Title: Investment Objective
1Investment Objective
- To maximize the funds total return on capital
while controlling for TEV through tactical asset
allocation across the global markets.
2Investment Strategy
- The investment manager applies a top down macro
analysis on world markets to identify best
return/risk profiles. - Position Weighting will be adjusted based on
forecasted correlations to control for TEV.
3Portfolio Holdings
- Current
- AGG 18.53
- IWB 1.14
- IWD 13.35
- IWM 9.84
- IYE 5
- EPP 10.51
- EWJ 4.84
- EEM 21.06
- EWY 4.62
- EWW 5.52
- EWZ - 5.62
- Target
-
- AGG 20
- IWD 15
- IWM 10
- IYE 5
- EPP 10
- EWJ 5
- EEM 20
- EWY 5
- EWW 5
- EWZ 5
4TEV Analysis
- Target TEV 2.84
- Current TEV 4.63
- Sources of discrepancy
- Overweight in Asian markets where both vol an
correlation picked up - Not properly allocating bonuses and allowing
weights to deviate from target weights - Our main control for TEV was through AGG
allocation, which deviated the most from target
allocation
59 Months in Review
- Yen carry Trade
- Emerging Markets downturn, but recover
- Reassessment of risk
- Private Equity Boom
- Oil markets downturn, but recover
- Housing/Sub-prime
6- International Equity Emerging Markets
- Initial allocation based on low correlation with
developed countries and macroeconomic conditions - Emerging market index with tilted exposure from
country funds - Biased exposure contributed to relative
performance and high appraisal ratio
- Initial Allocation
- 20 MSCI Emerging Markets Index
- 5 MSCI South Korea
- 5 MSCI Mexico
- 5 MSCI Brazil
7- Emerging Market Index not overweighed, but
diversification into these country funds helped
appraisal ratio
- YTD Return 9.34
- Driven by strong economic growth in Asia
- Interest rates slowed
- Won appreciation
8- Latin American politics and free-market policies
have helped ETF growth - Increased international flows
- Mexico
- YTD Return 25.04
- Brazil
- YTD Return27.94
9Bonds
- Lehman Aggregate seeks to provide results
reflective of the US investment-grade bond market
(as defined by Lehman Bros). - AGG year-to-date return is 1.32
- The AGG is sensitive to shifts in interest rates
and expected inflation rates. - The AGG is sensitive to shifts in interest rates
and expected inflation rates. - Recently, volatility in the Lehman Aggregate is
driven by market expectations on inflation and
possible Fed response. - Our strategy has been to minimize our exposure
relative to the benchmark fund. Our choice was
driven by our belief that interest rates will
either go up or remain constant over the life of
our fund.
10International Equity Developed MarketsInitial
Allocation Review
- Underweight export driven economies that are most
exposed to a weakening U.S. consumption - Underweight European markets because we believed
more attractive opportunities existed in emerging
markets. - While avoiding key international risk factors, we
looked to isolate and exploit sustained growth in
several key Asian markets.
- 10 MSCI Pacific ex Japan
- 5 MSCI Japan
11MSCI Pacific ex-Japan (EPP)
- Has gained roughly 17 since February sell-off.
- Less dependent on U.S. economy compared to other
regions such as Latin America - Inclusive of Australian and other southern
Pacific equities.
BHP Billiton Ltd Industrial Materials --- 7.49
Commonwealth Bank of Australia Financial
Services --- 4.83 National Australia Bank Ltd
Financial Services --- 4.83 Australia New
Zealand Banking Grp Financial Services --- 4.19
Westpac Banking Financial Services --- 3.46
12MSCI Japan Index (EWJ)
- Performance since February sell-off has been a
symptom of Japanese economys ever-growing FDI
and export link to China.
13Broader Asia-Pacific Picture
SeekingAlphaiShares Asia Region ETFs Weekly and
YTD ReturnsMonday April 16, 1014 am ET Steven
Towns
14Domestic Equity Performance
- Russell 1000 Value IWD vs. Russell 2000 Index
IWM - 9.132
11.769
15Domestic Equity Performance
- Dow Jones U.S. energy sector index IYE
- 15.436