Federal Transportation Conformity

1
Federal Transportation Conformity

• Steve Heminger
• MTC Executive Director
• California Transportation Commission
• July 19, 2006

2
San Francisco Bay Area Ozone Precursor Trends
1990-2020
Source Bay Area 2005 Ozone Strategy and CARB
EMFAC2002, Baseline Data
3
San Francisco Bay Area Ozone Trends Summary
1980-2006
Source CARB, Air Quality Data Statistics
4
Transit Spending as Percent of Funding in
Long-Range Transportation Plan
5
Highway Expansion as Percent of Funding in
Long-Range Transportation Plan
6
Model Inputs vs. Outputs
Source MTC Regional Transportation Plan, 1998
7
Emission Reductions of Transportation Control
Measures
Source Bay Area 2005 Ozone Strategy
8
TCM2 History

• 1982 Included in the SIP
• Support post 1983 improvements in transit
  operator plans
• Ridership increases would come from productivity
  improvements, thus additional costs would be
  moderate
• Emission reduction estimates are based on
  assumption of 15 ridership increase
• 1990 All TCM2 emission reductions achieved
• Post-1982 transit ridership gains (surrogate for
  emission reductions)
• 16 new Contingency TCMs adopted by MTC in 1990
• 2002 Federal Court Order
• MTC shall increase ridership to 544.8 million
  annual passengers by 2006 (15)
• MTC shall amend RTP showing how ridership
  increase will be achieved
• 2004 Ninth Circuit Overturns Court Order
• MTC cannot guarantee any level of transit
  ridership
• Total Litigation Cost 1.2 million

9
Conformity Red Tape

• Bay Area freeze in 2001 due to EPA disapproval
  of ozone plan attainment strategy
• Two Bay Area lapses in 2002 due to EPA delay
  and citizen lawsuit over approving new motor
  vehicle emission budget
• In all three cases, short duration with limited
  impact on project delivery
• Latest issue involves conflicting requirements to
  update plans and TIPs under federal SAFETEA law
  (see letter)

10
(No Transcript)
11
www.mtc.ca.gov