APPLICATION OF TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT

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National technical university of Ukraine
"KPI" Institute for Applied System Analysis "IPSA"
APPLICATION OF TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT SYSTEM
STRATEGY IN INNOVATION ACTIVITY
Prof. Michael ZGUROVSKY, Prof. Nataliya
PANKRATOVA
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Fig.1
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Fig.2
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Stage 3
Fig.3. Empirical procedure of scenario writing
(Denis Loveridge).
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Fig.4. Submission of scenarios to the group of
people taking strategic decisions, their analysis
and selection.
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Fig. 5. Scheme of interactions of technology
foresight works participants in Ukraine

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THE SCENARIO ANALYSIS PLATFORM ARCHITECTURE
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CREATION OF THE EARTH REMOTE SCANNING OPTIMISTIC
SCENARIO
Crop capacity prediction
Minerals exploration
Municipal economy
Ecological monitoring
Estimation of a terrain condition and
characteristics
Cartography
ERS
Environmental monitoring
Analysis of geodynamical processes
Theoretical evidence
Competitive strength
Software
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Progressive scenario of the Earth remote sensing
future development CREATION OF THE SATELLITE
GROUP SYSTEM
Taking into account experts opinion and obtained
results, the scenario prototype was obtained
Customers accept the processed data and
place claims
Earth stations accept and process the data
create a complex of claims processing
create an earth infrastructure from X stations
analyze consumers problems
Date xx.xx.2015 Number of satellites
8 Data-acquisition equipment scanner 0.45-0.75
mcm, IR scanner 10-12 mcm, radar
use data from foreign sources
consolidate stations
establish communication with consumers
create a program complex for consumers problems
solution
train the stuff
carry out target advertising for consumers
accept data from spacecrafts
process data from spacecrafts
System of spacecrafts is created. Various
problems of ERS are solved
launch spacecrafts
create and establish data-acquisition equipment
create X microsatellites
create intelligent software for satellites
buy foreign accessories and technologies
Necessary steps are financed
Satellites are made and launched
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Modelling of scenarios of Kyiv city
development to 2017
Structural policy, formation of the favorable
investment environment and innovative
transformations
Quality of the city environment and ecological
safety
Kyiv city
Sectoral development and business
Development of social sphere and tourism
Development of human potential
Integration policy of Kyiv city
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MODELLING TOP-PRIORITY PROBLEMS OF KYIV CITY
Estimation of the top-priority measures on
development of Kyiv city
Incomes (0.340)
Expenses (0.345)
Risks and threats (0.315)
Water resources (0.037)
Financial activity (0.050)
Under-ground (0.032)
Significant pollution of water supply sources
(0.054)
Waste pro-ducts (0.088)
Worsening of a state of health of the population,
epidemics (0.036)
Wholesale and retail trade (0.124)
Industry (0.060)
Sanitary cleaning of the city (0.021)
Health protection (0.021)
Sewer network (0.054)
Low level of citizens incomes (0.036)
Limited capabilities for waste products
processing and warehousing (0.137)
Education (0.091)
Real estate operations, services to legal
entities (0.065)
Help to needy and unemployed (0.020)
Scientific and technical work (0.022)
Counteraction from the direction of heads of
regional administrations (0.031)
Transport (0.021)
Construction and reconstruction of underground
lines (0.160)
Reconstruction of aeration station (0.196)
Construction of two garbage processing factories (
0.203)
Realization of actions stipulated by the complex
city program Care for 2006-2010 (0.123)
Construction of the medical- improving block of
the Kyiv city central antitubercular
clinic (0.122)
Construction of the second branch of the Main
sewer collector (0.196)