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Investment Objective

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... properly allocating bonuses and allowing weights to deviate from target weights ... Latin American politics and free-market policies have helped ETF growth ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Investment Objective


1
Investment Objective
  • To maximize the funds total return on capital
    while controlling for TEV through tactical asset
    allocation across the global markets.

2
Investment Strategy
  • The investment manager applies a top down macro
    analysis on world markets to identify best
    return/risk profiles.
  • Position Weighting will be adjusted based on
    forecasted correlations to control for TEV.

3
Portfolio Holdings
  • Current
  • AGG 18.53
  • IWB 1.14
  • IWD 13.35
  • IWM 9.84
  • IYE 5
  • EPP 10.51
  • EWJ 4.84
  • EEM 21.06
  • EWY 4.62
  • EWW 5.52
  • EWZ - 5.62
  • Target
  • AGG 20
  • IWD 15
  • IWM 10
  • IYE 5
  • EPP 10
  • EWJ 5
  • EEM 20
  • EWY 5
  • EWW 5
  • EWZ 5

4
TEV Analysis
  • Target TEV 2.84
  • Current TEV 4.63
  • Sources of discrepancy
  • Overweight in Asian markets where both vol an
    correlation picked up
  • Not properly allocating bonuses and allowing
    weights to deviate from target weights
  • Our main control for TEV was through AGG
    allocation, which deviated the most from target
    allocation

5
9 Months in Review
  • Yen carry Trade
  • Emerging Markets downturn, but recover
  • Reassessment of risk
  • Private Equity Boom
  • Oil markets downturn, but recover
  • Housing/Sub-prime

6
  • International Equity Emerging Markets
  • Initial allocation based on low correlation with
    developed countries and macroeconomic conditions
  • Emerging market index with tilted exposure from
    country funds
  • Biased exposure contributed to relative
    performance and high appraisal ratio
  • Initial Allocation
  • 20 MSCI Emerging Markets Index
  • 5 MSCI South Korea
  • 5 MSCI Mexico
  • 5 MSCI Brazil

7
  • Emerging Market Index not overweighed, but
    diversification into these country funds helped
    appraisal ratio
  • South Korea
  • YTD Return 9.34
  • Driven by strong economic growth in Asia
  • Interest rates slowed
  • Won appreciation

8
  • Latin American politics and free-market policies
    have helped ETF growth
  • Increased international flows
  • Mexico
  • YTD Return 25.04
  • Brazil
  • YTD Return27.94

9
Bonds
  • Lehman Aggregate seeks to provide results
    reflective of the US investment-grade bond market
    (as defined by Lehman Bros).
  • AGG year-to-date return is 1.32
  • The AGG is sensitive to shifts in interest rates
    and expected inflation rates.
  • The AGG is sensitive to shifts in interest rates
    and expected inflation rates.
  • Recently, volatility in the Lehman Aggregate is
    driven by market expectations on inflation and
    possible Fed response.
  • Our strategy has been to minimize our exposure
    relative to the benchmark fund. Our choice was
    driven by our belief that interest rates will
    either go up or remain constant over the life of
    our fund.

10
International Equity Developed MarketsInitial
Allocation Review
  • Underweight export driven economies that are most
    exposed to a weakening U.S. consumption
  • Underweight European markets because we believed
    more attractive opportunities existed in emerging
    markets.
  • While avoiding key international risk factors, we
    looked to isolate and exploit sustained growth in
    several key Asian markets.
  • 10 MSCI Pacific ex Japan
  • 5 MSCI Japan

11
MSCI Pacific ex-Japan (EPP)
  • Has gained roughly 17 since February sell-off.
  • Less dependent on U.S. economy compared to other
    regions such as Latin America
  • Inclusive of Australian and other southern
    Pacific equities.

BHP Billiton Ltd Industrial Materials --- 7.49
Commonwealth Bank of Australia Financial
Services --- 4.83 National Australia Bank Ltd
Financial Services --- 4.83 Australia New
Zealand Banking Grp Financial Services --- 4.19
Westpac Banking Financial Services --- 3.46
12
MSCI Japan Index (EWJ)
  • Performance since February sell-off has been a
    symptom of Japanese economys ever-growing FDI
    and export link to China.

13
Broader Asia-Pacific Picture
SeekingAlphaiShares Asia Region ETFs Weekly and
YTD ReturnsMonday April 16, 1014 am ET Steven
Towns
14
Domestic Equity Performance
  • Russell 1000 Value IWD vs. Russell 2000 Index
    IWM
  • 9.132
    11.769

15
Domestic Equity Performance
  • Dow Jones U.S. energy sector index IYE
  • 15.436
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