Peter Schultz, Ph'D'

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CCSP Update January 18, 2005Committee for
Climate Analysis, Monitoring, and ServicesOffice
of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology

• Peter Schultz, Ph.D.
• Associate Director for Science Integration
• Climate Change Science Program Office

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CCSP Update

• 1. Background
• 2. Synthesis and Assessment Products
• 3. Climate Science Workshop
• 4. Our Changing Planet
• 5. Intersections Between CCAMS and CCSP IWGs

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(No Transcript)
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CCSP Internal Structure
CCSP Interagency Committee Director Asst. Sec.
of Commerce for Oceans
Atmosphere
CCSP Office
Atm. Comp.
Climate Var. Change
Carbon Cycle
Interagency Working Groups
Communications
HD / HCR
Ecosystems
Water Cycle
LULCC
International
Observations
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CCSP Strategic Plan

• Requested and approved by the White House
• Endorsed by the 13 participating agencies
• Developed with broad scientific input
• Reviewed by the NRC
• Released July 2003 202 pgs.

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CCSP Strategic Plan
Vision A nation and the global community
empowered with the science-based knowledge to
manage the risks and opportunities of change in
the climate and related environmental
systems. Mission Facilitate the creation and
application of knowledge of the Earths global
environment through research, observations,
decision support, and communication. Responsibili
ty Coordination and integration of scientific
research on global variability and change
sponsored by 13 participating departments and
agencies of the U.S. Government.
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CCSP Goals

• 5 Climate Science Goals
• Improve Knowledge of Climate and Environment
• Improve Quantification of Forces Driving
  Changes to Climate
• Reduce Uncertainty in Projections of Future
  Climate Changes
• Understand Sensitivity Adaptability of
  Natural Manmade Ecosystems
• Explore Uses and Limits of Managing Risks and
  Opportunities

Released July 2003, 202 pages.
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CCSP Priority Areas FY07

• AerosolsCloudsClimate Integrating New
  Remote-Sensing Observations With Expanded In Situ
  Observations to Build the Next Generation of
  Climate Prediction Capabilities
• Development of an Integrated Earth System
  Analysis Capability
• Integration of Water Cycle Observations,
  Research and Modeling A Prototype Project
• Global Landsat Data for Answering Critical
  Climate Questions
• North American Carbon Program Integration
• Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on
  Ecosystem Productivity and Biodiversity
• Coping with Drought through Research and
  Regional Partnerships
• International Polar Year
• Integrated Ocean Observing System

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Synthesis Assessment Products

• Current evaluations of the science foundation
  that can be used for informing public debate,
  policy, and operational decisions, and for
  defining and setting the future direction and
  priorities of the program
• Components of the process
• - Lead agency identification
• - Prospectus preparation
• - Author selection
• - Stakeholder interactions, public
  comment
• - Product drafting/reviewing
• - Approval, production, and release
• (Subject to Information Quality Act
• and FACA)
• 21 Products

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Synthesis Assessment Products
1.1 Temperature trends 1.2 Past Arctic climate
variability and change 1.3 Re-analyses of
historical climate data. Implications for
attribution 2.1 Updating scenarios of greenhouse
gas emissions and concentrations 2.2 North
American carbon budget implications for global
carbon cycle 2.3 Aerosol properties and their
impacts on climate 2.4 Ozone Emissions of ODSs,
ozone layer recovery, and implications 3.1
Climate models and their uses and limitations 3.2
Climate projections 3.3 Climate extremes 3.4
Risks of abrupt climate change
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Synthesis Assessment Products
4.1 Coastal elevation and sensitivity to sea
level rise 4.2 Thresholds of ecosystem
change 4.3 Climate effects on agriculture,
biodiversity, land, and water resources 4.4
Adaptation options for climate-sensitive
ecosystems and resources 4.5 Climate effects on
energy production and use 4.6 Climate effects of
on human health and welfare and human systems 4.7
Transportation and climate variability and
change 5.1 Uses and limitations of climate
information in decision support 5.2 Best
practice approaches for characterizing,
communicating, and incorporating scientific
uncertainty in decision making 5.3 Decision
support using seasonal to interannual forecasts
and obs.
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CCSP Workshop

• Location Marriott Crystal Gateway, Arlington,
  VA
• Purpose To facilitate exchange of ideas among
  the government, academic, international, NGO, and
  stakeholder groups participating in the CCSP
  process.
• Topics Discussions related to CCSPs three
  decision support goals
• Prepare scientific syntheses and assessments
  (national and international)
• Develop and illustrate adaptive management and
  planning capabilities.
• Develop and evaluate methods to support climate
  change policy inquiries
• Attendance gt700

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CCSP Workshop

• Sessions
• Plenaries (e.g., Drs. Mahoney and Cicerone, Sen.
  Stevens, et al)
• Assessments Breakouts by CCSP Goal
• Adaptive management Breakouts by Sector
• Water, Energy, Coastal, Ecosystems, Air Quality
• Results Wide range of decision-support-relevant
  input to CCSP regarding, e.g.,
• Emerging applications
• Research and assessment imperatives
• Stakeholder engagement
• Communication
• Post workshop survey 86 would attend a similar
  workshop in the future 62 said that the
  workshop was above average or among the best

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Our Changing Planet FY06
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OFCM CCSP Intersections

• OFCM Mission To ensure the effective use of
  federal meteorological resources by leading the
  systematic coordination of operational weather
  requirements and services, and supporting
  research, among the federal agencies.
• CCSP Mission To facilitate the creation and
  application of knowledge of the Earths global
  environment through research, observations,
  decision support, and communication.

