Fixed Rate Mortgage Mechanics

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Fixed Rate Mortgage Mechanics

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The mortgage contract specifies how to calculate the various cash flows ... This can be done through a search algorithm or by use of a financial calculator. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Fixed Rate Mortgage Mechanics


1
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
  • Recall that to the investor, the fixed rate
    mortgage is a type of annuity.
  • The investor pays the borrower an up-front amount
    in return for a promised stream of future cash
    flows.
  • At time zero (i.e. origination) the present value
    of the annuity must equal the cash the investor
    pays the borrower.

2
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
  • Casho PV0(Future Cash Flows)
  • If the cash were worth more than the PV of the
    future cash flows, the bank would not be willing
    to make the loan they would be paying more for
    the annuity than it was worth.

3
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
  • Casho PV0(Future Cash Flows)
  • If the cash were worth less than the PV of the
    future cash flows, the borrower would not be
    willing to accept the loan because they would be
    taking on a liability that was worth more than
    the asset they would receive (the cash), reducing
    their wealth.

4
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
  • Casho PV0(Future Cash Flows)
  • Thus, at time 0, the only way the two parties
    will come to an agreement is if the exchange is
    equal the lender must give the investor an
    amount in cash that is equal to the present value
    of the remaining future cash flows.
  • After time 0, of course, this relationship does
    not hold.

5
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
  • The mortgage contract specifies how to calculate
    the various cash flows associated with the
    mortgage. This will include
  • The Principal amount of the loan determines the
    monthly payments. This is normally set to the
    amount of cash the investor gives the borrower at
    time 0. (unless the loan includes points).

6
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
  • The other terms specified in the mortgage
    contract include
  • r - the contract rate of the mortgage,
  • n - the number of monthly payments,
  • Pmt the monthly payment on the mortgage.

7
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Balance
  • At time 0 we know that the value of the mortgage
    is equal to the cash received. For now, assume
    that the principal is set to that same amount.
  • Thus, the value of the mortgage must have this
    relationship

8
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Balance
  • Thus, we know if the contract rate were 8, with
    20 years (240 payments) term and monthly payments
    of 850, the principal amount must be 101,621.15

9
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Balance
  • Note that this formula actually works for any
    point during the life of the mortgage that is,
    if you tell me the remaining term, the contract
    rate, and the monthly payment, this formula tells
    you the currently outstanding principal.

10
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Payments
  • While knowing how to determine the principal
    amount is important, it is perhaps more
    interesting (from a potential homeowners
    standpoint) to know how to calculate the payment
    that will be required given a known balance.
  • This just requires simple algebraic manipulation
    of the balance formula.

11
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Payments
  • So, for a 100,000 loan at 10 for 30 years, the
    payment is 877.57.

12
Fixed Rate MortgagesMechanics - Payments
  • This formula also works at any point in time.
    That is, if you know the balance, remaining term,
    and contract rate, you can plug those numbers
    into the above formula and determine the monthly
    payment.

13
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
  • The mortgage contract will state the order in
    which payments are attributed to the account.
    The usual way this occurs is
  • Overdue interest and penalties are paid first,
  • Current interest is paid second,
  • Overdue principal is paid third,
  • Current principal is paid fourth,
  • Any remaining cash pre-pays principal.

14
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
  • Thus, normally (i.e. when scheduled payments are
    made on time), the investor takes the interest
    out of the payment first, and then takes the
    principal.
  • The interest amount is found by multiplying the
    balance at the beginning of the month by the
    monthly interest rate
  • Interest due Beginning Balance c/12.

15
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
  • The principal due can then be found by
    subtracting the interest due from the payment
  • Principal Due Pmt Interest Due
  • From this information we can create an
    amortization chart.

16
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
  • For a 30 year, 9 mortgage, original balance of
    200,000.

Note that the above is an Excel spreadsheet you
should be able to click on it and actually use
it.
17
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
  • Notice the relationship between principal
    payment, interest payment and total payment.

