Battleground 2004: The Last Hurrah for Aging White Voters

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Battleground 2004The Last Hurrah for
AgingWhite Voters ?

• William H. Frey
• The Brookings Institution University of
  Michigan
• www.Frey-Demographer.org

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Share that Votes
Source William H. Frey
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US Race Profile Comparisons
Voters
Total
Source William H. Frey
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Hispanics Total versus Voter Shares
Source William H. Frey
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Hispanic Voter Shares
Under 3
3 9
10 19
20 or more
Source William H. Frey
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Percent in Battleground States

Source William H. Frey
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Percent White
Source William H. Frey
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Percent Minority
32.0
29.3
20.7
14.0
13.6
Source William H. Frey
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light yellow are slow-growing battleground
states dark yellow are fast-growing battleground
states numbers are electoral votes
Source William H. Frey Analysis
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State Growth 1990 2003
Fast Growing Battlegrounds
Slow Growing Battlegrounds
Source William H. Frey
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Migration Component Rates
(per 1000 ) 1995 - 2003
Source William H. Frey
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Electoral Votes, 2004
Source William H. Frey
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White Baby-Boomers as Share of Voting Age

Source William H. Frey
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Key Demographic Groups
Slow-growing BGs
Fast-growing BGs
Source William H. Frey
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State Categories Race Comparisons
Fast Growing BGs
Slow Growing BGs
Blue States
Red States
Source William H. Frey
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ELECTION 2004
battleground PENNSYLVANIA
yellow battleground counties represent a highly
divided voting population
Source William H. Frey Analysis
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Pennsylvania Voters
Source William H. Frey
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yellow battleground counties represent a highly
divided voting population
ELECTION 2004
battleground OHIO
Source William H. Frey Analysis
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Ohio Voters
Source William H. Frey
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yellow battleground counties represent a highly
divided voting population
Source William H. Frey Analysis
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Florida Voters
Source William H. Frey
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Voters Battleground States
Fast Growing
Slow-Growing
Source William H. Frey
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Total Pop Battleground States
Fast Growing
Slow-Growing
Source William H. Frey
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Growth by County Type in BG States, 2000-03
Source William H. Frey