Title: PROJECT FINANCING
1PROJECT APPRAISAL Satyajit Dwivedi CAB, Pune
2PROJECTS - DEFINITION
- CUTTING EDGE OF DEVELOPMENT GITTINGER
- A SET OF ACTIVITIES LARGE ENOUGH TO REQUIRE
PROPER PLANNING ETC.
3PROJECTS - DEFINITION
- PROJECT IS AN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN WHICH
- FINANCIAL RESOURCES ARE EXPENDED TO
- CREATE CAPITAL ASSESTS THAT PRODUCE
- BENEFITS OVER A PERIOD OF TIME AND WHICH
- LOGICALLY LENDS ITSELF TO PLANNING,
- FINANCING AND IMPLEMENTING AS A UNIT.
4CHARACTERISTICS
- P PRODUCT OF GOODS AND SERVICES
- R RESOURCES MAN, MATERIAL, MONEY
- O ORGANISATION
- J JUSTIFICATION SOCIAL BENEFITS, WEALTH
- E ECONOMIC FINANCIAL VIABILITY
- C CONTINUITY PLANNING, RESEARCH DEV.
- T TIME BOUND IMPLEMENTATION
5WHY PROJECT APPROACH ?
- Integrated approach for systematic exploitation
of resources - Gives an idea of costs year by year Helps in
resources planning - Impact of investment on the stakeholders
- Better judgment of administrative
organisational problems - Encourage examination of alternatives
6ESSENCE OF PROJECT APPRAISAL
- A COMPREHENSIVE SYSTEMATIC REVIEW OF ALL
ASPECTS OF PROJECT - A SECOND LOOK TO THE PROJECT BY ONE NOT INVOLVED
IN PRJECT FORMULATION - HIGHLIGHT THE WEAK AREAS OF THE PROJECT FOR DUE
RECTIFICATION
7ESSENCE OF PROJECT APPRAISAL
- AN EXERCISE FOR FUTURE ASSESSMENT
- A JOINT ASSESSMENT BY THE PROMOTER FINANCIAL
INSTITUTION - ENFORCEMENT OF A TIME BOUND PROGRAMME TO AVOID
DISTORTION
8 TYPES OF PROJECTS
FARM SECTOR
NON FARM SECTOR
OTHERS
9PROJECT CYCLE
- IDENTIFICATION
- FORMULATION
- APPRAISAL
- IMPLEMENTATION
- MONITORING
- EVALUATION
10IDENTIFICATION
EVALUATION
FORMULATION
PROJECT CYCLE
MONITORING
APPRAISAL
IMPLEMENTATAION
11APPRAISAL
- TECHNICAL
- COMMERCIAL
- MANAGERIAL / BORROWER
- ORGANISATIONAL
- SOCIAL
- ECONOMIC
- FINANCIAL
12OBJECTIVES OF FINANCIAL APPRAISAL
- To assess the financial effect on the farmers and
bank/financial institution - To asses overall return on the investment as well
as return to farmer after repayment of
installments - To know whether incremental benefits are
attractive enough for farmer - To work out a plan that projects financial
situations and sources of funds and to determine
timing of investments
13CASH FLOW STATEMENT
- Cash flow prepared on an annual basis over the
economic life of assets - Identify the costs and benefits
- Compare incremental benefits with incremental
costs - Income and expenditure pertaining to the
investment alone to be reckoned - For deciding the price price paid or received
at the farm-gate to be taken - Constant price principle is applied
- Interest on borrowed capital is not included
14 CASH FLOW STATEMENT CONTD..
-
- Identification of costs
- Investment
- Expenditure made before the production starts and
replacement of machineries - Production
- All recurring expenditure during the project life
- Pre-Development Income
- Pre-developmental income to be taken as cost
- Cost not to be reduced with subsidy/margin
15Identification of Benefits
- Increase in production
- Cost reduction
- Improvement in quality
- Grading
- Prevention of loss
- Consumed part of production
- Scrap/residual value of investments
16 METHODS OF APPRAISAL
- Two well known methods
- PAYBACK METHOD (Undiscounted)
- TIME ADJUSTED RATE OF RETURN (Discounted)