18
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Price
  • At origination the contract rate of the mortgage
    will equal the market interest rate for the type
    of loan and creditworthiness of the borrower.
  • It is the equality of the market and contract
    rates which forces the balance and value of the
    mortgage to be the same at time 0.

19
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Price
  • Over time, since the contract rate is fixed, the
    contract and mortgage rates will diverge. Thus,
    the value and balance of the mortgage will
    diverge over time.
  • This means we have to concern ourselves with
    determining the value (price) of the mortgage at
    times other than time t.

20
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Price
  • To do this we simply take the present value of
    the remaining payments using the current market
    rate

21
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Price
  • Of course this is the same basic formula as the
    one we used to calculate the balance, with the
    difference that we use the market rate, r,
    instead of the contract rate, c.

22
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Example
  • At this point it might be useful to look at an
    extended example.
  • Consider that a borrower originally took out a
    200,000 loan for 30 years at 9. Five years
    have passed and the market rate is now 7.
  • What is the monthly payment on the loan?
  • What is the balance of the loan?
  • What is the value of the loan?

23
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Example
  • Example (continued)
  • The monthly payment is 1,609.25
  • After 5 years the balance is 191,760

24
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Example
  • Example (continued)
  • Note that I can determine the payment from ONLY
    the current balance, contract rate, and remaining
    term

25
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Example
  • Example (continued)
  • The value of the mortgage, at the 7 contract
    rate is 227,687.12,
  • Contrast this with the balance, which is still

26
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Effective Yield
  • Frequently, we will know the price of a mortgage,
    and its contractual details, but we will not know
    the market discount rate.
  • Fortunately, we can use the present value of an
    annuity formula to solve for the discount rate.

27
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Effective Yield
  • We simply have to solve for effective yield (y)
    in the equation below. This can be done through
    a search algorithm or by use of a financial
    calculator.

28
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Effective Yield
  • In the previous example, let us say the a bank
    could purchase the mortgage for 180,000. What
    would be the effective yield if a bank purchased
    it at that price? It would be 9.79

29
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Effective Yield
  • Note that in the absence of prepayment penalties
    or points, the effective yield on a mortgage (to
    the borrower) is always the contract rate of the
    loan.

30
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • This extended example raises an interesting
    point. The borrower is scheduled to make
    payments that are worth, at the current market
    rate of 7, 227,687.12. The mortgage contract,
    however, grants them the right to pay off that
    loan at any time by repaying the balance, which
    is the 191,760.27.

31
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • Thus, by taking out a new loan for 191,760.27,
    at the current market rate (7) and used the
    proceeds to pay off the original loan, they would
    increase their wealth by 35,926.85.
  • In essence they would be replacing one liability
    worth 227,687.12 with one worth 191,760.27.

32
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • Discounting the remaining payments at the market
    rate and comparing that to the balance allows us
    to quantify the benefits to prepaying the loan.
  • Frequently it is costly to refinance a loan.
    Optimally, one will not refinance if the gain to
    refinancing is less than the refinancing costs,
    i.e. (Value Balance Cost of Refi).

33
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • When we talk about the value of this loan to
    the lender, we have to realize that they factor
    in the borrowers right to call the loan.
  • In the previous example the value of the loan
    is not really 227,687.12 because the lender
    knows the borrower is going to prepay it. They
    realize the value is probably no more than
    191,760.27.

34
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • If we denote the value of the promised payments
    as A, and the value of the call option as C,
    and any transaction costs of refinancing as T,
    then the true value of the mortgage will be
  • V A (C-T).
  • Since in the previous example we had no
    transaction costs, i.e. T0, then
  • 191,760.27 227,687.12 35,926.85

35
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • It is useful to examine what happens to the
    value of the mortgage if rates changed
    instantaneously.
  • To do this lets use the same data from our
    previous example but assume it will cost the
    borrower 2500 to refinance.
  • We assume the borrower will only prepay when it
    is financially beneficial to do so, i.e. when
  • A Balance T 0

36
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • Graphically, the value of A, i.e. the PV of the
    remaining payments, (V if you ignore the value of
    C), looks like this (to the bank!)

