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Panama City

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Panama City Bay County International Airport Relocation. August 4, 2005 Page 2 ... PANAMA CITY-BAY COUNTY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. Key Base Case Assumptions ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Panama City


1
Panama City Bay County International Airport
Relocation
Financial Feasibility Review and Underwriter
Selection
INFRASTRUCTURE MANAGEMENT GROUP, INC.
www.IMGgroup.com ? August 4, 2005
2
Introduction
  • Underwriter Selection
  • Overview of Finance Process
  • Responsibilities
  • Selection Process
  • Timing
  • Financial Feasibility
  • Key assumptions
  • Sources
  • Conclusions

3
Feasibility Approach
  • Update of 2003 feasibility analysis of relocated
    airport (Project)
  • Based on assumptions developed in 2004/early 2005
  • Will be updated as key assumptions reviewed
  • Panama City - Bay County International Airport
    (PFN)

4
Key Base Case Assumptions
  • Begin construction in first quarter, 2006,
    following Record of Decision
  • Relocated airport opens October, 2008 as current
    airport closes
  • FAA and FDOT grants and bonds committed by first
    quarter, 2006
  • Property sale realized through competitive tender
    first quarter 2006 with 54.5 million (MM) in net
    proceeds
  • 1993 bond fully repaid in 2008

5
Traffic Forecast
  • PFN s average annual enplanement (EPAX) growth
    1991 - 2003 was 5.9
  • Low Forecast FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF)
    projects 2.6 rate
  • High Forecast Assumes increased growth with
    longer runway. Follows Low Forecast until the new
    airport opens, then assumes growth of 4.9
  • Base case uses Low Forecast

6
Uses of Funds (Base Case)
7
Sources of Funds (Base Case)
8
Grants
  • Grants committed by first quarter, 2006
  • FAA AIP letter-of-intent (LOI) grant may be
    dispersed over 8-10 year period
  • Disbursements after construction period are
    funded with grant anticipation bond
  • LOI grant may require third-party support to
    mitigate federal appropriation risk
  • FDOT grants dispersed during design and
    construction period

9
Bond Sale
  • GARB supported by
  • General airport revenues
  • Passenger Facility Charges (PFCs) of 4.50
  • GARB issued first quarter, 2006 with mode
    flexibility
  • Variable Rate Demand Note (VRDN) during
    construction (assumed rate 4.35)
  • Fixed rate for remaining 27 years (5.6)
  • AIP-backed issued bond 2007 fixed rate (5.0)

10
New Airport Revenues
  • Airline fees increase at least 15 in 2005
    dollars when new airport opens in 2009
  • 2004 airline cost/EPAX (CPEP) was 4.02
  • CPEP increases to 5.16/EPAX in 2009 (5.81 in
    2009 dollars)

11
Feasibility Requirements
  • Annual 1.25x debt service coverage
  • Debt service reserves of one years maximum debt
    service for GARB and AIP-backed bonds
  • Minimum operating reserve of 1.5 MM

12
Bond Sensitivity Analysis
Debt Service Coverage Ratio
13
Sale of Existing Airport
  • Based on 2004 study
  • Total of 713 acres available for sale
  • Estimated value of 54.5 MM
  • Assumes master planned, mixed-used redevelopment
  • Timing is important
  • 100 payment in first quarter 2006 through
    competitive tender, under base case
  • Property transferred when airport closes

14
Feasibility Summary
  • Project feasible in base case
  • Need to secure grant commitments from FAA and
    FDOT
  • Construction cost and schedule certainty is
    critical
  • Timing and value of property sale must
    approximate assumptions

15
Finance Process Overview
  • Develop financial plan
  • Obtain credit rating (Standard Poors, Moodys,
    and/or Fitch)
  • Secure bond insurance, if necessary/available
  • Develop official statement (prospectus),
    including legal opinion from bond counsel,
    airport consultants report, and other documents
  • Price bonds and close transaction

16
Underwriter Responsibilities
  • Be available for project consultation
  • Assist in development of credit strategies and
    advise on financing techniques and structuring
  • Help prepare official statements and other
    documents
  • Assist in preparation of rating agency
    presentations
  • Sell bonds, working with the Authoritys
    financial advisors and financing team
  • Perform other underwriter duties

17
Underwriter Selection Criteria
  • Overall qualifications and experience of firm and
    individuals
  • Underwriting capabilities and demonstrated
    experience serving public sector clients with
    emphasis on providing airports services requested
    in the RFP
  • Proposed fees

18
Underwriter Selection Timing
  • Issue RFP early August
  • Receive proposal early September
  • Invite up to 3 firms for presentations (if
    necessary) mid-September
  • Select underwriter by end of September
  • Underwriter begins work in early October
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