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WORLDWIDE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT INFORMATION SYSTEM AS A PRECONDITION FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF THE UNI

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Title: WORLDWIDE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT INFORMATION SYSTEM AS A PRECONDITION FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF THE UNI


1
WORLDWIDE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT INFORMATION
SYSTEM AS A PRECONDITION FOR IMPLEMENTATION
OF THE UNITED NATIONS GOALS
2
  • Leslaw Michnowski
  • www.psl.org.pl/kte
  • Co-founder of Sustainable Development Information
    Society Forum Poland.
  • Member of
  • - Committee for Futures Studies "Poland 2000
    Plus" Polish Academy of Sciences
  • - the Polish Association for the Club of Rome
  • - the Polish delegation for the World Summit on
    the Information Society Tunis, 2005.
  • Chairman of Sustainable Development Creators
    Club - Poland,

3
It is extended paper presentation during
plenary session of IFISI WORLD FORUM ON ICT
STRATEGIES AND INVESTMENTS, in Marrakech,
Morocco, 1- 3 March 2006 - http//www.virtualis
-net.com/ifisi/index.html
4
From STATEMENT BY H. E. MR. KOFI ANNANTHE
SECRETARY-GENERAL OF THE UNITED NATIONS, WSIS,
Tunis, 16 November 2005 This Summit (WSIS) ()
must push forward the outcome of the (2005) World
Summit () It must lead to information and
communications technologies being used in new
ways, which will bring new BENEFITS TO ALL social
classes. ()THE HURDLE HERE IS MORE POLITICAL
THAN FINANCIAL.
5
the sustainable development of our people
() comprehensive vision for the future of
humanity () poverty eradication, changing
consumption and production patterns ()
pillars of sustainable development economic
development, social development and
environmental protection (). WSSD -
Johannesburg Declaration.Sustainable
development (SD)of the world societyis the most
important goal of UN
6
I present systemic analysis results essence of
- GLOBAL CRISIS, - SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT,
and - INFORMATION FOUNDATIONS of sustainable
development.
7
This analysis was done with help of created by
me - conceptual model of system man technology
- environment System of Life.
8
In System of Lifeapproach (that is holistic)
the global eco-system - system man -
technology environment as well
asenvironmentareLIFE-SYSTEMS and open
systems. Therefore, the life of system
man-technology, depends on life, high quality and
proper form of environment.
9
The development of system man-technology (for
example, world society or high developed
societies) depends on development of
environment.
10
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11
For sustainable developmentwe need - ability
to recognize (with help of warning forecasting
system) approaching limits to growth (p-t T),
and - skill to cross them in developmental
way.
12
Nowadays, the global eco-system world society
and natural environment is in the State of
Change (Flux) and Risk. It is qualitatively new
state of life-conditions (inter alia access to
natural resources) caused by big
science-technology (and organization) progress.
13
In the State of Change and Risk - very high
rate of changes in life-conditions (and
environment) - big inertia of societies,
economy and management - lack of full
knowledge about complex (including future)
effects of human activity (in chaotic world).
14
In the State of Change and Risk a necessity
of - anticipation of changes in
life-conditions, and- feedforward
adaptation forms of life (technology, economy,
value system, ) to approaching new
life-conditions.
15
For life in the State of Change and Risk we
have to create commonly accessible WORLDWIDE
SD-INFORMATION SYSTEM for- comprehensive
monitoring,- far-sighted forecasting, and-
measurable evaluation (assessment),of policy,
economy, work, and other changes effects in
life-conditions of human-beings and nature in
general.
16
Comprehensive monitoring such monitoring that
delivers information also about - quality of
monitored life-process (is it development or
crisis regression?), and - rate of development
or regression (is it accelerate or delay?).
17
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18
IfE mc2 (Einstein) and probably the
amount of Universe energy is infinite -the
access to deficit resources(energy in large
sense) would depend on human intellectual
potential, knowledge, technology and time,
that conditions it.
19
Nowadays, quite new life-conditionsenvironment
has lost abilityto recovery by
itself.Therefore we have to give environment
more than we take from it.But - in the State
of Change and Risk - preparation for this
giving ought to be based on the knowledge
about FUTURE LIFE-NEEDS of environment.