37
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • Graphically, the value of C, i.e. value of the
    borrower exercising their call option, is given
    (again, to the bank!)

38
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • Combining these two shows the value of the
    mortgage to the bank (V). Note the spike in
    value just below the contract rate.

39
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
  • It may be easier to see this by looking only at
    graph of V.

40
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
  • One idea to remember is that banks understand,
    and explicitly build into mortgage rates, the
    risk of prepayments.
  • Some borrowers, primarily commercial borrowers
    but increasingly residential borrowers, are
    willing to contractually agree not to prepay in
    order to secure a lower contract rate.

41
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
  • A common way for the borrower to signal to the
    lender their willingness to forgo the prepayment
    option is by accepting a prepayment penalty.
  • A prepayment penalty is simply an additional fee
    that the borrower agrees to pay, in addition to
    the outstanding balance, should they prepay the
    loan.

42
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
  • Frequently these prepayment penalties end after
    some specified period of time (5, 10 or 15 years
    for example).
  • Some common prepayment penalties include
  • A flat fee,
  • A percentage of the outstanding balance,
  • The sum of the previous six months interest.

43
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
  • The real effect of the prepayment penalty is to
    raise the borrowers effective interest rate
    should they prepay.
  • Consider the following example.
  • A borrower takes out a loan for with a contract
    rate of 10, a term of 30 years, and an initial
    balance of 100,000. There is a prepayment
    penalty of 2 of the outstanding balance if they
    prepay the loan.

44
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
  • If the borrower prepays after 5 years, what is
    the effective interest rate on the loan?
  • To determine this we must first determine the
    cash flows.
  • The original payment is simply 877.57/month.

45
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
  • After 5 years the balance will be 96,574.14.
  • Thus, to pay off the loan the borrower will have
    to pay a lump sum of 98,505.63
  • 98,505.63 96,574.14 1.02

46
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
  • Thus, to the borrower, the cash flows are
  • Positive cash flow of 100,000 at time 0
  • 60 negative cash flows of 877.57
  • One final negative cash flow at month 60 of
    98,505.63
  • Their effective yield is the yield that makes
    this equation true, which is 10.30.

47
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
  • One has to be careful in this analysis, however.
    To the borrower making the decision to prepay at
    time 60, the previous 59 payments already made
    are sunk costs and must be ignored. Where this
    enters the borrowers decision making is at
    origination. A borrower that expects to prepay,
    would opt not to take out a mortgage with a
    prepayment penalty.

48
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
  • Consider at origination if the borrower suspected
    that they would likely prepay within 5 years. If
    they were offered two loans, one at a contract
    rate of 10 and a 2 prepayment penalty or one at
    10.25 and no prepayment penalty, then they
    should select the 10.25 loan.
  • The reason borrower charge prepayment penalties
    is to induce borrower to reveal their
    expectations about their future prepayment
    patterns.

49
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • One unusual feature of the mortgage market
    related to prepayment penalties is the practice
    of charging borrowers points.
  • Technically a point is a fee that the borrower
    pays the bank at origination. For each point
    charged, the borrower pays one percent of the
    initial loan balance to the bank.

50
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • The effect of this, of course, is to reduce the
    actual cash received by the borrower.
  • Thus if a borrower took out a 100,000 loan, but
    was charged 2 points, they would receive 100,000
    from the bank and then write a check to the bank
    for 2000, making their net proceeds 98,000.

