www.climatescienceinternational.org

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www.climatescienceinternational.org/ Promoting
international cooperation among climate
realists Presentation by Tom Harris, Executive
Director, ICSC tom.harris_at_climatescienceinternatio
nal.net
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The Problem

• Governments in developed countries intend to
  limit carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions
• This will have serious consequences for industry
  and the public

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Probable results

• Failed businesses and massive unemployment
• Higher prices and lower services
• Shortage of energy and resources
• Increased damage to the environment
• Reduced quality of life now and in the future
• Widespread social discontent

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How can we stop this happening? Firstly, we must
understand its cause
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The Cause

• Governments believe that CO2 must be reduced to
  achieve political success
• They think that the public will support CO2
  controls to stop climate change
• Most mass media support CO2 controls
• Lobby groups have successfully pushed the
  climate change agenda
• Science has little influence on climate policy

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The Cause

• Governments and politicians want to be seen as
  strong leaders
• They need big problems to tackle that they
  alone can solve

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The Cause
The whole aim of practical politics is to keep
the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be
led to safety) by menacing it with an endless
series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary. H.
L. MenckenUS editor (1880 - 1956)
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Underlying factors -1

• Public are believed to support CO2 controls
• The public, politicians and media are fed with
  poll results that appear to show strong public
  support for CO2 control
• But poll reporting is usually biased
• Media endorse polls that support climate
  alarmism, while ignoring those that do not

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US Public opinion about scientists beliefs about
global warming Yale University poll released in
September 2007
48
40
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3
scientists believe it is happening is not
happening a lot of disagreement
dont know
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Media ignored Yale survey

• Instead reported heavily on a BBC poll
• An average of 79 of respondents to the BBC
  survey agreed that "human activity, including
  industry and transportation, is a significant
  cause of climate change Nine out of 10 people
  said action was necessary, with two-thirds of
  people going further, saying "it is necessary to
  take major steps starting very soon".
• BBC Web page

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Media missed
BBC poll Among those who indicate they have
heard nothing at all about global warming, only
47 support significant measures. -
Illustrates how many respondents give answers
desired by the pollster
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Underlying factors - 1

• Poll results are distorted because
• most are push polls and ask loaded questions
  designed to support the sponsors views
• biased interpretations of poll results
• Yet, the public believe polls reflect public
  opinion and that media reports on the poll are
  objective

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Underlying factors - 2

• Most mass media support savage CO2 controls
  because
• they believe human-caused climate change is a
  serious threat requiring desperate remedies
• many reporters are left leaning social crusaders
• media also want to be noticed and influential
• future catastrophe sells media, advertising and
  increases profits

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Underlying factors - 3

• Lobby groups have pushed climate change
  successfully
• They are experts in communication through mass
  media, advertising and grass roots campaigns
• They have infiltrated our school systems with
  green propaganda
• They are experts in political lobbying

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Underlying factors - 3

• Enviro lobby groups succeed because
• they dont give up, and happily work for years
  at low or no pay for future results
• they are well-coordinated internationally
• they are heavily funded
• they are fearless, aggressive and, in many
  cases, fanatical

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Underlying factors - 4

• Climate policy has little to do with science
• Most of the public and media have little
  understanding of science
• They rely on media reports or government press
  announcements
• Most scientists avoid publicity, media, lobbying

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Winning the war against climate alarmism

• Must professionally counter underlying factors
• Specifically, we must

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Winning the war against climate alarmism
1 Continue to sway public opinion and then
measure and report on that opinion in a fashion
seen to be trustworthy 2 Continue to help
educate media and design media friendly
communications material and techniques 3 Engage
in intensive lobbying, using the tools of the
pros 4 Continue to conduct good science, and
promote its use in the development of climate
policy
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Groups doing much of this

