Title: REPORT FROM THE INVESTMENT COMMITTEE Thursday, July 13, 2000
1REPORT FROM THE INVESTMENT COMMITTEEThursday,
July 13, 2000
2Report from the InvestmentCommitteeTable of
Contents
Tab 1 Economic/Market Update and Asset Allocation
Michael Flament Tab 2 Fixed Income Jim
Fields Tab 3 International Equities Amit
Khandwala Tab 4 Large-Cap Equities Patricia
Pierce Tab 5 U. S. Mid-Cap Equities George
Faherty Tab 6 Performance Tables
31 - 1
41 - 2
51 - 3
61 -4
71 - 5
81 - 6
91 -7
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32 Fixed Income Market ReviewSecond Quarter 2000
2 - 1
33Fixed Income Market ReviewTreasury Yield Curve
ChangesJune 30, 2000
- U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted during the
first quarter of 2000. Two year Treasuries still
offer higher yields than thirty year Treasuries. - An active Fed and a diminishing supply of
Treasury Bonds presents challenges to bond
investors.
1-Qtr 2000 2 Qtr 2000 2 Yr 25 bp
- 13 bp 10 Yr - 42 bp
1 bp 30 Yr - 64 bp 6
bp
2 - 2
34Fixed Income Market ReviewU.S. Investment Grade
Bond Market Performance By Sector June 30, 2000
2000 YTD Performance Aggregate First positive
back-to-back quarters since 1998 Treasuries Top
performing sector in 2000
2 - 3
Source Lehman Brothers
35Fixed Income Market ReviewU.S. Investment Grade
Bond Market Monthly Performance By Sector June
30, 2000
2Q-2000 Performance June Top performing month
in the 2Q-2000
2 - 4
Source Lehman Brothers
36Fixed Income Market Review Treasury Markets
June 30, 2000
- Inflation worries early in the second quarter led
to a 50 bp Fed increase by in mid-May. - Market sentiment improved later in the quarter
as weaker economic reports were reported
throughout May and June.
2 - 5
37Fixed Income Market ReviewU.S.
Treasuries-Performance By Maturity June 30, 2000
2000 Performance -Short Treasuries Outperform
During The Second Quarter -U.S. Treasuries Posted
Positive Returns Each Month Of This Year
Source Lehman Brothers
2 - 6
38Fixed Income Market Review Investment Grade
Corporate Bonds U.S. Agencies Relative
ValuationJune 30, 2000
- Treasury curve inversion, a volatile equity
market and the concern over Fed tightenings have
pushed corporate and agency spreads back out past
the Asian crisis days of Summer 1998. - Agencies also hurt by the questioning of the
status of the GSEs.
2 - 7
39Fixed Income Market Review Corporate Bond
PerformanceAbsolute Returns - June 30, 2000
2000 Performance Higher Quality Issues
Outperforming
2 -8
Source Lehman Brothers
40Fixed Income Market Review Mortgage-Backed
Securities Relative ValuationJune 30, 2000
- Treasury curve inversion and discussions over the
status of the GSEs, which are big players in the
MBS market, has put pressure on Mortgage
spreads.
2 - 9
41Fixed Income Market Review Mortgage Backed
Securities PerformanceAbsolute Returns -June 30,
2000
2000 Performance Flight To Quality Turnaround??
GNMAs Have An Explicit Government
Guarantee.
2 - 10
Source Lehman Brothers
42Fixed Income Market Review Bond Performance By
Sector (Curve-Adjusted Excess Returns Over
Treasuries)June 30, 2000
- Each sector posted negative YTD excess-returns
for the first six months of 2000. - Sentiment improved in June as Agencies gained 43
bp (best month ever), Corporates 69 bp (first
positive month in 2000) and MBS 29 bp, on an
excess-return basis, relative to Treasuries.
Source Lehman Brothers
2 - 11
43Fixed Income Market ReviewSecond Quarter 2000
June 30, 2000
- Aggregate First Back-To-Back Positive Quarters
Since 1998 - Agencies MBS Out-perform Treasuries On An
Absolute and Excess-Return Basis Corporates
Under-perform for the Qtr. - Major Themes
- U.S. Treasury curve remains inverted.
