Title: Continuous Assurance
1Continuous Assurance
- Sally Wright
- Miklos Vasarhelyi
- Arnie Wright
2Outline
- I. Introduction the state of the art
- II. Demand for continuous auditing and assurance
- III. Independence of the auditor/assuror
- IV. Continuous auditing/assurance and earnings
management - V. Shift in audit focus from reported numbers
(output) to system reliability (process) - VI. The new audit methodology
- VII. Conclusions and Research Questions
3Outline
4What is Continuous Auditing?
- Continuous auditing is a type of auditing which
produces audit results simultaneously with, or a
short period of time after, the occurrence of
relevant events. - It would be more accurate to call this type of
auditing instant rather than continuous. - Instant is not necessarily frequent.
5I. Introduction the state of the art
6Introduction the state of the art
- The Real-time economy
- Early efforts (ATTs CPAS effort, etc)
- Professional studies (AIPCA/CICA)
- Corporate experiences (HCA, Citibank, Fed
Reserve) - Advances in vendor packages
- Technical challenges and issues
7Real Time Economy
8GEs digital cockpit (dashboard)
1Source GE Annual Report 2001
9Some form of close-to-the event assurance will
prevail state of the art
- The CPAS efforts at ATT (1986-on)
- The continuous auditing AICPA/CICA committee
(1999) - Continuous Systrust CICA/AICPA (2000)
- Center for Continuous Audit (2002)
- European Center for Continuous Audit
- Many corporate efforts
- HCA, Martin Marietta, Federal Reserve of NY, Bank
Bipop (Italy) - Increasing synergies with XML / XBRL efforts
10CPAS concepts
- metrics
- Analytics / continuity equations
- standards
- of operation
- of variance
- others
- alarms
- measurement vs monitoring
11CPAS OVERVIEW
System
System Operational Reports
Workstation
Operational Report
Operational Report
DF-level 2
Operational Report
DF-level 1
DF-level 1
DF-level 1
Filter
Alarm
DF-level 0
Data Flow Diagrams
Database
Reports
Analytics
Metrics
12FlowFront - Interactive Flow Diagram Viewer -
ATT Bell Laboratories - Murray Hill, NJ
fe
11/27/89
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13Many corporate efforts
- HCA
- Martin Marietta risk management
- Federal Reserve of NY network monitoring
- Bank Bipop (Italy) SAP KPI overlay
- Citibank
14II. Demand for continuous auditing and assurance
15II. Demand for continuous auditing and assurance
- Preliminary findings (Hunton, Wright and Wright
2002 Hunton, Reck and Pinsker 2002) - User expectations
- Information, agency, and insurance hypotheses
- Information economics
- Effort-accuracy framework (satisficing
behavior) - Level of acceptable assurance
16III- Independence
17III. Independence of the auditor/assuror
- Who pays?
- Role of the auditor/assuror in the design of
controls within the system - Role of the internal auditor
- The Black box Log proposal (Alles, Kogan and
Vasarhelyi 2002)
18IV. Continuous auditing/assurance and earnings
management
19V. Shift in audit focus from reported numbers
(output) to system reliability (process)
20VI. The new audit methodology
21IV. Continuous auditing/assurance and earnings
management
- Opportunities and incentives to manage earnings
with more frequent reporting - Breadth of services (e.g., auditing, systems
reliability) - Voluntary vs. mandatory
- Who pays?