• Besides individual scientists conducting and
  reporting on new research
• Friends of Science
• New Zealand Climate Science Coalition
• Heartland Institute
• SEPP, NRSP, Lavoisier Group, CATO, Carbon Sense,
  John Daly for many years, etc

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Components missing

• Regular, high impact media coverage of the
  findings of leading climate realist scientists
• A high degree of information sharing and
  cooperation between realist groups
• Grass roots organizations and coordinated local
  activism
• Unbiased public opinion polling and subsequent
  press coverage

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ICSC will fill much of this void
Mission statement ICSC is an international
association of scientists, economists and energy
and policy experts working to promote better
public understanding of climate change science
and policy worldwide. ICSC is committed to
providing a highly credible alternative to the
UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) thereby fostering a more rational, open
discussion about climate issues.
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Principle ICSC Objectives

• Bring together independent experts in climate
  science and its related disciplines to
  counter-balance climate alarmism, particularly
  the IPCC
• Sway public opinion, as well as perceptions of
  public opinion, against costly climate control
  plans

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ICSC will demonstrate

• how activists, media, governments and the UN
  have misrepresented
• the current state of climate science
• the opinions of climate experts
• public perception of climate science
• the serious mistakes in IPCC documents
• the consequences of bad climate policy decisions

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ICSC Strategies

• Work with existing climate realist groups to
  foster a new level of international cooperation
  and information sharing
• ICSC will act as a true coalition of existing
  realist organizations, without threatening their
  separate identities, objectives or independence

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ICSC Strategies

• Develop partnerships with kindred organizations,
  recruiting some to be national ICSC offices
• Assisting allied groups in the distribution of
  information and sharing opportunities
• Foster interoperability and cohesion within the
  worldwide climate realist community
• Act as a catalyst to encourage citizens to push
  governments to re-evaluate severe CO2 controls

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ICSC Tactics

• Work with ICSC experts and volunteers to
• create documents that will significantly impact
  mass media, the general public and governments
• promulgate, via the press, Web and special
  reports, the actual conclusions of IPCC
  scientists

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ICSC Tactics

• Work with ICSC experts and volunteers to
• critique IPCC technical reports
• organize the expert community to respond quickly
  to new challenges - IPCC reports, announcements,
  and major media and government initiatives

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ICSC Tactics

• Publicity campaigns for maximum attention from
  media, the general public and governments
• Conduct and publicize opinion polling
• Use the ICSC Website to
• provide an information portal to the worldwide
  climate change debate
• operate as a linking gateway to help allies
  expand their reach

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ICSC Participants

• Administrative Group
• Founding Chairman and Director
• Terry Dunleavy, MBE, JP, New Zealand
• Director Dr. Emma Gibbs, New Zealand
• Secretary Bryan Leyland, M.Sc., New Zealand
• Executive Director Tom Harris, M. Eng., Canada

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ICSC Participants

• Advisory Boards
• Two panels of distinguished scientists and
  policy experts from more than a dozen countries
• Consultant Advisers
• Provide expert science and policy advice

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Climate scare is vulnerable

• Besides science, other factors working in our
  favour
• Public realization
• Inequities of UN-imposed emissions limits
• Costs to implement CO2 restrictions
• Kyoto Protocol Failure
• Climate campaigners overplaying their hand

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Climate scare is vulnerable

• Alarmist funding is soft
• Without government support, it is dependent upon
  charitable giving and fickle personal donations 
• Humanitarian crises can cause dramatic funding
  fluxes 
•  
• ENGOs thus increasingly appealing to Government
  for funding, support that can dry up quickly

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Climate scare is vulnerable
CONTINUED GLOBAL COOLING!
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ICSC accelerating the collapse of climate
alarmism

• A strategic, well-coordinated worldwide effort
  from climate realists is needed now!

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www.climatescienceinternational.org/ Promoting
international cooperation among climate
realists Presentation by Tom Harris, Executive
Director, ICSC tom.harris_at_climatescienceinternatio
nal.net