17PAYBACK METHOD
-
- LENTH OF TIME FROM BEGINNING OF THE PROJECT TILL
THE INCREMENTAL BENEFITS REACHES THE CAPITAL
INVESTMENT - FAILS TO CONSIDER EARNINGS AFTER THE PAYBACK
PERIOD - DOES NOT CONSIDER TIMIMGS OF OCCURRENCE OF CASH
INFLOWS AND OUTFLOWS OF THE PROJECT
18DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW METHOD
- TAKES INTO ACCOUNT TIME VALUE OF MONEY
- COSTS AND BENFITS OCCUR AT DIFFRENT TIMINGS AND
IN DIFFERENT AMOUNT - DISCOUNT FACTOR IS USED TO BRING COSTS AND
BENEFITS TO THEIR PRESENT VALUE - BY DISCOUNTING AT A GIVEN RATE WE OVERCOME THE
TIME DIMENSION
19 DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW METHOD
- DISCOUNTED MEASURES OF PROJECT WORTH
- BENEFIT COST RATIO (BCR)
- NET PRESENT WORTH (NPW)
- ITERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)
20STEPS METHODOLOGY FOR APPRAISAL
-
- COST AND BENEFIT STREAM IN THE CASH FLOW TO BE
DISCOUNTED SEPARATELY - TOTAL OF DISCOUNTED COST GIVES PRESENT WORTH OF
COSTS (PWC) - TOTAL OF DISCOUNTED BENEFIT IN CASH FLOW GIVES
PRESENT WORTH OF BENEFITS (PWB)
21 STEPS METHODOLOGY FOR APPRAISAL
-
- BENEFIT COST RATIO RATIO OF PWB TO PWC
- NET PRESENT WORTH DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PWB AND
PWC - IF BCR IS gt 1 AND NPW IS VE AT THE DISCOUNTED
RATE, THEN THE PROJECT IS VIABLE
22Benefit Cost Ratio
Year Investment cost Benefits DF _at_15 PW of costs ( 2x4) PW of benefits (3x4)
1 2 3 4 5 6
0 1000 - 1.000 1000 -
1 - 400 0.870 - 348
2 - 500 0.756 - 378
3 - 500 0.658 - 329
Total 1000 1400 1000 1055
BC Ratio 1055 - 1000 1.055 1
23Net Present Worth
Year Investment cost Benefits DF _at_15 PW of costs ( 2x4) PW of benefits (3x4)
1 2 3 4 5 6
0 1000 - 1.000 1000 -
1 - 400 0.870 - 348
2 - 500 0.756 - 378
3 - 500 0.658 - 329
Total 1000 1400 1000 1055
NPW 1055 - 1000 55
24Net Present Worth
Year Investment cost Benefits DF _at_ 20 PW of costs ( 2x4) PW of benefits (3x4)
1 2 3 4 5 6
0 1000 - 1.000 1000 -
1 - 400 0.833 - 333
2 - 500 0.694 - 347
3 - 500 0.579 - 289
Total 1000 1400 1000 969
NPW 969 - 1000 (-) 31
25Internal Rate of Return
- Internal Rate of Return ( IRR )
- Lower of the two discount rates ( ) Difference
between two discount rates x (NPW _at_ lower
discount rate - Absolute difference between
NPWs at two discount rates ) - IRR
- 15 5 x ( multiplied by )
- 55 - 86 ( 55-31)
- 18 ( 18.2 )
- IRR determined by trial and error
- Represents return for resources over life of
project - Earning power of money used in project
- IRR not estimated beyond 50
- Present cut off IRR 15
26Appraisal of Projects- Techniques-contd.
27 TREATMENT OF DEPRECIATION AND INTEREST
- Depreciation and interest on borrowed capital
not treated as cost - In DCF approach
- return of capital is ensured and hence no
depreciation of investment - return to capital i.e interest on investment is
also ensured
28 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
- Studies the changes in the scenario in case
either price structure or timeframe undergoes
change - Studies ability of the project to bear
adversities
29REPAYMENT SCHEDULE
- Three issues to be seen
- Instalments to be fixed in relation to surplus so
that sufficient is available with the farmer
after repayment - Period of loan to be within economic life of the
assets - Instalments are fixed when surplus is available
30THANK
YOU