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Demand, Supply

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e.g. Qd = a bP cM dPR eT f Pe gN. Estimate the parameters (i.e. a,b,c,d, ... 'given time period' means that market supply is a 'flow' not a 'stock' ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Demand, Supply


1
Demand, Supply Market Equilibrium
2
Objectives of Discussion
  • Identify the basic components of a market demand
    supply
  • Identify the factors that affect demand supply
  • Describe the market equilibrium process through
    price changes and why markets generate gains from
    trade
  • Examine how markets adjust to changes in factors
    that affect demand, supply and prices
  • Understanding the market in which a firm competes
    is a way of looking behind the firms current and
    future income statement

3
Demand - Some Background
  • Market Demand Defined
  • Total amount of a good or service that buyers are
    willing able to purchase during a given time
    period
  • willing implies desire--may not be able to
    purchase because of availability
  • able implies effectiveness-- the means to
    purchase will to carry through if somebody will
    sell
  • given time period means that market demand is
    a flow at a point in time

4
Factors Affecting Demand
  • Market Demand for a given good or service is
    influenced by many factors
  • Six primary factors that apply for most goods
    are
  • Price (negative relationship)
  • Buyers income or financial resources
  • Positive relationship for normal goods
  • Negative relationship for inferior goods

5
Factors Affecting Demand
  • Prices of goods related in consumption
  • Positive relationship for substitutes
  • Negative relationship for complements
  • Tastes and Preferences
  • Buyer expectations about future price
  • Number of consumers in market

6
Law of Demand
  • Holding all other demand factors constant, price
    of a good is inversely related to the quantity
    demanded (a downward sloping line)
  • A change in price causes a change in the
    quantity demanded

7
Changes in Quantity Demanded
  • Quantity Demanded refers to a single point
    given a particular price on a given demand curve
    (function)
  • involves a movement from one point on a demand
    curve to another point on same curve
  • Must entail a change in own-price

8
A Demand Curve
Figure 2.1
9
Reasons for Law of Demand
  • Lower price brings new buyers who were unwilling/
    unable to purchase at higher price
  • Existing buyers purchase more because
  • Good substituted for relatively more expensive
    goods
  • Real income increases so buy more of most goods
  • Good is used to satisfy less pressing needs that
    had previously been unmet

10
Specifying the Demand Function
  • The Market Demand Function
  • Qd f(P, M, PR, T, Pe, N)
  • To define a demand function we need to choose a
    specific form
  • e.g. Qd a bP cM dPR eT f Pe gN
  • Estimate the parameters (i.e. a,b,c,d,e,f, g)
  • Qd 280 - 20P 60M - 50PR 20T 10 Pe 4N

11
Changes in Demand
  • Demand refers to the whole set of points
    represented by a given demand curve
  • involves a shift in the whole demand curve -
    quantity demanded changes for each price of the
    product
  • occurs when one of the other demand determinants
    change
  • Increase in demand - larger quantity demanded at
    each price
  • Decrease in demand - smaller quantity demanded at
    each price

12
Changes (Shifts) in Demand
13
Demand and Consumer Surplus
  • Consumer Surplus is the extra value a consumer
    gets from a good but does not have to pay for it.
    This surplus results from the fact that
    consumers would be willing to pay more for the
    good but dont have to because of the prevailing
    market price.

14
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15
Supply - Some Background
  • Market Supply Defined
  • Total amount of good/ service that sellers are
    willing able to sell during a given time period
  • willing implies desire--may not be able to sell
    because buyers arent available
  • able implies effectiveness-- seller has means
    to provide will to carry through if somebody
    will buy
  • given time period means that market supply is
    a flow not a stock

16
Factors Affecting Market Supply
  • Market supply for a given good or service is
    influenced by many factors
  • Six primary factors are
  • Price of the good itself (positive relationship)
  • Prices of inputs--labor, raw materials, etc.
    (negative relationship)

17
Factors Affecting Market Supply
  • Prices of goods related in production
  • Negative relationship for substitutes
  • gasoline fuel oil compact mid-size cars
  • Positive relationship for complements
  • e.g. beef leather hides crude oil gas
  • Technology/regulatory/tax changes (???
    relationship)
  • e.g. robotic production techniques reduced
    average per unit cost of autos
  • Number type of firms selling in the market
    market structure regular vs thin markets
  • Seller expectations about future prices

18
Factors Affecting Market Supply
  • Specifying the Supply Relationship
  • The Market Supply Function
  • Qs g(P, Pi, Pr, T, Pe, F)
  • To measure the supply function we need to choose
    a specific functional form
  • Qs h kP lPi mPr nT r Pe sF
  • Estimate the parameters (i.e. h,k,l,m,n,r s)
  • Qs 50 10P - 8Pi 0Pr 0T 0 Pe 5F
  • or Qs 50 10P - 8Pi 5F

19
Price Quantity Supplied Relationship
  • Holding all other supply factors constant, the
    price of a good is positively related to the
    quantity supplied
  • Reasons for Direct Relationship
  • Existing producers increase output by using more
    costly techniques
  • Hire overtime workers, use more expensive sources
    of raw materials, etc.
  • Marginal producers who previously were unable to
    survive can now enter the market