51
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • Of course since the borrower only received, net,
    98,000, at origination, the value of the
    mortgage at origination can only be 98,000.
  • The payments, however, will be based on the
    nominal principal amount of 100,000. The only
    way for the PV of the future payments to be worth
    98,000, therefore, is to reduce the contract
    rate.

52
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • This is, of course, exactly what happens the
    more points you pay, the lower your contract
    rate.
  • Note, however, that the effective interest rate
    is not constant, it is a function of when the
    loan is paid off.

53
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • To calculate the effective interest rate on a
    mortgage with points you must go through multiple
    steps
  • First, use the contract parameters (i.e. contract
    principal, term, and contract rate) to determine
    the cash flows.
  • Second, find the effective yield which equates
    the present value of the future cash flows to the
    amount of cash (net) received at the closing.

54
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • Again, this may be best illustrated with an
    example.
  • A borrower takes out a loan with a 10 contract
    rate, a balance of 150,000, and 30 year term.
    The bank charges two points.
  • If the borrower never prepays, what is the
    effective interest rate on the loan?

55
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • First, determine the actual cash flows
  • The monthly payment is
  • Since the borrower does not prepay the loan, the
    next step is to determine the yield based on the
    cash actually received at the closing.

56
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • Since the bank charges 2 points on a 150,000
    loan, the borrower receives 147,000.
  • 147,000 150,000 (1-.02)
  • The final step is to determine the yield which
    equates the cash received at time 0 with the
    present value of the monthly payments.

57
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • That is, determine
  • The answer is y 10.24

58
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • What would be the yield if the borrower prepaid
    after 10 years?
  • Obviously the time 0 cash and the monthly
    payments are the same. The only additional item
    we need to know is the balance of the loan after
    10 years, which is given by discounting the
    remaining payments at the contract rate.

59
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • Now we again determine the yield which sets
    present value of the future cash flows equal to
    the cash received at time 0
  • The answer is y10.33159

60
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • The chart below illustrates the effective yield
    given the date at which the borrower prepays the
    loan

61
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • Finally, consider if at origination the borrower
    had a choice between two loans.
  • Loan A is the mortgage with points we just
    examined.
  • Loan B is for 147,000, at 10.3 and no points.
  • Which loan should the borrower take?
  • The answer to that depends upon the borrowers
    expectations regarding their tenure in the
    mortgage.

62
Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
  • Clearly if the borrower expects to never prepay
    the mortgage, they should take loan A, because
    the effective rate on the loan will be 10.24,
    well below the 10.3 of loan B.
  • If, however, the borrower expects to prepay after
    10 years (or before), they should take loan B,
    since with a 10 year prepayment horizon loan A
    has an effective interest rate of 10.33.

63
Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
  • The final issue we will examine is the
    incremental cost of financing.
  • Frequently borrowers of equal creditworthiness
    will observe different interest rates for
    different sized loans. That is, an 80 loan to
    value (LTV) mortgage will have a lower contract
    rate than a 90 LTV loan.

64
Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
  • The question is, what is the effective interest
    rate on that differential.
  • For example in February of 2000, 80 LTV 30 year
    mortgages had a contract rate of approximately
    8.25 while 95 LTV mortgages had a contract rate
    of approximately 8.75.
  • If you were a borrower with a 200,000 house you
    could borrow 160,000 at 8.25 or 190,000 at
    8.75.

65
Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
  • So to borrow the incremental 30,000 your overall
    interest rate goes up by .5.
  • One way of looking at this is that you borrowing
    the first 160,000 at 8.25, and the remaining
    30,000 at some effective rate. The question is,
    what is that effective rate?
  • To solve this, lets consider the cash flows.

66
Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
  • The payments on the 80 and 95 loans are
    (respectively)Thus there is a
    292.70/month differential between the two

67
Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
  • One way to view this is that you are paying
    292.70/month to borrow 30,000 for 30 years.
    This implies the following statement must be
    trueSolving for y we find that the
    incremental cost of financing is 11.308.