- Information asymmetry
22V. Shift in audit focus from reported numbers
(output) to system reliability (process)
- Will audit fees be significantly lower (less
substantive testing - Economics of the auditing profession
23VI. The new audit methodology
- A dramatic new model of auditing (Vasarhelyi,
2002) - Principles of analytic monitoring (Vasarhelyi,
Alles and Kogan 2002) - New technologies for continuous assurance
24A Dramatic Change in the Audit model
- 1. The continuous assurance model has many
clients - 2. The continuous assurance model had different
Independence considerations - 3. The continuous assurance model has a different
justification - 4. The continuous assurance model is an element
of the strategic monitoring - 5. The Continuous assurance model will turn the
audit process into audit by exception - 6. A new set of analytics guides strategic
monitoring - 7. The continuous assurance model covers a wider
set of quantitative and qualitative non-financial
data - 8. The continuous assurance model has alternative
materiality considerations - 9. The continuous assurance opinion has some
futurity implied in it
25Principles of Analytic Monitoring
- Miklos A. Vasarhelyi
- Michael Alles
- Alexandr Kogan
- Rutgers Business School
26Analytic Monitoring
27The continuous assurance will change
- 1) objectives
- 2) levels and hierarchy
- 3) controls
- 4) timing
- 5) process
- 6) tools
- 7) outcomes
28Objective changes
- 1) changes in the environment and industry, 2)
the existence and effectiveness of controls, 3)
increased human resource risks, 4) process
continuity and integrity, and 5) coherence
between endogenous and exogenous factors
29Effects on Controls
- The existence of the controls,
- That they are operational,
- That their warnings are properly observed and
distributed, - That the controls are comprehensive, covering all
relevant aspect of operational risk.
30Four levels of CA
- Transaction assurance
- Rule assurance
- Estimate assurance
- Judgment assurance
31Pensions 4 levels of CA
- Level 1 Flag and extract all transactions that
pass resources between the company and its
pension fund, extract all transactions that
affect pension related ledger accounts and vouch
for these transactions. - Level 2 GAAP specifies maximum and minimum
contributions to pension plans as well as ways to
account for pension obligations, and other
pension related items. This level would create a
logical template evaluating the obedience for the
rules of ERISA and GAAP. - Level 3 On a more analytical level, the
continuous assuror can examine the formally
disclosed rules relative to pensions that allow
for the organizations actuarial estimates.
Accounting standards require the disclosure and
usage of an interest rate in the assumptions
about pension estimates such as interest rate,
employee related obligations vis-à-vis age and
years of employment, asset returns but the
standards do not require a relationship between
the historical returns of the fund and the future
return assumptions. The future will bring
corporate measurement rules that link endogenous
and exogenous data in the measurement of business
and its assessment. - Level 4 the auditor could make assertions at a
strategic level about the appropriateness of
pension plan funding and the quality of the
management of the fund
32Timing issues
- Extensive Front end work
- Monitoring of system changes
- Alarm based intervention
- Evergreen opinion (of different forms)
- Automated interim work
- Continuous confirmation
- Very limited, if any, detail testing
33(No Transcript)
34Evidence
- Major change on the nature of relied evidence
- Automated confirmations will take a progressively
larger role - Alarm frequency and nature will be evidential
matter - Joint systems (with other entities) will become
prevalent
35Multiple Outcomes
- Assurance of a wider range of stakeholders
- Front-end work more consulting-like (Sarbanes
Oxley ???) - Opinions will be mainly negative assertions of
the sort no alarms level 5 occurred - Major cultural changes needed
36Opinion with futurity
- We have examined the reliability and financial
reports of ABC corporation and have been engaged
on a continuous assurance engagement for the
fiscal year of xxxx. We will monitor the
organizations operations and strategic
accomplishments using a wide set of analytics as
described in http//www.ca.com/analytics and
other analytics we deem appropriate and will
report on an audit by exception basis when more
than xx variance is found in operational and
strategic standards or when we deem it
appropriate. This exception report will be issued
to all customers registered ( paying ) at
http//www.ca.com/analytics/customers
37Architecture
38Current Practice
- HCA Healthcare
- Several monitoring and auditing functions
- Martin Marietta
- Data driven risk model
- Federal Reserve of New York
- Network Monitoring
39AuditMaster Premier V5.0 Demo
40(No Transcript)
41VII. Conclusions and Research Questions
42Research opportunities
43A Program of Research in COA
- Research issues are classified as related to
- Architecture of COA
- Factors affecting the use of COA
- Major consequences of COA.
44General Architecture
- Architectural decisions are made very early in
the process of COA development and deployment,
and are mostly irreversible. - Research Issue Develop theoretical models of COA
that relate formal specifications of a COA system
with various audit objectives.