20
Changes in Quantity Supplied
  • Quantity Supplied refers to a single point on a
    given supply function
  • Change in quantity supplied involves a move
    from one point on a supply curve to another
    point on same curve
  • Must entail a change in own-price

21
A Supply Function (Curve)
Figure 2.3
22
Changes in Supply
  • Supply refers to the whole set of points
    represented by a given supply schedule or curve
  • Change in supply occurs when one of the other
    supply determinants change
  • Change involves a shift in the whole supply
    curve--the quantity supplied changes for each
    price of the product
  • Decrease in supply - smaller quantity supplied at
    each price
  • Increase in supply - larger quantity supplied at
    each price

23
Shifts in the Supply Curve
Figure 2.4
24
Supply and Producer Surplus
  • Producer Surplus is the amount producers (firms)
    receive in excess of the amount they would be
    willing to supply the good to the market. The
    concept is equivalent to economic profits.

25
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26
Market Equilibrium
  • Demand summarizes desires of buyers supply
    summarizes desires of sellers in a market
  • Common link between buyers sellers
  • is price ? Qd Qs
  • Supply Demand depicts the responses of two
    distinct and independent groups of economic
    decision makers each group seeks to maximize
    their gain (surplus) from trade
  • A market transaction is an exchange that is
    voluntary and leaves each party no worse off

27
Market Equilibrium
Figure 2.5
28
Market Equilibrium Process
  • In a market with many buyers sellers decision
    makers compete against each other through price
    offers
  • When Qd exceeds Qs at a given price, buyers bid
    against each other for the limited quantity
  • When Qs exceeds Qd at a given price, sellers
    compete against each other for limited buyers
  • In both cases the competition puts pressure on
    market price

29
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30
Interfering With the Market Adjustment Process
  • When left free to adjust, markets will produce a
    price that eliminates shortages and surpluses
    (timing indeterminate)
  • Price ceilings floors are sometimes imposed
    which create conditions of disequilibrium
  • Government interference often based on social
    considerations, e.g. equity, regional
    distribution, and political rewards

31
Price Ceilings
  • Price ceiling is the imposition of a maximum
    price that is lower than the true equilibrium
    price
  • Creates condition of excess demand or shortage
  • Gasoline prices in 70s
  • Electricity prices in California in 2000 - 2001

32
Price Floors
  • Price floor is imposition of a minimum price that
    is higher than the true equilibrium price
  • Creates condition of excess supply or surplus
  • Minimum wage is often used as an example, others
    include imports of sugar, tomatoes and steel in
    U.S.

33
Price Ceilings Floors
Figure 2.11
34
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35
Using Market Equilibrium Analysis (Comparative
Statics)
  • Predict the effects of outside events on price
    and quantity movements in a market
  • Assess the effects of changes in firm policies on
    sales
  • Assess the effects of government policy changes
    on an industry

36
Approach
  • Identify the avenue through which an exogenous
    event influences the market
  • Does it shift the demand curve, the supply
    curve or both?
  • Work through the market adjustment process
  • Compare the new market equilibrium to the old
    equilibrium (static equilibrium analysis)

37
Demand Shifts Outcomes
  • Demand shifts with supply constant
  • Increase in demand (shift to right) increases
    both price and quantity
  • Decrease in demand (shift to left) decreases both
    P Q

38
Demand Shifts (supply constant)
Figure 2.6
39
Supply Shifts and Outcomes
  • Supply shifts with demand constant
  • Increase in supply (shift to right) decreases
    price and increases quantity
  • Decrease in supply (shift to left) increases
    price and decreases quantity

40
Supply Shifts (demand constant)
Figure 2.7
41
Simultaneous Shifts in both Demand Supply
  • Results vary depending on direction and magnitude
    of shifts
  • Without knowledge of magnitude, one variable will
    be indeterminate (ambiguous)
  • Consider net effect on price and quantity due to
    shifts of Demand and Supply

42
Simultaneous Shifts D S Both Increase
Figure 2.8
43
Demand Supply for Air Travel
Figure 2.10
44
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45
Discussion QuestionWhat are the factors that
contribute to a well-designed market?
46
Features of a Well-Designed Market
  • Low transactions costs
  • Sufficient information
  • Trust/reputation/no collusion
  • Enforceable property rights
  • Dynamic
  • These features are shaped and modified by market
    participants either in the market itself or
    through government rules and regulations

47
Summary
  • Market equilibrium analysis provides a core tool
    for understanding and analyzing economic
    decisions of managers
  • Two groups of independent players (buyers and
    sellers) in most market situations
  • Demand represents behavior of buyers, supply
    represents the behavior of sellers
  • Common link between buyers and sellers in markets
    is price

48
Summary
  • Prices in competitive markets will adjust to
    changes in demand and supply through equilibrium
    process
  • In addition to own-price, behaviors of buyers
    and sellers are influenced by other demand and
    supply determinants
  • Managers can develop a plan for production,
    marketing, etc. by knowing and anticipating
    market conditions
  • A well-designed market requires a variety of
    supporting conditions and institutions
  • Most of the topics covered in this class are
    extensions and refinements of market equilibrium
    analysis
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