Title: Panama City
1Panama City Bay County International Airport
Relocation
Financial Feasibility Review and Underwriter
Selection
INFRASTRUCTURE MANAGEMENT GROUP, INC.
www.IMGgroup.com ? August 4, 2005
2Introduction
- Underwriter Selection
- Overview of Finance Process
- Responsibilities
- Selection Process
- Timing
- Financial Feasibility
- Key assumptions
- Sources
- Conclusions
3Feasibility Approach
- Update of 2003 feasibility analysis of relocated
airport (Project) - Based on assumptions developed in 2004/early 2005
- Will be updated as key assumptions reviewed
- Panama City - Bay County International Airport
(PFN)
4Key Base Case Assumptions
- Begin construction in first quarter, 2006,
following Record of Decision - Relocated airport opens October, 2008 as current
airport closes - FAA and FDOT grants and bonds committed by first
quarter, 2006 - Property sale realized through competitive tender
first quarter 2006 with 54.5 million (MM) in net
proceeds - 1993 bond fully repaid in 2008
5Traffic Forecast
- PFN s average annual enplanement (EPAX) growth
1991 - 2003 was 5.9 - Low Forecast FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF)
projects 2.6 rate - High Forecast Assumes increased growth with
longer runway. Follows Low Forecast until the new
airport opens, then assumes growth of 4.9 - Base case uses Low Forecast
-
6Uses of Funds (Base Case)
7Sources of Funds (Base Case)
8Grants
- Grants committed by first quarter, 2006
- FAA AIP letter-of-intent (LOI) grant may be
dispersed over 8-10 year period - Disbursements after construction period are
funded with grant anticipation bond - LOI grant may require third-party support to
mitigate federal appropriation risk - FDOT grants dispersed during design and
construction period -
9Bond Sale
- GARB supported by
- General airport revenues
- Passenger Facility Charges (PFCs) of 4.50
- GARB issued first quarter, 2006 with mode
flexibility - Variable Rate Demand Note (VRDN) during
construction (assumed rate 4.35) - Fixed rate for remaining 27 years (5.6)
- AIP-backed issued bond 2007 fixed rate (5.0)
-
10New Airport Revenues
- Airline fees increase at least 15 in 2005
dollars when new airport opens in 2009 - 2004 airline cost/EPAX (CPEP) was 4.02
- CPEP increases to 5.16/EPAX in 2009 (5.81 in
2009 dollars)
11Feasibility Requirements
- Annual 1.25x debt service coverage
- Debt service reserves of one years maximum debt
service for GARB and AIP-backed bonds - Minimum operating reserve of 1.5 MM
12Bond Sensitivity Analysis
Debt Service Coverage Ratio
13Sale of Existing Airport
- Based on 2004 study
- Total of 713 acres available for sale
- Estimated value of 54.5 MM
- Assumes master planned, mixed-used redevelopment
- Timing is important
- 100 payment in first quarter 2006 through
competitive tender, under base case - Property transferred when airport closes
14Feasibility Summary
- Project feasible in base case
- Need to secure grant commitments from FAA and
FDOT - Construction cost and schedule certainty is
critical - Timing and value of property sale must
approximate assumptions
15Finance Process Overview
- Develop financial plan
- Obtain credit rating (Standard Poors, Moodys,
and/or Fitch) - Secure bond insurance, if necessary/available
- Develop official statement (prospectus),
including legal opinion from bond counsel,
airport consultants report, and other documents - Price bonds and close transaction
16Underwriter Responsibilities
- Be available for project consultation
- Assist in development of credit strategies and
advise on financing techniques and structuring - Help prepare official statements and other
documents - Assist in preparation of rating agency
presentations - Sell bonds, working with the Authoritys
financial advisors and financing team - Perform other underwriter duties
17Underwriter Selection Criteria
- Overall qualifications and experience of firm and
individuals - Underwriting capabilities and demonstrated
experience serving public sector clients with
emphasis on providing airports services requested
in the RFP - Proposed fees
18Underwriter Selection Timing
- Issue RFP early August
- Receive proposal early September
- Invite up to 3 firms for presentations (if
necessary) mid-September - Select underwriter by end of September
- Underwriter begins work in early October