68
Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
  • What this means is that if you can borrow 30,000
    for less than 11.308, you should take the 80
    LTV loan and then borrow the remaining funds from
    that other source. If you cannot borrow 30,000
    for less than 11.308, you should take the 95
    loan.

69
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • It is not at all uncommon for a borrower to take
    out two mortgages. The first will typically be
    for 80 or 90 LTV, with the second mortgage being
    for 20, 10 or 5.
  • Occasionally, it will be the case that it is
    cheaper, in terms of the effective cost of
    financing, to take out an 80 LTV first loan, and
    then a 10 second loan, than it would be to take
    out a single 90 LTV loan.

70
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • To calculate the effective cost of financing when
    there are two mortgages is not particularly
    difficult. You first determine each mortgages
    monthly payments individually, then you combine
    their initial balances and monthly payments and
    solve for the effective interest rate.
  • An example may make this easy to see.

71
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Example Bob wishes to buy a house for 100,000.
    He will put 10 down, take out an 80 LTV first
    loan at 5.5, and a 10 second loan at 7. Each
    mortgage is for 30 years. What will be his total
    cost of financing if he keeps each mortgage for
    the full 30 year term?
  • First, lets calculate each mortgage payment

72
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Now we can combine the two mortgages, and find
    the interest rate that sets the initial balances
    equal to the present value of the total monthly
    payments.

73
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Notice that the effective interest rate is not
    simply the average, or even weighted average of
    the two contract rates!!!
  • You must use the procedure on the previous two
    slides to determine the effective interest rate.
    If you try to take an arithmetic average of the
    two contract rates you will get the wrong answer.
  • This is because the mortgage payment equations
    are non-linear due to the exponents in the
    formulas.

74
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Now, what happens if the two mortgages are for
    unequal terms?
  • You simply have to deal with two sets of cash
    flows. This means you will have to use your cash
    flow keys on your calculator instead of your Time
    Value of Money keys, but once you become familiar
    with that procedure its not too difficult.
  • Lets return to our previous example, but now
    assume that the second mortgage was only for 10
    years.

75
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Of course this does not change the first payment,
    but it does change the second payment

76
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Once again, we find the interest rate that sets
    the present value of the payments equal to the
    combined balances. Notice that we now have to
    deal with two streams of cash flows

77
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Note that the second annuity (the 454.23/month
    one) starts in 121 months, so using the PVA
    formula tells us its value at month 120, so we
    have to discount that value back to time 0.

78
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Its actually pretty easy to do this on your
    calculator. Simply use your cash flow keysCF0
    -90,000CF1 570.34N1120CF2 454.23N2240
  • And the solve for IRR. Note that you IRR will be
    in monthly terms, dont forget to multiply by 12.
    You will lose points if you forget to multiply by
    12!

79
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • What if Bob prepaid both mortgages after 5 years?
    Lets go back to the assumption that Bob had a 30
    year second mortgage. Remember that our two
    mortgage payments, then, are Pmt1454.23, Pmt2
    66.53.
  • We need the balance of each mortgage after 60
    months

80
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • So now we can combine all of the cash flows and
    determine the effective interest rate
  • Notice that you can use your time value of money
    keys for this n60 PV90,000 PMT-520.76
    FV-83,381.64and solve for r.

81
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Finally, what if Bob had only paid off the second
    mortgage after 5 years, but had held the first
    mortgage for the full 30 years?
  • Again, all we really have to do is lay out the
    cash flows on a month by month basis

82
Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
  • Again, its easiest to do this using your
    calculators cash flow keys.
  • The only real trick is to realize that you get 59
    payments of 520.76, then one payment of
    (520.769,413.16) in month 60 when the second
    mortgage is paid off, followed by 300 payments of
    454.23.To enter this do the followingCF0-90,000
    CF1520.76 N159CF29,933.92 N21CF3454.23
    N3300And then solve for IRR, and multiply your
    answer by 12.
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