Title: Dengue Cost of Illness Studies: Status Report
1Dengue Cost of Illness Studies Status Report
Presented at Spring Meeting of Board of
Counselors Donald S. Shepard, Ph.D. Jose
Suaya, M.D., Ph.D. Mariana Caram, M.A. Site
colleagues Program Management Team, Dengue
Burden Studies Schneider Institute for Health
Policy, Heller School, MS 035 Brandeis
University, Waltham, MA 02454-9110 USA Tel
781-736-3975 Fax 781-736-3928 Web
http//www.sihp.brandeis.edu/shepard E-mail
Shepard_at_Brandeis.edu April 25-26, 2006, Seoul,
Korea
2Site Colleagues
- Prof. Lucy Lum Chai See, MD
- Malaysia
- Dr. Sukhontha Kongsin, PhD
- Thailand
3Overview
- Objectives, Background
- Methods
- Preliminary Results
- Conclusions and Next Steps
4Objectives
- Examine economic burden of dengue on households,
governments, and private sector (employers,
insurers). - Build capacity for health services and policy
research on dengue by involving policy makers and
practitioners from many countries.
5Background
- 2001 Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam stakeholder
dengue meeting included economic topics. - 2002 Burden of Illness (BOI) included in PDVIs
grant application to Gates Foundation and
countries invited to submit concept papers. - 2003 PDVI issued a Request for Proposals for
the BOI Program Management Team (PMT) and
selected Brandeis University - 2004 PMT recommended and PDVI approved and
funded studies in 8 countries. - 2005 Data collection started.
- 2006 Data are being cleaned and analyzed.
Reports of results and international workshops
are being planned.
6Definitions
- Cost of illness Economic cost imposed by a
disease due to prevention, treatment, and lost
economic output (major focus of work to date).
Key elements - Cost to health sector and lost economic output
- Costs of treatment and prevention (vector
control) - Treatment costs calculated per case and aggregate
to the country - Age breakdown of treatment costs children and
adults - Burden of illness Loss of good health, generally
measured in DALYs, due to morbidity and mortality
imposed by the disease (minor focus of work to
date).
7Overview
- Objectives
- Methods
- Preliminary Results
- Conclusions and Next Steps
8Methods and Data
- Conceptual frameworks National Health Accounts
(NHA) and Cost of Illness (COI). - Data collection and analysis
- Collaborating institutions (research and patient
care), subjects, and labs.
9Frameworks NHA
- Describes the spending on health for a country or
region. - Uses a consistent set of definitions limited to
the organized health sector to compare data
across countries - Organizes results in a matrix structure that
classifies financing agent (e.g. government or
out-of-pocket) against type of care.
10Disease-Specific NHA
- Uses
- Shows relative importance of that disease.
- Informs about treatment choices and settings.
- Informs about prevention choices including the
development of new approaches (e.g. vaccine). - Challenge data needs
- Consistent definitions
- Cost per treatment episode or per year by stage
or type - Incidence (acute conditions or complications) or
prevalence (chronic conditions), often by stage
or type - Current and potential prevention options, costs,
and effectiveness
11Frameworks COI
- Describes the overall economic cost of a disease
of a country or region. - Determines direct and indirect costs.
- Direct costs are economic costs within the health
sector for prevention and treatment. - Indirect costs are economic costs of lost time,
lost quality of life, and lost wages associated
with the disease. - Based on welfare economics collateral treatment
expenses economic losses.
12Frameworks combined
13Data collection
- Subjects (or caretakers) interviewed once or
twice about illness, treatment, and caretaker
visits. - Medical records abstracted.
- Lab data collected from records or tests during
the study. - Information entered into customized Microsoft
Access database. - Data converted into SPSS, cleaned, aggregated by
subject.
14Data analysis
- Key formula
- Total cost of a resource Quantity x Unit cost
- Quantity and unit cost can be obtained from
separate data sources. - Example 1 Hospital costs
- Hospitalization cost length of stay x cost per
day - Example 2 Lost time from self-employment or
household activities - Cost of lost time days lost x value per day
15Collaborating Institutions 1
16Collaborating Institutions 2
17Types of Facilities
18Number of Participants(as of 4/20/06)
19Serology Gates Foundation Question
- Asked at midterm review What is status of
serology testing? - Studies were designed to follow current
laboratory test practices at study sites, so our
samples and costs are representative of the
current laboratory capacity in the countries
studied. - Tests were performed at national or regional
reference laboratories. - Depending on the timing and number of blood
samples, laboratories performed serology tests,
viral isolation, and/or PCR. - Fraction of patients receiving serology tests
varied with care patterns in the countries. - In six countries, all patients tested.
- In three countries, about half tested.
20Serology Results
21Overview
- Objectives
- Methods
- Preliminary Results
- Conclusions and Next Steps
22Case Study Countries
23Direct cost per hospitalized case
24Cost per hospitalized case, US
- Data collected by Prof. Lucy Lum from 654
dengue hospitalizations in 2 public and 2 private
hospitals around Kuala Lumpur in 2003.
25Financing of a dengue hospitalized case, US
26Financing of dengue care by level and setting
27Preliminary estimate of national cost
- Needs national estimate of cost per case (assumed
data from Malaysia were representative) - Needs national number of cases (derived for
hospital cases from expansion factor)
28 Expansion
FactorRelation to Notification Rate
29Projected number of hospitalized dengue cases in
Malaysia
30Aggregate NHA cost of dengue cases in Malaysia
for hospitalization (US million)
31NHA Overall cost of dengue in Malaysia
- Preliminary total 12.79 million
- Excludes ambulatory-only cases (not yet analyzed)
- Equivalent to 940,000 workdays of output
32Derivation of indirect costs
33COI in Malaysia other costs
34Quantities of key activities, Thailand
35Estimated cost per hospitalized case
36Overview
- Objectives
- Methods
- Preliminary Results
- Conclusions and Next Steps
37Country conclusions
- The cost of dengue treatment per hospitalized
case in Malaysia (718) is equivalent to 53 days
of lost output. - These treatment costs are financed by government
(70), employers and insurers (13), and
households (17). - Development and adoption of a dengue vaccine
would offset 87 of treatment costs for all of
Southeast Asia and may permit reductions in
spending on vector control. - The National Health Accounts analysis shows the
value of investing in a dengue vaccine to
multiple stakeholders.
38Project status conclusions
- As most investigators were new to health services
research, we are proud of their work. - Data should allow a good estimate of dengue cost
per case at each site. - Burden of Illness Studies are possible to conduct
in several countries. - Existing data should support estimates of
population-based costs in two countries (Brazil
and Malaysia). - Numerous extensions under discussion with PDVI to
strengthen population-based studies of treatment
and costs of vector control.