Title: Karl Allmark CEO CITY TECHNOLOGY
1Karl AllmarkCEOCITY TECHNOLOGY
2Prototype Malta Why?
- Most Patents don't Apply here.
- Small Size - Rapid rollout.
- Small Size - Observe results.
- Small Size - Less threatening.
- Small Size - More sympathy.
- Large enough to make results meaningful.
- Many problems to solve.
- Access to EU funding schemes.
- Geographic location.
- Going through a rapid transition.
3MISSION OBJECTIVE
- To become the global leader in designing and
managing intelligent cities.
- By making available technologies which will
enable integration of social, economic and
environmental dimensions.
- WHICH WILL ENABLE OUR CUSTOMERS
- To produce sustainable, pleasant and healthy
communities within which they can pursue their
personal goals.
- By adopting the most efficient systems to suit
their particular needs and wants.
4MISSION IMPLEMENTATION
- CITY MIND (Modern Ideas New Designs)
- Will work with up to 2 local and 3 foreign
entities per sector.
- The collective conscious and unconscious
processes that direct and influence behavior
- CITY ASPECT (Active System Performance Estimate
Computation Tool)
- Applications delivered via an ASP Model.
- A way in which something can be viewed by the
mind looked at all aspects of the situation
- CITY MATRIXES (MArket TRacking Immediate
eXploitation Employment System)
- Franchise and clustered company systems. Targeted
at SMEs.
- A situation or surrounding substance within which
something originates, develops, or is contained
- CITY 4D (Space-Time)
- Shared Temporal Data Portal.
- CITY VENTURE (Money, Money, Money)
- Joint ventures and Funding arm, works closely
with MBAN.
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6Most planning is like..
- Designing the ultimate paper plane!
71. Design our plane
- Considering
- Weather
- Wind
- Gravity
- Direction
- Speed
82. Launch our plane
- Hoping that
- Weather is good
- Wind is mild
- Target is reached
- Speed is fast
93. Observe the result
- Random results due to unpredicted changes we
cannot control!
10The best planning
11They built gauges.
To measure changes
12Simulators.
To test different responses
13Instruments.
To rapidly respond control
14and systems
To predict, respond quicker
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16Step 1 Network
17Network
Which forecast will prevail? What is the overall
policy? What has an impact on what?
Can I reduce double work? What is happening elsew
here?
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
18Network
The creation of a network, would in many cases
improve dramatically the availability of
effective research, and consolidate numerous
planning processes
A network
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
19Network
It would consolidate private and public systems
which both can benefit from a single
comprehensive source, and would make more data
accessible for analysts to study
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
20Network
It generates fast integrated reports from all
data variables available
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
21Step 2 System
22Govt. Policy System
A system describes how data in the network is
related, one to the other.
An official policy system
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
23System
Analysts describe how data in the network is
related to their function, and understand how
their functions relate to every other policy
planner.
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
24System
A change in policy from one department/sector/etc.
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
25System
A change in policy from one department/sector/etc.
will immediately flag changes and effects on
someone elses plans!
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
26Step 3 Test Scenarios
27Run scenarios and evaluate impact on others prior
to entering in system
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
28Step 4 PREDICT
29Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
Time
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
30Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
Time
Observe
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
31Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
Time
Observe
Evaluate
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
32Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
1-2 yrs
Time
Observe
Evaluate
Predict
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
33Data Jan Feb
Mar Apr
1-2 yrs
Time
Observe
Evaluate
Predict
Control
An official policy system
Authorised policy analyst assumptions
A network
Reports on actual data, instantly
Current Govt. Databases
Current Private Databases
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35Huffs Model
36Impact of Transportation Costs
- Increased shipping costs can lead to higher
prices (or lower profits).
- Market is segmented by lowest cost of delivery.
37Hotellings model
- Harold Hotelling developed a model that explained
a variety of phenomena.
- Two producers competing for the same consumers
will select to move as close as possible to each
other.
- This can explain the conservative leaning of
Democratic Presidential candidates as well as
liberal leanings of Republican Presidential
candidates.
_at_copied-right by A.B. Sanders
38Dr. Hans Gill Scientific AdvisorCITY MIND
39- State Of Play
- Malta can be modelled as a system to a chain of
supermarkets, hotels, retail
- outlets, natural recreational facilities and
industrial sites.
- As you have seen, retail modelling has been
carried out, since, 1931, using
- gravitational physics, formalised by Sir Isaac
Newton in the 1700s.
