GOALS

1
GOALS

• Improve present modeling abilities at DoF for
  routine fire weather modeling as well as in
  support for test burns at specific locations
  (Blackwater and near Lake Okeechobee)
• Assist DoF with transition to an improved
  meteorological modeling system (statewide)

2
Delivery

• Quality assessment of WRF vs. MM5
• Visualization products
• GIS products
• Forecasts for test burns
• All software migrates to DOF computer(s)
• All completed by 15 September 2007

3
Priorities

• (1) Run MM5 at the desired high resolution on the
  DOF computer.
• (2) Run WRF at a comparable resolution on the
  DOF computer.
• (3) Run the HYSPLIT postprocessor using model
  output from MM5 and WRF on the DOF computer.
• Target of mid-June to migrate software to DOF
• active coordination/collaboration is required

4
Proposed Model Domains

• Real-time SE US 4 km domain
• 300 x 350 gridpoints, 50 levels 15 in PBL
• 24 hour forecast initiated when 0000 UTC 10 km
  NCEP WRF forecast is available
• Integration begins by 0430 UTC
• 24 hr forecast available by 0830 UTC (4-430AM LT)
• Two regional 1.33 km forest domains
• 301 x 301 gridpoints, 50 levels 15 in PBL
• Initial and boundary conditions Above 4 km run
  with BC files output every 15 min
• WRF and MM5

5
Note the land-use resolution improvement in the
1.33 km vs. 4 km domains
6
Current Status - METEOROLOGICAL MODELING

• New WRF code successfully compiled in HERRZ Linux
  cluster
• HERRZ cluster performance tests (32-40 nodes
  routinely available) indicate good likelihood of
  timely routine 4 km MRF and MM5 runs both
  available in time for daily morning forecast from
  DoF
• New MM5 and WRF 4 km model domains redefined
  slightly (domains expanded)
• Mesonet sites identified (FAWN, RAWS, MADIS,
  others) and QC procedures identified
• Eglin AFB may provide restricted mesonet data for
  Blackwater experiments
• Cooperation with NWS Mobile and Tallahassee
  obtained on other data
• All full time personnel on board now (2.0 FTE
  research associates, faculty, and staff)
  academic year ends 1 May

7
Project Targets - METEOROLOGICAL MODELING

• Target dates for working prototypes (all have
  Wednesday dates)
• Web site update - http//moe.met.fsu.edu/fire/ -
  11 April
• MM5 4 km prototype - 18 April
• WRF 4 km prototype - 25 April
• preliminary selection of test prototypes (4 km)
  - 1 May -  through selection of
  initial cases for full validation
• 2 May - 0.5 FTE Research assistants begin
• Initial test experiments for 1.33 km MM5 - 9 May
• Initial test experiments for 1.33 km WRF - 16
  May
• Target for migration to DOF computers - 15 June

8
SAMPLE 4 KM DOMAIN
9
Sample Mesonet Plot - NOAA
http//www-frd.fsl.noaa.gov/mesonet/