Climate Change and Economic Impact on India

1
Climate Change and Economic Impact on India
2
Economy

• GDP (purchasing power parity) 4.156 trillion
• GDP per capita 3,800
• GDP composition by sector
• 19.9 agriculture
• 19.3 industry
• 60.7 services
• Labor force by occupation
• 60 agriculture
• 12 industry
• 28 services

https//www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world
-factbook/geos/in.html
3

35 of population live on less than 1 a
day 80 live on less than 2 a day
http//earthtrends.wri.org/povlinks/map/m_54.php
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Temperature rise (2-3.5oC)

• 9-25 loss of agriculture revenue, or 0.67 of
  GDP, equivalent to 2223 million
• Coastal agriculture suffers most, in western
  states of Gujrat, Maharashtra, Kanataka
• Reduction in yield in northwest Punjab, Haryana
• But marginal gains in West Bengal, Orissa, Andhra
  Pradesh (limited evidence)

http//www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/5/0/roy.pdf
Joyashree Roy, comissioned research on Stern
Review
5
Sea level rise (100 cm)

• 1259 million welfare loss,
• equivalent to 0.35 GDP
• 7 million people would be displaced
• 5,764 sq km land would be lost through inundation
• 4,200 km roads destroyed
• limited evidence

http//www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/5/0/roy.pdf
Joyashree Roy, comissioned research on Stern
Review
6
Sea level rise (100 cm)

• Island Submersion
• Sunderban Islands
• 2 out of 102 islands
• are submerged, leaving
• 10,000 people homeless
• 12 more islands are in danger of submersion
  100,000 would have to be evacuated in the next
  decade if trend continues

http//www.hindu.com/thehindu/mag/2006/12/10/stori
es/2006121000130400.htm http//www.terradaily.com/
reports/Rising_Sea_Levels_Engulfing_Indian_World_H
eritage_Islands_999.html
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• The Konkan Railway, between Roha and Thokur
• 760 km
• Rs 34 billion (US 745 million)
• 59 stations
• 179 major bridges (total linear waterway 20.50
  km)
• 1,819 minor bridges (total linear waterway 5.73
  km).

http//unfccc.int/files/parties_and_observers/part
ies/application/pdf/indnc1.pdf
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India and the Kyoto Protocol

• Even though India ratified the Kyoto Protocol, we
  were exempt from reducing our emissions for the
  time being.
• The reasoning
• About a fifth of the Carbon Dioxide in the
  atmosphere was put there by human activity in the
  last 150 years. Most of this human induced carbon
  is the result of emissions from developed
  countries since the industrial revolution.

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The Big Picture
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Our Reasoning

• India argues that since the CO2 in the atmosphere
  is from the emissions of developed countries over
  a long period of time, it is the responsibility
  of the developed countries to do something about
  it.
• A few countries such as the U.S. found this
  unfair and argued that each country should help
  cut down on emissions regardless of how developed
  a nation they were.

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India (and the World)s Loss

• The U.S. has refused to ratify the Kyoto
  Protocol.
• Bad because Its the biggest emitter in the
  world.
• Hypocritical of the U.S. to say that everyone
  should do their part and then do nothing