Title: Financiering
1Financiering
- Jeroen E. Ligterinkjeroenl_at_fee.uva.nl
- 2001
2BMM 10 Topics Covered
- Measuring Beta
- Portfolio Betas
- CAPM and Expected Return
- Security Market Line
- Capital Budgeting and Project Risk
3Measuring Market Risk
- Market Portfolio - Portfolio of all assets in the
economy. In practice a broad stock market index,
such as the SP Composite, is used to represent
the market. - Beta - Sensitivity of a stocks return to the
return on the market portfolio.
4Measuring Market Risk
- Example - Turbo Charged Seafood has the following
returns on its stock, relative to the listed
changes in the return on the market portfolio.
The beta of Turbo Charged Seafood can be derived
from this information.
5Measuring Market Risk
6Measuring Market Risk
Example - continued
- When the market was up 1, Turbo average change
was 0.8 - When the market was down 1, Turbo average
change was -0.8 - The average change of 1.6 (-0.8 to 0.8) divided
by the 2 (-1.0 to 1.0) change in the market
produces a beta of 0.8.
7Measuring Market Risk
Example - continued
- When the market was up 1, Turbo average change
was 0.8 - When the market was down 1, Turbo average
change was -0.8 - The average change of 1.6 (-0.8 to 0.8) divided
by the 2 (-1.0 to 1.0) change in the market
produces a beta of 0.8.
8Measuring Market Risk
9Portfolio Betas
- Diversification decreases variability from unique
risk, but not from market risk. - The beta of your portfolio will be an average of
the betas of the securities in the portfolio. - If you owned all of the SP Composite Index
stocks, you would have an average beta of 1.0
10Measuring Market Risk
- Market Risk Premium - Risk premium of market
portfolio. Difference between market return and
return on risk-free Treasury bills.
Market Portfolio
11Measuring Market Risk
- CAPM - Theory of the relationship between risk
and return which states that the expected risk
premium on any security equals its beta times the
market risk premium.
12Measuring Market Risk
- Security Market Line - The graphic representation
of the CAPM.
13Capital Budgeting Project Risk
- The project cost of capital depends on the use to
which the capital is being put. Therefore, it
depends on the risk of the project and not the
risk of the company.
14Capital Budgeting Project Risk
- Example - Based on the CAPM, ABC Company has a
cost of capital of 17. (4 1.3(10)). A
breakdown of the companys investment projects is
listed below. When evaluating a new dog food
production investment, which cost of capital
should be used? - 1/3 Nuclear Parts Mfr.. B2.0
- 1/3 Computer Hard Drive Mfr.. B1.3
- 1/3 Dog Food Production B0.6
- AVG. B of assets 1.3
-
15Capital Budgeting Project Risk
- Example - Based on the CAPM, ABC Company has a
cost of capital of 17. (4 1.3(10)). A
breakdown of the companys investment projects is
listed below. When evaluating a new dog food
production investment, which cost of capital
should be used? - R 4 0.6 (14 - 4 ) 10
- 10 reflects the opportunity cost of capital on
an investment given the unique risk of the
project.
16BMM 11 Topics Covered
- Geothermals Cost of Capital
- Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
- Capital Structure
- Required Rates of Return
- Big Oils WACC
- Interpreting WACC
- Flotation Costs
17Cost of Capital
- Cost of Capital - The return the firms investors
could expect to earn if they invested in
securities with comparable degrees of risk. - Capital Structure - The firms mix of long term
financing and equity financing.
18Cost of Capital
- Example
- Geothermal Inc. has the following structure.
Given that geothermal pays 8 for debt and 14
for equity, what is the Company Cost of Capital?
19Cost of Capital
- Example - Geothermal Inc. has the following
structure. Given that geothermal pays 8 for
debt and 14 for equity, what is the Company Cost
of Capital?
20Cost of Capital
- Example - Geothermal Inc. has the following
structure. Given that geothermal pays 8 for
debt and 14 for equity, what is the Company Cost
of Capital?
21Cost of Capital
- Example - Geothermal Inc. has the following
structure. Given that geothermal pays 8 for
debt and 14 for equity, what is the Company Cost
of Capital?
Interest is tax deductible. Given a 35 tax rate,
debt only costs us 5.2 (i.e. 8 x .65).
22WACC
- Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) - The
expected rate of return on a portfolio of all the
firms securities. - Company cost of capital Weighted average of
debt and equity returns.
23WACC
24WACC
- Three Steps to Calculating Cost of Capital
- 1. Calculate the value of each security as a
proportion of the firms market value. - 2. Determine the required rate of return on each
security. - 3. Calculate a weighted average of these required
returns.
25WACC
- Taxes are an important consideration in the
company cost of capital because interest payments
are deducted from income before tax is
calculated.
26WACC
- Weighted -average cost of capital
27WACC
- Example - Executive Fruit has issued debt,
preferred stock and common stock. The market
value of these securities are 4mil, 2mil, and
6mil, respectively. The required returns are
6, 12, and 18, respectively. - Q Determine the WACC for Executive Fruit, Inc.
28WACC
- Example - continued
- Step 1
- Firm Value 4 2 6 12 mil
- Step 2
- Required returns are given
- Step 3
29WACC
- Issues in Using WACC
- Debt has two costs. 1)return on debt and
2)increased cost of equity demanded due to the
increase in risk - Betas may change with capital structure
- Corporate taxes complicate the analysis and may
change our decision
30Measuring Capital Structure
- In estimating WACC, do not use the Book Value of
securities. - In estimating WACC, use the Market Value of the
securities. - Book Values often do not represent the true
market value of a firms securities.
31Measuring Capital Structure
Market Value of Bonds - PV of all coupons and par
value discounted at the current interest rate.
Market Value of Equity - Market price per share
multiplied by the number of outstanding shares.
32Measuring Capital Structure
33Measuring Capital Structure
If the long term bonds pay an 8 coupon and
mature in 12 years, what is their market value
assuming a 9 YTM?
34Measuring Capital Structure
35Required Rates of Return
36Required Rates of Return
- Expected Return on Preferred Stock
- Price of Preferred Stock
- solve for preferred
37Flotation Costs
- The cost of implementing any financing decision
must be incorporated into the cash flows of the
project being evaluated. - Only the incremental costs of financing should be
included. - This is sometimes called Adjusted Present Value.