- Fed 50bp increase in May
- Market sentiment goes from inflation worries and
fears of more Fed tightenings in the first half
of the quarter to weaker economic reports and a
Fed on-hold outlook towards the end of the
quarter. - Good spread product performance in June
2 - 12
44Fixed Income Market Review WIS Total Return
Bond FundJune 30, 2000
Outlook Second-Half 2000 Over Weighting Spread
Sectors Duration Modestly Longer Vs. Benchmark
2 - 13
45Fixed Income Market Review WIS Current Income
Fund June 30, 2000
Outlook Second-Half 2000 Discount / Premium
Coupons
2 - 14
46Fixed Income Market Review U.S. Government Near
Term FundJune 30, 2000
Outlook Second-Half 2000 Agency/Treasury Swaps
2 - 15
47Fixed Income Market OutlookSecond-Half
2000June 30, 2000
- Bond Market Second-Half 2000
- Surplus/Treasury Buy-Backs/Inverted Treasury
Curve - Economic Strength Inflation Worries Fed
Moves ???? - Soft/Hard Landing in the U.S.???
- Equity/Bond Performance
- Spread (non-Treasury) Products Performance
- Maturity/Duration Slightly Longer Than Benchmarks
2 - 16
48International Equity Management
- Amit S. Khandwala
- July 13, 2000
3 - 1
49WIBC Investment Performance
Q1 2000
3 - 2
50WIBC Investment Performance
12 months thru Q2 2000
3 - 3
51Return Attribution AnalysisQ2 2000
3 - 4
52Contributors by Country for Q2 2000
- Negative Contributors
- Japan, stock selection. Blue Chip sell off.
- Singapore, industry selection Natsteel
Electronics. - Swiss, industry selection. Pharma Staple
bounce. - Positive Contributors
- Brazil, stock selection.
- Sweden, industry selection.
- Greece, country selection zero weight.
3 - 5
53Country changes during Q2
- Reduced Finland due to sale of Nokia.
- Increased Italy thru Financials.
- Investment in Taiwan Thailand.
- Increased UK, Switzerland France.
3 - 6
54Sector changes during Q2
- Reduced Technology by 5.
- Reduced Telecom by 4
- Reallocated proceeds to Industrials, Financials
Energy.
3 - 7
55ADR Core Management PerformanceAs of June 30,
2000
3 - 8
56Summary
- Expect global economy to weaken somewhat over the
next 12 months. - Euro appreciation should help dollar returns.
- UK market looks attractive now.
- Japanese Tankan survey results were encouraging.
- Continue to like Technology, Energy Financials.
- International markets continue to look attractive
for the rest of 2000.
3 - 9
57The Equity MarketReport for 2nd Quarter 2000
- Patricia Pierce, CFA
- Senior Vice President
4 - 1
58PerformanceSecond Quarter 2000Managed Equity
Core Portfolio
Total Return3 Mos. Ended 6/30
Core Equity -4.0 Core Equity
25 -4.6 WMBC -4.4 SP 500 -2.7
4 - 2
59Managed Equity CorePortfolio StrategiesJune
Quarter
- Become more defensive on consumer spending
- Reduce Consumer Cyclicals
- Upgrade Consumer Staples
- Take advantage of growth stocks at opportunistic
prices
4 - 3
60Managed Equity CoreEquity Transaction
HighlightsMarch - June 2000
- SELL
- Vulnerable situations
- EMC Corp.
- Alltel
- Disappointing outlooks
- Gap Stores
- Bristol-Myers
- BUY
- Accelerating topline growth
- Avon Products
- Biogen
- Low priced Blue Chip growth
- ATT
- Lucent Technologies
4 - 4
61Pluses Minuses in a Volatile MarketJune
Quarter 2000
Outperformed in Winners LosersTechnology A
dobe Systems (17) Adaptec (-41)Communicatio
ns SBC Telecom ( 3) ATT (-43)
Underperformed in Winners LosersCapital
Goods Solectron (4) Honeywell
(-36)Healthcare Johnson Johnson (
45) Bristol-Myers (1)
BEST Blue Chip- Johnson Johnson _at_ plus
45 WORST Blue Chip - ATT _at_ minus 43
4 - 5
62U.S. Mid Cap Equity
- George Faherty, CFA
- Vice President
5 - 1
63Selected Blue Chip vs. SP 400 and Russell MidCap
Index
5 - 2
64Sector Weighting 6/30/2000
5 - 3
65WSBC Q2 Relative Performance
- Outperformance
- Healthcare (23)
- Energy (7)
- Cons. Staples (6)
- Underperformance
- Basic Materials (-19)
- Cons. Cyclicals (-11)
- Technology (-9)
5 - 4
66WSBC Q2 Sector Shifts
- Increased Weighting
- Healthcare (4)
- Utilities (2)
- Energy (2)
- Cons. Cyclicals (1)
- Cons. Staples (1)
- Capital Goods (1)
- Decreased Weighting
- Technology (-9)
- Basic Materials (-2)
5 - 5