Planet

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• Planet
• Bean
• make it count

By Martin Chidwick
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Passionate about Pulses   Brazen lover of Beans
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  How do I present todays report in light of the
ever escalating transparency of market
information and ever increasing understanding of
Thomas Friedmans book "The World Is Flat".   What
is different this year, to the presentation
I gave last year, at about this time?   Are we
humbled yet by the pace of change and the
extraordinary reality of demographic changes in
this "flat" world ??  
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• Are we asking why forecasters and economists can
  be so far wrong?
• The Organization for Economic Co-operation and
  Development (OECD) countries assumptions
• for forecasts are confounded by speed of change,
  so much so that the next outlook, 2007-2016, is
  very
• thought provoking (see a little later in this
  presentation some samples of what I
  mean..........)
• Do we know that international law recognizes that
  everyone has the right to be free from hunger,
  and 22 countries have enshrined food rights in
  their constitutions (including the burgeoning
  economy of India)?.This last fact is absolutely
  critical for our industry.

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Are you aware that the world's cattle consume a
quantity of food equal to the caloric value of
8.7 billion people? More than the entire
population of the planet. That 80 of
agricultural land in USA is used to raise animals
for food. That it takes 2,500 gallons of water
to produce 1 pound of meat and only 60 gallons to
produce 1 pound of wheat.   Did you know that in
the USA alone 392,000 ounces (87,000lbs) per
second, or 3,409,344 million tonnes of animal
excrement are created per day (no wonder they
need so much water)? Much of this enters our
rivers and streams!
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Each vegetarian saves an acre of trees per year.
MESSAGE TO WORLD  - EAT PULSES , EAT BEANS
- GET YOU PROTEIN CHARGE FROM A GREEN
SOURCE!!   In the last year, over 101 million
people have been added to the worlds
population.....!! If they consumed just 2
"miserable" (as in tiny amount) pounds of beans
per year each, just 2, then we would have a new
demand for over 9 million cwt!!    Trivia
question - "What is the number one new baby boys
name in England right now?".
Behind the Back Curveball
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OECD-FAO AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK 2007 - 2016
contains these words Measured by global imports,
world trade is projected to grow for all
commodities reviewed in this report , without
exception. By 2016, and compared to the average
for 2001-05,trade expansion remains modest
for SMP (7), is situated at 13-17 for coarse
grains and wheat respectively, but grows by
between over 50 for beef, pigmeat ( EAT
PULSES, EAT BEANS- GET YOUR PROTEIN CHARGE FROM A
GREEN SOURCE!! )and WMP and by close to 70 for
vegetable  oils.
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Doesnt this all excite you??!! What are we doing
to position ourselves and take our place in the
growing demand! Health and nutrition are
paramount, but what else our we missing...??
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• Parallel India's emergence with that of China,
  and especially in light of the book published in
  1995..."Who is going to feed China? "The
  projections for meat consumption then were borne
  out by reality, 10 years later. It is largely a
  result more income and better eating....In India
  the higher the income the higher the consumption
  for pulses. Remember this is largely a vegetarian
  society!
• What do the numbers 215, 235, 270, 305, 335, 360,
  390 and 402 mean to you?
• What does the number 925 mean to you? 
• ( See a little later what the number 31829 will
  mean to you!!.........)

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We consume in N. America 35 of the worlds fossil
fuels and then we tell the emerging markets to
watch for greenhouse gas emissions and protect
the environment!!
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• 3 billion emerging capitalists
• auto industry is spending 300 million dollars on
  researching better eating and drinking stations
  in our SUV's.....er Sorry, I mean hybrid
  Hummers.....
• the rice industry took uncooked rice from 15
  minutes on the stove to 3 minutes, while we are
  still 8 hours just soaking our uncooked beans!!

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WORLD LEAGUE TABLE IMPORT/EXPORT BEANS
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Argentina EXPORT STATISTICS (Annual figures in
tons)
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ARGENTINE BEANS DESTINATIONS 2006 (Annual
exports in tons)
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Little White Cowpea
Purple beans
Jalo kidney beams
Carioca beans
Black beans
White Brown Eye Cowpea Beans
Light Speckled Kidney Beans
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Myanmar aims for larger share in world beans
market

• second largest beans and pulses exporter in the
  world after Canada
• export one million tons of beans and pulses
  annually
• Beans and pulses stand as one of the 10 major
  items of crops that Myanmar grow
• since 1988-89, the cultivated area of beans and
  pulses has gradually grown year by year, reaching
  3.6 million hectares in 2004-05 with a production
  of up to 3.5 million tons
• planning to establish special beans and pulses
  cultivation zones across the country to produce
  quality crops for export
• agricultural crops to be exported further to
  European and Middle-East markets

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India

• 925 numbers 215-402

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(No Transcript)
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China
China
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Chinese Pulses Production in 2006/2007 Crop Year

• Note the above statistics are provided by
  Chinese agricultural experts.

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II. Chinese Pulses Trade in 2006/2007 Crop
Year

• Kidney Bean
• From Oct. 2006 to Mar. 2007, Chinese export of
  kidney bean was 290,000 tons, a fall of 19.1
  compared with the same period of the previous
  year.

