Waiting for Transformation: Upstates Economy

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Waiting for Transformation Upstates Economy
Population, 1970-2005

• Rolf Pendall
• Department of City Regional Planning
• Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
• Presentation to FL-LOWPA/FLI conference
• Auburn, June 23, 2006

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NY State employment growth lags US growth,
1970-2004
Wage and salary employment, 1970100
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Private sector job growth anemic
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Local government bolsters Upstate job growth
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Upstates per capita income gap with U.S. widened
in the 1990s
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Stagnant average wages the main contributor to
slow income growth
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Upstate economy in transition, but manufacturing
still important
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Upstate leads USA in college grads
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Population growth slows below Downstate, U.S.
average
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Part of a 15-million-person, eight-state
stagnant region
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The paradox Sprawl without growth
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Cities lose businesses, suburbs gain
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Towns grow, Cities decline
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Summary Economic and Social Issues in Upstate
New York

• Bad news
• Reduction in heavy manufacturing leads to
  stagnant wages and slow income growth
• Slow population growth flight of young people
• Sprawl (cheap land, plentiful roads, no control)
• Increasing concentration of poverty, contrary to
  national trends
• Good news
• Strong higher-education sector The basis for the
  next economy