What You Should Know About Transportation

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• What You Should Know About Transportation

• Northern Virginia Transportation Alliance

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Region Has Grown Outward

• Outward Population Shift 1960-2000

• Location
• Central
• Inner Suburbs
• Outer Suburbs
• TOTAL

• 1960
• 1,017,000 (45)
• 983,000 (45)
• 195,000 (9)
• 2,295,000

• 2000
• 891,000 (19)
• 2,628,000 (59)
• 979,000 (22)
• 4,552,000

Source National Capital Region Transportation
Planning Board
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Region Has Grown Outward

• Outward Job Shift 1970-2000

• Location
• Central
• Inner Suburbs
• Outer Suburbs
• TOTAL

• 1970
• 805,000 (53)
• 604,000 (40)
• 105,000 (7)
• 1,515,000

• 2000
• 1,016,000 (36)
• 1,428,000 (50)
• 402,000 (14)
• 2,846,000

Source National Capital Region Transportation
Planning Board
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Outward Shift to Continue

• Population

• Location
• Central
• Inner Suburbs
• Outer Suburbs
• TOTAL

• 2005
• 912,000 (19)
• 2,869,000 (58)
• 1,188,000 (24)
• 4,918,000

• 2030
• 1,152,000 (17)
• 3,522,000 (53)
• 1,937,000 (29)
• 6,610,000

Source National Capital Region Transportation
Planning Board
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Outward Shift to Continue

• Jobs

• Location
• Central
• Inner Suburbs
• Outer Suburbs
• TOTAL

• 2005
• 1,046,000 (34)
• 1,498,000 (49)
• 507,000 (17)
• 3,051,000

• 2030
• 1,284,000 (30)
• 2,118,000 (50)
• 834,000 (20)
• 4,237,000

Source National Capital Region Transportation
Planning Board
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Todays Congestion Results from Failure to
Implement, Not Failure to Plan
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Year 2000 Road and Bridge Plans
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Year 2000 Road and Bridge Deletions(Click on
Map to See Deletions)
X
X
X
X
X
X
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Year 2000 Transit Plan(Click on Map)
BuiltMetrorail
VRE, MARC Commuter Rail (Red Dots)
Unbuilt Rail
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Public Transit Success Story

• Nations second highest percentage of public
  transit trips
• 15-18 of work trips (NoVa lower)
• 6 of daily trips (NoVa lower)
• Public transit unlikely to serve 10 of all daily
  trips

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Public Transit Success Story (Contd)

• 60 of projected transportation funds targeted
  for public transit.
• Single occupant vehicle usage/mode split
  increases continue.
• Operating deficits/rehab costs escalating

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Transportation Network Provides Land Use
Framework

• The urban region can be looked at as a group of
  land use cells defined by the transportation
  network.
• The Regional Development Guide 1966-2000
• The National Capital Regional Planning Council
• June 30, 1966

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Land Use No Substitute for Transportation
Infrastructure

• An HRPDC Smart Growth Study released in 2003
  concluded that, while aggressive Smart Growth
  strategies would reduce (2026) congestion and
  emissions (levels), no planned improvements could
  be removed for the 2026 Long Range Transportation
  Plan.
• Hampton Roads Planning District Commission
• December 2005
• A National Capital Region Transportation Planning
  Board Mobility and Accessibility Study confirms
  HRDPC results.

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Major Missing Links Keyto Better Transportation
and Land Use
Regions Most Important Transportation
Needs(Click on map to see projects)
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Missing Links Benefits

• Better travel times
• Shorter rush hours
• Improves existing system
• Safer, more livable neighborhoods
• Better air/environmental quality

• Better regional security/emergency response
• More intelligent land use, better suburban
  transit
• Better connected regional activity centers
• Better alternative to costly patches
• Most affordable solution

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Air Quality Improving
Vehicle Emission Trends 1990 - 2030
Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC)
Nitrogen Oxides (NOx)
Source National Capital Region Transportation
Planning Board
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HB 3202 Statewide Sources In millions

• FY09
• Abusive drivers fees 61.9
• Reg. fee for cars - 10 62.4
• Reg. fee for trucks - 10 weight 27.0
• Overweight truck fees 3.4
• Diesel fuel equalization (1.5 cents) 20.9
• Insurance premiums (1/3 of total) 137.0
• Recordation tax (3 cents) 64.1
• TOTAL 376.7
• Plus 2/3 of General Fund surplus est. 96

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New Statewide Funds Short of Needs

• HB 3202 Statewide Uses
• FY 09
• Debt Service (Insurance Prem.)
  137.0
• Transit Operating (2 cents, rec. tax)
  42.7
• Highway Maintenance (.01 rec./other fees)
  196.9
• TOTAL
  376.7

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New Statewide Funds Short of Needs

• Overall Needs
• VTRANS 2025 Study estimates annual transportation
  funding shortfall at 2.5 5 billion per year
• HB 3202 provides about 500 million per year
• 300 million per year is still needed for
  maintenance
• Maintenance shortfall grows by 50 million per
  year

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HB 3202 Northern Virginia Regional Sources In
millions

• Local car rental (2) 9.0
• Grantors Tax (40/100) 171.0
• Hotel/Motel (2) 25.3
• Auto Repair Sales Tax (5) 33.2
• Initial Vehicle Reg. Fee (1) 64.6
• Safety Inspection Fee (10) 16.2
• Regular Reg. Fee (10) 17.0
• Subtotal 336.3
• Local Option
• Commercial Real Estate (.08/100)
  83.3
• Local Vehicle Reg. Fee (10) 17.0
• Commercial/Residential Impact Fees
  -?-
• Subtotal 100.3
• TOTAL 436.6 million/year

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Northern Virginia Distribution Formula Do the Math

• FY09 Regional Funds 324.5 million
• Less 40 local share - 128.8 million
• Regional Authority 60 share 195.0 million
• Less WMATA share -50.0 million
• Less VRE share -25.0 million
• Share for regional bond debt
• service, regional roads
• and transit in nine jurisdictions 120.0
  million
• Excludes local option funds.
• Local share is larger than regional. If
  estimated grantors tax receipts are lower than
  expected, this amount will be reduced even more.

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Transportation Authority Bond Projects Proposed
Bond Project

• Roads 56.9 (million)
• Battlefield Pkwy (Rt. 7 Kincaid) 5.0
• Fairfax Pkwy (Fair Lakes/Monument Int.) 29.0
• Pacific Blvd. (Loudoun) 2.6
• Prince William Pkwy. 4 6 lanes (Hoadly
  Euclid) 14.9
• Route 28 Overpass (Manassas) 2.0
• Other 3.7
• Transit 37.8
• Crystal City/Potomac Yard 11.5
• Route 1 Pedestrian 10.0
• Metro Station signage upgrades 6.1
• VRE locomotives 3.5
• WFC/Vienna Metro Platforms 3.7
• Huntington Escalator Canopy 2.0
• Route 15 Park Ride 1.0
• Multi-Modal 7.246
• Wilson Blvd. pedestrian/bus shelters 2.0
• Old. Dom. Blvd. sidewalks, bike lanes 1.5

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New Statewide Funds Short of Needs

• HB 3202 provides 300 400 million per year for
  Northern Virginia
• Northern Virginias annual shortfall is 700
  million per year!

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Serious Problems Require Serious Solutions

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