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Kidney Bean Export Statistics (Oct. 2006-Mar.
2007)
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II. Chinese Pulses Trade in 2006/2007 Crop
Year

• Mung Bean
• From Oct. 2006 to Mar. 2007, Chinese export
  of mung bean reached 80,000 tons, a rise of 15.5
  compared with the same period of the previous
  year, while export value was 60.27 million US
  dollars, an increase of 41.2 compared with the
  same period of the previous year.

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Mung Bean Export Statistics (Oct. 2006-Mar. 2007)
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II. Chinese Pulses Trade in 2006/2007 Crop
Year

• Small Red Bean
• From Oct. 2006 to Mar. 2007, Chinese export
  of small red bean amounted to 30,000 tons, a rise
  of 11.6 compared with the same period of the
  previous year, while export value was 16 million
  USD, an increase of 6.6 compared with the same
  period of the previous year.

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Small Red Bean Export Statistics (Oct. 2006-Mar.
2007)
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III. An Outlook of Chinese Pulses Industry
in 2007/2008

• 1.The planting acreage is estimated to be not
  higher than that of this crop year, and the final
  output will be not clear.

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III. An Outlook of Chinese Pulses Industry
in 2007/2008

• 2006/2007 was a year when all Chinese grains
  prices unceasingly went up. As the prices of
  staple grain products like corn, soybean, etc
  were also rising, it is estimated that pulses
  planting acreage will remain that of 2006.

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III. An Outlook of Chinese Pulses Industry
in 2007/2008

• At present, ever-increasing requirement for
  pulses export quality drives many people in
  Chinese pulses industry to expand input in
  warehouses, processing factories and equipment.
  Pulses export quality has been improved
  continuously.
• Many products go directly to canneries in the
  importing countries or to supermarkets after
  packed in small packages.

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III. An Outlook of Chinese Pulses Industry
in 2007/2008

• Secondly, with the rise of Chinese labor cost,
  people tend to transfer processing facilities to
  origins in order to lower the cost. And more and
  more people prefer a combination of big
  facilities and hand sorting, when processing
  products.

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Selected Eastern European Countries
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Pulse Production Summary 2007e
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PAKISTAN Map Flag
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PAKISTAN KEY INDICATORS

• Population 160 Million peoples.
• Around 42 of Pakistan labor force is in
  agricultural sector
• Projected Total Consumption of Pulses in 2007
  11,65,000 MTS (1.16 M)approx.
• Projected Total Productions of Pulses in 2007
  9,07,000 MTS (0.907 M) approx.
• Projected Shortage (to be covered by Import)
  2,58,000 MTS (0.258 M) approx.

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Pakistani Public Consumption Preferences

• With Aggregate Annual consumption of around
  11,65,000 MT of Pulses the following are local
  consumer preferences
• Desi Chickpeas -Whole, Splitted (Dall) and
  Powder (Besan)
• Green Mung- Whole Splits.
• Lentils- Whole Splits.
• Kabuli Chickpeas- Whole (mostly), Powder (if
  cheap) or splitted if Desi Chickpeas are
  Expensive, as smaller size Kabuli compare with
  Desi Chickpeas.

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Pakistani Public Consumption Preferences

• Black Matpe- Whole Splits.
• Red Kidney Beans- Whole Mostly consumed in
  Upcountry Afghanistan
• Yellow and / or Dun Peas- Whole and split,
  Initially it was used as replacement for Desi
  Chickpeas but now they have created their own
  parallel market.

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Estimated Consumption for 2007
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Production Share
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Estimates of SHORTAGE SURPLUS of PULSES in 2007
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Estimates of SURPLUS SHORTAGES of PULSES in
2007
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Trading Partners

• Black Matpe its been supplied mainly from
  Myanmar with little quantity from Thailand.
• Kidney Beans China being the preferred Supplier
  with Ethiopia and Myanmar in case of short
  Chinese crops.
• Yellow Peas/ Dun Peas Canada (mostly) with some
  quantities from France and Ukraine. Dun Peas are
  imported from Australia.

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UK

• Branston baked beans now brainy with omega-3
• Premier Foods has given canned baked beans a
  makeover and enhanced their healthy profile by
  adding omega-3 fatty acids
• Biotech giant Monsanto is to develop new versions
  of its reduced trans-fat Vistive soybean with the
  aim of improving shelf life and flavor of soy
  oil, lowering saturated fat content and enhancing
  the bean with Omega-3

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• "INTERPRETATION My dream is to sell beans
• "Interpretation My confidence in the markets has
  always been difficult ( that is why I use
  brokers)
• "BEAUTIFUL BLACK BEANS, BLACK BEANS
• "My beans have more value than all my
  neighbours.."  (thinking 'Canada',China et al!!)
• "Antioxidants, energy, fuel,  my sweet bean
  emissions  supercede them
• "I really need the world to sense it, my beans
  all feel it
• "Michigan beans aid health forever, and are worth
  much more"
•  "grow some more, eat some more , pay me more"

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• Planet Bean make it count

MESSAGE TO WORLD  - EAT PULSES , EAT BEANS - GET
YOU PROTEIN CHARGE FROM A GREEN SOURCE!!
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• THANK YOU!