- These models have now been evolved, in 2004, to
include very
- powerful prediction algorithms using theorems
from Geometric Algebra
- and Multiple Hypotheses Management Systems.
- These models have been extensively utilised by
Modern Defence and
- Space industries and have been proved to be an
effective way to deal
- with the logistics of ordinance and personnel
dynamics anywhere on our
- planet indeed, now as far as Jupiter!
- Malta can adapt these complex systems to its
advantage, very
- efficiently due its unique geographical
position and its very powerful
40Gravity Models of Interaction
- William J. Reilly published The Law of Retail
Gravitation in 1931.
- Reilly proposed that a formula could be used to
calculate the point at which customers will be
drawn to one or another of two competing
centers. - The formula generates the break point between
customers who will go to one center and those who
will go to the other, located on a line
connecting the two centers. The break point lies
at distance xj from the smaller of the two
centers. In the formula, dij is the total
distance between the two centers, Pi is the size
of the larger center, and Pj is the size of the
smaller center.
41Application of Reillys Law
Large outlet shopping malls in Ohio and
surrounding states.
42Overlay on Road Map
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44- Malta Is An Island Of Variation
- Malta has land and the sea for development
- Malta has liberal building projects
- Malta has a semi-stable road traffic system,
- Malta has an operating public transport system,
- Malta has competing taxi services,
- ...Further, given that,
- Malta has seasonal variations,
- Malta has a statistics collecting department
- Malta has MEPA
- Malta has a tax system,
- Malta has a stock exchange,
- Malta has a time-varying population.
45- Malta Is An Island Of Variation
- The price of summer consumables, like cold drinks
remain constant
- throughout the year. Why?
- The complaints about the pot-holes and the
unregulated taxi prices lead
- to the abuse of new tourists and Maltas
International reputation. Why
- does this continue, especially, when we
consider the size of Maltese
- islands?
- The tax system and the industrial building
projects satisfy very few
- people. Why?
- Especially, when we consider the size of the
Maltese islands.
46Market Areas
- Market areas impact the location of retail
businesses as well as manufacturing.
- The further the distance from the origin, the
lower the demand for the product or service.
47 Webers Industrial Model Location considers P
otential Accessibility on a Plane.
The hollow circles are things that the facility
(e.g. a factory) wants to reach (e.g. input
sources or markets for outputs).
The dark point in the middle is the factory we a
re trying to locate. The weights refer to the s
hipping costs per final unit for each input or
output. Find the location that will minimize tota
l weighted transportation costs.
48The Solution
- WE, you and us can solve all of the above by
taking advantage of current mathematical physics
and modern city technology.
- We can achieve this by developing for you an
integrated predictive control system, much like
the one that is used by NATO as the standard for
Command Control Communications Integration. - Consider, Malta as a complex hyper-market, where
its roads are aisles which lead people from their
places of residence to products.
- e.g. beaches, recreational centres, local shops,
hotel facilities etc.
49- An Integrated Predictive Control System will
enable a government
- to produce policies for education, housing,
tax, tourist
- management, hotel development and
international business
- indeed, all the facilities, including
sophisticated recreation centres
- that a modern country desires to give for all
its peoples of all ages
- so that financial liquidity is maximised and
stable progress
- reassured in all areas.
50- I consulted for the Tesco Supermarket chain in
2002 and
- developed a unique data history prediction
model, which
- bypassed the standard approach of trying to map
all known
- variables into complex systemsa tedious
approach
- developed by the commercial world over a period
of 400
- years.
- Instead they now have one of the most powerful
methods of
- prediction for the movements of customers
(tourists) and
- their desire for the right products, at the
right time of the
- year, for their outlets all over the world!
51- Considerations for prototype Malta
- There are uneven distributions of natural
resources including the size and location of
centers of consumption of the industrial
products. - 2. The entrepreneurs seek to minimize the total
cost of production.
- 3. There are several fixed locations of labour
where given wage rates operate.
- 4. Costs of land, building, equipment, interest,
and depreciation of fixed capital should vary
regionally.
- 5. Currently there is an unregulated system of
transport all over Malta.
- 6. Resources and markets can obtain a
monopolistic advantage from its choice of
location.
- Bradford and Kent Human Geography Theories and
Their Applications (1977, pages 42-43)
52Conclusion
- Thus, Malta has the potential to evolve itself so
that all its policies are scientifically advised
and financial profits are substantially
increased. With increased financial resources
Malta can expand by constructing cities on the
sea. - The world thinks Malta is small.
- We you and us can prototype with elegance
recall the word all is contained in the word
small.
53Malta 2015 ?
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