45Data Capture
- Standard formats for enterprise data will greatly
simplify COA data capture problems. - Research Issue Explore and design standard
formats for enterprise data to facilitate data
capture for COA. Explore the possibility of using
the eXtensible Markup Language (XML) for defining
such standard formats for presentation of
accounting information.
46Scope of Auditing
- COA systems are potentially capable of
reprocessing or parallel processing the whole
population of business transactions. - Research Issue Investigate whether and when the
complete reprocessing of the entire population of
business transactions is feasible and desirable.
47Systems Audit
- Research Issue Determine the tradeoffs between
system structure auditing and transactions
auditing. Analyze whether both have to be
subjected to high frequency auditing. - Monitoring that the system has not changed can be
achieved by using cryptographic techniques of
digital signatures
48Real-time Analytical Review Procedures
- Auditing system is a parallel systemgt not to be
relied on for routine control functionsgt
auditing systems alarms should be truly random,
i.e. a Poisson-like process. - Research Issue Develop analytical review
procedures to take advantage of the capabilities
of COA systems.
49Security of COA
- Research Issue Examine the extent to which
system security issues will slow down the growth
of COA. - Research Issue Examine the adequacy of existing
security arrangements for remote access to a COA
system (e.g., through virtual private networks
and/or extranets).
50Distance Auditing
- Research Issue Design innovative forms of remote
observation, investigate the use of
video-monitoring tools, and ascertain their
reliability. - Research Issue Explore the extent to which the
auditor can rely on COA distance auditing
techniques without compromising the quality of
the audit.
51Factors Affecting the Use of COA
- Functional Areas
- Industrial Sectors
- Internal vs. External Use
- Research Issue Investigate whether the use of
COA is more likely to be initiated by internal
auditors than external auditors. - Characteristics of External Auditor
52COA Effects on Direct Costs
- Research Issue Determine the degree of reduction
(if any) in direct audit costs induced by COA. - Research Issue Investigate the extent to which
the cost of the initial development and
deployment of online auditing systems can be
offset by ongoing savings in labor costs
associated with conventional auditing.
53COA Effects on Agency Costs-I
- Research Issue Develop and analyze agency models
to formally show that higher frequency of audits
makes it possible to more reliably infer the
average action of the agent from the average
outcome, and thus, the audit of outcomes is more
meaningful, and the audit of actions is not as
important.
54COA Effects on Agency Costs-II
- Research Issue Analytically investigate whether
the demand for COA is higher if moral hazard or
information asymmetry are strong and monitoring
is cheap. - Research Issue Determine whether the deployment
of COA reduces earnings management, since high
frequency time series of earnings is more
difficult to manipulate.
55Effects on Audit Quality
- Timeliness
- Thoroughness
- Reliability
- Auditors Moral Hazard
- COA higher audit quality is likely to manifest
itself in lower litigation or higher audit fees
(should be empirically tested).
56Managerial and Psychological Effects of COA
- Research Issue Investigate whether managers
exhibit an adverse or dysfunctional reaction to
continuous auditing (Big Brother effect). - Research Issue Investigate end users ability to
comprehend and interpret accounting numbers
corresponding to very short time intervals
(information overload effect).
57COA Effects on Audit Practice
- Research Issue Investigate whether external
auditors deployment of COA makes it more costly
to replace the external auditor determine if
there is a resulting increase in auditors
independence. - Research Issue Investigate the degree of impact
of a COA system on the target system being
audited.
58Audit Opinion and Reporting
- Research Issue Analyze the changes in the kind
of audit opinion that will likely result after
the deployment of COA. The results of COA can be
presented in the form of opinions on demand,
where a client can request an opinion at any time
on any feature of the client's operation, or
reports issued at shorter term intervals.
59Legal and Regulatory Implications
- COA can decrease legal risks by providing higher
quality, timelier and more comprehensive
assurance. On the other hand, there may be
greater litigation exposure if fraudulent
activity is revealed. - As COA becomes feasible, it will be more tempting
for regulators to mandate broader audited
disclosure.