20
In the State of Change and Risk- the main cause
of the global eco-system degradation is rapidly
pacing MORAL DEGRADATION (out-datedness,
obsolescence) of existing forms of life not
fitted to new rapidly emergence life-conditions
and life-needs.
21
Main cause of global crisisWorld society and
its economy is not fitted to life in the State
of Change and Risk. World society has not
ability for efficient elimination negative
effects of MORAL DEGRADATION.
22
The main UN problems
How nowadays - in the State of Change and Risk
shape life of the world society ?
How to develop ICT for life in above state?
23
To overcome global crisis we have (with help of
ICT) to shape - farsightedness -
flexibility, and - reserves creation
ability,of world society.
24
We need also possibility of
basing policy and economy on COMMON INTEREST
(G. H. Brundtland, Our Common Future) VALUE SYSTEM
25
In the State of Change and Risk, instead of
social-Darwinism (and structural
unemployment) we need EcohumanisticIntellectu
al Evolution i.e. pre-selection in virtual
reality (by means of computer simulation) aided
by popular wisdom.
26
ECOHUMANISMis a partnership-based co-operation
for the COMMON GOOD OF ALL PEOPLE(rich and
poor, from countries highly developed and lag
behind in development), their descendants, and
natural environment - COMMONLY SUPPORTED by
science and HIGH TECHNOLOGY. 
27
Wisdom - ability to- observe events in global
eco-system - get knowledge about processes
combined with these events - predict future of
these processes - assess these processes -
amplify (support) life-support processes, or -
eliminate processes dangerous for life (of
observer and environment).
28
Structural unemployment is not a result of
science-technology progress.It is a result of
pathological (social-Darwinistic) economy and
education system.It is as a first - a result
of the world elite short-sightedness.
29
In order to achieve sustainable development of
the world society we have to go through NEW
SCIENCETECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION that allow to
convert wastes into environment life-support
agents.
30
THE MORE scientific-technology progress THE
MORE moral degradation, as well as THE MORE
human labor - wisdom intellectual creativity
is essential for life and development
31
In the State of Change and Risk,instead of
growth at the cost of (socio-natural)
environment continuation, we need -
development together with environment, and
- WISDOM BASED SOCIETY.
32
WISDOM BASED SOCIETY such knowledge
societythat is based on - commonly accessible
knowledge about complex (including FUTURE)
effects of human activity - popular ability to
create information (in N. Wiener sense, i.e.
cognition and innovation activity), and -
common interest value system ECOHUMANISTIC one.
33
Long-term prediction and assessment of human
activity complex effectsand decreasing of moral
degradation intensity as well as elimination
of negative moral degradation aftermath - needs
to base socio-economic activity on
ecohumanistic (common-interest) value system
34
The shift from currently egoistic- to
ecohumanistic- value system is a precondition
to get popular access to large amount of
knowledge,(existing and that new one, which
ought to be permanently delivered) which is
necessary for efficient - warning
forecastingand - designing means for
elimination of moral degradation negative
effects.
35
In cybernetics approachno limits to WISDOM
based growth and sustainable development It is
consistent with P. Teilhard de Chardin OMEGA
POINT conception.
36
The basic premise i B(n,q)1/swhere i -
is the level of information (Wiener, 1971)
conceptual measure of level of development (and
organization, as well as quality) of life-system
s - is the level of entropy as well as the level
of development - reserves of life-systemn - is
the number of its elements q - is quality of
elements of life system, andB(n,q) - some
function connected with quantity and quality of
system elements.
37
For sustainable development we need to combine
- economic development- social development,
and - environmental protection,in short- and
long-term perspective
38
To achieve sustainable developmentwe need to
implement- sustained economic growth -
fair globalization (including elimination of
digital divide and unemployment), as well as
- other fundamental UN Goals.
39
Sustainable developmentof the world society is
essential to avoid global catastrophe
(environmental,world war for access to deficit
resources, clash of civilizations)
40
To avoid global catastrophe we must create (as
rapidly as possible China, India!!!)
information foundations of - SD(sustainable
development)-policy, and - SD-economy, as
well as - large-scale flexible automation.
41
Worldwide SD-Information System (of systems)
would be - net and GRID (T. Utsumi) type
- continuously under development, and -
created with help of System Dynamics in multi
stage way (based on G. Nadler ideal method).
