediately flag changes and effects on
someone elses plans!
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
26
Step 3 Test Scenarios
27
Run scenarios and evaluate impact on others prior
to entering in system
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
28
Step 4 PREDICT
29
Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
Time
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
30
Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
Time
Observe
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
31
Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
Time
Observe
Evaluate
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
32
Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
1-2 yrs
Time
Observe
Evaluate
Predict
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
33
Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
1-2 yrs
Time
Observe
Evaluate
Predict
Control
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
34
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35
Huffs Model
36
Impact of Transportation Costs
  • Increased shipping costs can lead to higher
    prices (or lower profits).
  • Market is segmented by lowest cost of delivery.

37
Hotellings model
  • Harold Hotelling developed a model that explained
    a variety of phenomena.
  • Two producers competing for the same consumers
    will select to move as close as possible to each
    other.
  • This can explain the conservative leaning of
    Democratic Presidential candidates as well as
    liberal leanings of Republican Presidential
    candidates.

_at_copied-right by A.B. Sanders
38
Dr. Hans Gill Scientific AdvisorCITY MIND
39
  • State Of Play
  • Malta can be modelled as a system to a chain of
    supermarkets, hotels, retail
  • outlets, natural recreational facilities and
    industrial sites.
  • As you have seen, retail modelling has been
    carried out, since, 1931, using
  • gravitational physics, formalised by Sir Isaac
    Newton in the 1700s.
  • These models have now been evolved, in 2004, to
    include very
  • powerful prediction algorithms using theorems
    from Geometric Algebra
  • and Multiple Hypotheses Management Systems.
  • These models have been extensively utilised by
    Modern Defence and
  • Space industries and have been proved to be an
    effective way to deal
  • with the logistics of ordinance and personnel
    dynamics anywhere on our
  • planet indeed, now as far as Jupiter!
  • Malta can adapt these complex systems to its
    advantage, very
  • efficiently due its unique geographical
    position and its very powerful

40
Gravity Models of Interaction
  • William J. Reilly published The Law of Retail
    Gravitation in 1931.
  • Reilly proposed that a formula could be used to
    calculate the point at which customers will be
    drawn to one or another of two competing
    centers.
  • The formula generates the break point between
    customers who will go to one center and those who
    will go to the other, located on a line
    connecting the two centers. The break point lies
    at distance xj from the smaller of the two
    centers. In the formula, dij is the total
    distance between the two centers, Pi is the size
    of the larger center, and Pj is the size of the
    smaller center.

41
Application of Reillys Law
Large outlet shopping malls in Ohio and
surrounding states.
42
Overlay on Road Map
43
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44
  • Malta Is An Island Of Variation
  • Malta has land and the sea for development
  • Malta has liberal building projects
  • Malta has a semi-stable road traffic system,
  • Malta has an operating public transport system,
  • Malta has competing taxi services,
  • ...Further, given that,
  • Malta has seasonal variations,
  • Malta has a statistics collecting department
  • Malta has MEPA
  • Malta has a tax system,
  • Malta has a stock exchange,
  • Malta has a time-varying population.

45
  • Malta Is An Island Of Variation
  • The price of summer consumables, like cold drinks
    remain constant
  • throughout the year. Why?
  • The complaints about the pot-holes and the
    unregulated taxi prices lead
  • to the abuse of new tourists and Maltas
    International reputation. Why
  • does this continue, especially, when we
    consider the size of Maltese
  • islands?
  • The tax system and the industrial building
    projects satisfy very few
  • people. Why?
  • Especially, when we consider the size of the
    Maltese islands.

46
Market Areas
  • Market areas impact the location of retail
    businesses as well as manufacturing.
  • The further the distance from the origin, the
    lower the demand for the product or service.

47
Webers Industrial Model Location considers P
otential Accessibility on a Plane.
The hollow circles are things that the facility
(e.g. a factory) wants to reach (e.g. input
sources or markets for outputs).
The dark point in the middle is the factory we a
re trying to locate. The weights refer to the s
hipping costs per final unit for each input or
output. Find the location that will minimize tota
l weighted transportation costs.
48
The Solution
  • WE, you and us can solve all of the above by
    taking advantage of current mathematical physics
    and modern city technology.
  • We can achieve this by developing for you an
    integrated predictive control system, much like
    the one that is used by NATO as the standard for
    Command Control Communications Integration.
  • Consider, Malta as a complex hyper-market, where
    its roads are aisles which lead people from their
    places of residence to products.
  • e.g. beaches, recreational centres, local shops,
    hotel facilities etc.

49
  • An Integrated Predictive Control System will
    enable a government
  • to produce policies for education, housing,
    tax, tourist
  • management, hotel development and
    international business
  • indeed, all the facilities, including
    sophisticated recreation centres
  • that a modern country desires to give for all
    its peoples of all ages
  • so that financial liquidity is maximised and
    stable progress
  • reassured in all areas.

50
  • I consulted for the Tesco Supermarket chain in
    2002 and
  • developed a unique data history prediction
    model, which
  • bypassed the standard approach of trying to map
    all known
  • variables into complex systemsa tedious
    approach
  • developed by the commercial world over a period
    of 400
  • years.
  • Instead they now have one of the most powerful
    methods of
  • prediction for the movements of customers
    (tourists) and
  • their desire for the right products, at the
    right time of the
  • year, for their outlets all over the world!

51
  • Considerations for prototype Malta
  • There are uneven distributions of natural
    resources including the size and location of
    centers of consumption of the industrial
    products.
  • 2. The entrepreneurs seek to minimize the total
    cost of production.
  • 3. There are several fixed locations of labour
    where given wage rates operate.
  • 4. Costs of land, building, equipment, interest,
    and depreciation of fixed capital should vary
    regionally.
  • 5. Currently there is an unregulated system of
    transport all over Malta.
  • 6. Resources and markets can obtain a
    monopolistic advantage from its choice of
    location.
  • Bradford and Kent Human Geography Theories and
    Their Applications (1977, pages 42-43)

52
Conclusion
  • Thus, Malta has the potential to evolve itself so
    that all its policies are scientifically advised
    and financial profits are substantially
    increased. With increased financial resources
    Malta can expand by constructing cities on the
    sea.
  • The world thinks Malta is small.
  • We you and us can prototype with elegance
    recall the word all is contained in the word
    small.

53
Malta 2015 ?
54
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