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Generic Description of CCSP IWG Roles

• The Interagency Working Groups (IWG) plan,
  coordinate, evaluate, and report on interagency
  implementation of the research and related
  activities described in the U.S. Climate Change
  Science Programs (CCSP) Strategic Plan. The
  IWGs responsibilities include but are not
  limited to
• 1. Convening Federal program managers. The IWGs
  will provide a mechanism for regular interagency
  consultation.
• 2. Evaluating progress. The IWGs will evaluate
  the extent to which relevant aspects of the
  Strategic Plans scientific questions and
  priorities are being addressed.
• 3. Identifying emerging needs. The IWGs will
  identify program gaps or needs essential to
  achieving the objectives outlined in the
  Strategic Plan.
• 4. Planning and coordinating activities. The IWGs
  will plan and coordinate approaches for
  addressing relevant needs. This includes the
  development of single- or multi-agency efforts
  which increase the overall efficacy and/or reduce
  redundancy of U.S. activities related to CCSPs
  goals, or that fill gaps identified by the IWG.
• 4. Reporting. The IWGs will provide relevant
  contributions to CCSPs annual report (Our
  Changing Planet), including documentation of the
  level of progress toward each of the relevant
  Milestones, Products, and Payoffs and Research
  Questions from the Strategic Plan.
• 5. Interacting with relevant segments of the
  science community. The IWGs will develop
  mechanisms that facilitate interactions with
  relevant segments of the science community to
  provide input on science planning, identification
  of research needs, and evaluation of program
  implementation.
• 6. Advising on relevant Synthesis and Assessment
  (SA) Products. The IWGs should review relevant
  SA prospectus and report drafts and provide
  feedback to the SA product leads.
• 7. Serving as a point of contact. The IWG will
  serve as a two-way point of contact between the
  CCSP (including its Director, CCSPO, and other
  IWGs) and relevant agency programs. The IWG is
  also responsible for coordinating and
  communicating with appropriate international
  counterparts.

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Committee for Climate Analysis, Monitoring and
Services

• The Committee for Climate Analysis, Monitoring
  and Services (CCMS) shall be the principal means
  for effecting continuing coordination on current
  and programmed activities within its assigned
  areas and recommending changes to more
  efficiently utilize resources in meeting valid
  user requirements and addressing policy matters
  and issues as they relate to climate monitoring
  and services, including the following
• Climate Modeling, Assessment, Analysis, and
  Prediction
• Climate Services
• Research
• Long-Term Environmental Change
• Long-Term Data Sets
• Relevant Climate Issues (Global Warming, Seasonal
  Variations, Ozone Depletion, Aerosols and
  Atmospheric Chemistry)
• The Committee shall be responsible for
• Collecting and consolidating agency mission needs
  within the Committee's focus areas.
• Identifying the high pay-off, cross-cutting
  issues which will serve as the basis for
  prioritizing future interagency efforts.
• Planning and executing strategies for addressing
  deficiencies in these cross-cutting issues. Where
  applicable, Working Groups will serve as the
  Committee's executive agents for specific areas
  of focus.
• Empowering Joint Action Groups (JAG) to work on
  specific projects of limited duration. The
  Committee will develop objectives for a JAG and
  specify a well-defined deliverable, such as a
  Federal plan or report.
• Reporting to ICMSSR periodically on the
  Committee's activities and accomplishments and
  considering other matters as directed by ICMSSR.

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OFCM CCSP Intersections

• Climate, e.g.,
• CCSP Climate Variability and Change / Modeling
  IWG
• OFCM Committee for Climate Analysis, Monitoring
  and Services
• Observations, e.g.,
• CCSP Observations IWG
• OFCM Committee for Integrated Observing Systems
• Decision Support, e.g.,
• CCSP Human Contributions and Responses
  Interagency Working Group (IWG) and, e.g., CCSP
  SA Product 5.1 - Uses and limitations of climate
  information in decision support
• OFCM CCAMS product survey

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OFCM CCSP Intersections

• General Recommendation
• The interface between CCSP and OFCM should focus
  on the transition of research and products
  developed in CCSP to the operational and service
  environments under OFCMs purview.
• Particularly vital in light of the 200
  milestones, products, and payoffs being produced
  in accordance with the CCSP Strategic Plan, as
  well as the 21 Synthesis Assessment Products.
• How can these products be put to their fullest
  use?
• An OFCM CCSP linkage could yield significant
  benefits in this regard.

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• Thanks!
• (Background slides to follow.)

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Committee for Integrated Observing Systems

• The Committee shall be responsible for
• Collecting and consolidating agency mission
  needs within the Committee's focus areas.
• Identifying the high pay-off, cross-cutting
  issues which will serve as the basis for
  prioritizing future interagency efforts.
• Planning and executing strategies for addressing
  deficiencies in these cross-cutting issues. Where
  applicable, Working Groups will serve as the
  Committee's executive agents for specific areas
  of focus e.g., meteorological codes, or
  communications interfaces and data exchange.
• Empowering Joint Action Groups (JAG) to work on
  specific projects of limited duration. The
  Committee will develop objectives for a JAG and
  specify a well-defined deliverable, such as a
  Federal plan or report.
• Reporting to ICMSSR periodically on the
  Committee's activities and accomplishments and
  considering other matters as directed by ICMSSR.

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CCSP Interagency Working Groups

• Atmospheric Composition
• Climate Variability and Change (incl. Modeling
  Sub-Group)
• Global Water Cycle
• Land-Use and Land-Cover Change
• Global Carbon Cycle
• Ecosystems
• Human Contributions and Responses
• Observations (incl. Data Mgmt. Sub-Group)
• Communications
• International
• Financial Operations