42
We ought to treatMeadowss Forrester (Limits
to Growth, Beyond the Limits, Limits to Growth 30
Years Update, ) System Dynamics warning
forecastingas element of worldwide early
warning system (2005 World Summit Outcome, p-t.
56 f), as well as Worldwide SD-Information
System.
43
As a next task we ought to build WORLDWIDE
FLEXIBLE AUTOMATION SYSTEM
44
These tasks ought to be preceded by
INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH,which will describe -
conditions for creation the information
foundations ofSD-policy and SD-economy -
i.e. the ways of ICT development for life in
the State of Change and Risk.
45
Effects of above research would be presented
during at least three international conferences
of International forum on a wisdom-based
global information society towards sustainable
development of the world society
46
Conference I Information efficiency and warning
forecasting as preconditions of SD-policy and
SD-economy (2007)Main tasks1. How to get
policy-makers - and societies - access to
knowledge about complex (and future) effects of
current policy (their own and other
policy-makers)?2. How to combine existing
forecasting systems and projects (i.a.
Meadowss-Forrester, T. Utsumi, GEOSS) in
Worldwide SD-Information System.3. How to get
access to dates and knowledge that are necessary
for warning forecasting and elimination of
negative moral degradation effects?4. How to
transform national and regional statistical
offices (e.g. EUROSTAT) into offices for
statistic and warning forecasting.
47
Conference II Computer simulation methods for
SD-economy (2009)Main tasks1. How to build
information bases of SD-economy.2. How to make
possible complex accounting of benefits and cost
of socio-economic activity (including natural and
social - human components).3. How to make
possible dividing effects of social process of
work proportionally to ecosocial usefulness of
individual and/or collective work.
48
Conference III Flexible automation as important
agent of sustainable development (2011)Main
tasks1. How to aid, by flexible automation, the
elimination of rapidly emergence dangers.2. How
to aid the fight with negative effects of moral
degradation of forms of life?3. How to
accelerate other science-technology progress that
is essential for sustainable development?4. How
to decrease ecological costs of distant
transportation?
49
We - Sustainable Development Information
Society Forum Poland - will appreciate
subsidy for the first stage of above research
and Conference I of this complex,
international project
50
Realization of above ICT development proposal
is essential especially for - INTERNALIZING
EXTERNALITIES- DECOUPLING (the range of
economic growth from the range of deficit
natural resources depletion growth and
degradation of environment), and- COUPLING
(the economic growth with social development,
including popular quality of life growth).
51
Without realization of such as aboveWSIS
follow-up it is impossible to- conduct proper
e-Governance- achieve sustainable development
of the world society, as well as - avoid
global catastrophe.
52
Justification of above conclusions, inter alia,
see Michnowski, L. - Jak zyc? Ekorozwój albo
... (How to Live? Eco-development or ..., -
http//www.psl.org.pl/kte/books.htm - How to
Create Sustainable Development Global
InformationSociety?, Poster for "Global Dialogue
2004" -http//www.psl.org.pl/kte/postergd.pdf
- How to avoid the global catastrophe? The
information basis forsustainable development
policy and economy, in proceedings of the XX
International Conference System Dynamics Society
Collegiality - a harmony that achieves consensus
on the issues, July 25 - 29, 2004, Oxford, UK
-http//www.psl.org.pl/kte/howtoavoid.pdf
- World Warning Forecasting for Sustainable
Development - POSTERpresentation on the XX
International Conference System Dynamics Society,
July 28 - August 1, 2002, Palermo, ITALY -
http//www.psl.org.pl/kte/posterp.htm - World
Integrated Warning Forecasting System Based on
SystemDynamics Principles as a Basic Factor in
Sustainable Development , in proceedings of the
XX International Conference System Dynamics
Society Organizational Change Dynamics -
Understanding Systems, Managing Transformation,
July 28 - August 1, 2002, Palermo, ITALY
-http//www.psl.org.pl/kte/740Michnowski.pdf
See also ITU, Golden Book, p-t 7.6 -
http//www.itu.int/wsis/goldenbook/Publication/GB-
final.pdf, www.itu.int/wsis/goldenbook ,
http//www.itu.int/ibs/sg/wsis/panel.html and
http//www.itu.int/wsis/docs/pcip/misc/polish_coun
cil.pdf,.
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