Module 5

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Republic of Moldova Technology for adaptation
experience in needs assessment.
Dr. Vasile SCORPAN SNC Manager
Tashkent, 17-19 October 2006
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REPUBLIC of MOLDOVA
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Technology for adaptation experience in needs
assessment

• Adaptation is defined as adjustment in
  ecological, social, or economic systems in
  response to actual or expected climatic stimuli
  and their effects or impacts.
• Adaptation technologies are those that enable
  societies to become more flexible and resilient
  to the full range of future stressors.
  
• Technologies in this sense include both hard
  technologies such as
  
• computer hardware, improved climate prediction
  models, drought-
  
• resistant phenotypes, and infrastructure, and
  soft technologies such as
  
• information, networks, training, and research.

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UNFCCC concept on Vulnerability and Adaptation
A D APTAT I ON
V U L N E R A B I L I T Y
ADAPTATION
GHG emissions
Socio-economic development programs
Impact mitigation
Economy development Technologies Population Ma
nagement
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Recommended sources (I)

• UNFCCC Compendium on Methods and Tools to
  Evaluate Impacts of, and Vulnerability and
  Adaptation to Climate Change
  
• Guidelines for the Preparation of National
  Communications from Parties not included in Annex
  I to the Convention
  
• Decision 17/CP.8
• IPCC Technical Guidelines for Assessing Climate
  Change Impacts and Adaptations
  
• U.S. Country Studies Program (USCSP)
• UNEP Handbook on Methods for Climate Change
  Impact Assessment and Adaptation Strategies
  
• UNDP Adaptation Policy Framework (APF)
• Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate
  Change in Multiple Regions and Sectors (AIACC)
  
• Guidelines for the preparation of National
  Adaptation Programmes of Action (NAPA)
  
• United Kingdom Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP)
  Climate Adaptation Risk, Uncertainty and
  Decision Making
  

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Recommended sources (II)
http//ncsp.undp.org/resources.asp
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Top Down vs. Bottom Up
Top-Down approach
Global
World development Global greenhouse gas
es Global climate models Regionalization
Impacts
Vulnerability (physical)
Climate adaptation policy
Vulnerability (social) Adaptive capacity
Indicator base on Technol
ogy Economic resources
Information skills Infrastructure
Equity
Institutions
Local
Bottom-up approach
Past
Present
Future
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UNDP Adaptation Policy Framework
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Basic Structure for Impacts Frameworks
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Stakeholders partnership
Institute for Soil Sciences
Institute Acvaproiect
Local authorities
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Stakeholders partnership

• Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources
• Minister of External Affaire and European
  Integration
  
• Ministry of Economy and Trade
• Ministry of Finance
• Ministry of Industry and Infrastructure
• Ministry of Health and Social Protection
• National Scientific-Practical Centre of
  Preventive Medicine
  
• Ministry of Informational Development
• Ministry of Intern Affaire
• Ministry of Education, Youth and Sport
• State Ecological Inspectorate
• Institute of Energy of the Academy of Sciences of
  Moldova
  
• Agency for Regional Development
• Agency for Land Relations and Cadastre
• National Bureau of Statistics
• GEF Operational Focal Point
• UNFCCC Focal Point
• Operational Focal Point for Convention on
  Biodiversity
  
• Institute for Forest Management

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Time frames for VA assessment
?
V u l n e r a b i l i t y
i n d i c e s
2015
2005
2100

• 1961

I
II
III
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Steps to find assessment methods

• Guidelines recommendations
• International experience
• Internet offered data
• Desk study legislation, policies
• and strategies reviewing Reports and Studies
  performed previously
  
• Problem tree (key barriers analysis)
• Meetings and round tables
• Stakeholders consultations

1) Data Stocktaking (strategies, programs, mode
ls) 2) Data analysis 3) Se
lection
(available appropriate)

• Models/programs description
• Input data expected outputs

• Task oriented assessment
• Easy operating
• Compatible input data
• Cross-sectoral integration
• Tools' availability
• Financial accessibility

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Scheme on utilization of assessment methods
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Computer models

• Livestock and pasture
• IFSM Integrate Farm System Model (IFSM)
• EPA Ruminant Livestock
• LAM Livestock Analyses Model (LAM)
• Natural Resources
• Soil- ACRU, AEZ, WEPP, CUP Model, SOIL.v3,00
• 2. Forest - JABOWA III
• Agriculture
• DSSAT v 4.0.0
• CropWat
• BIOCLASS-i

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Barriers on technologies utilization

• Limited possibilities on utilization of computer
  models.
  
• Inappropriate data and/or lack of databases.
• Lack of strong prioritized policies and
  development strategies.
  
• Lack of experienced or authorized experts for
  models utilization.
  
• Limited financial capacity for implementation of
  adaptation actions.
  

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Technology for adaptation ? !
O, my God ! What should I do ?
Its so hot , what to evaluate ?
its smth. new
why me ? Who invented it ?