The EU energy research modeling tools and the highlevel group on hydrogen and fuel cells

1
International Energy Workshop organized by
EMF/IEA/IIASA Laxenburg, Austria, 24-26 June 2003
The EU energy research modeling tools and the
high-level group on hydrogen and fuel cells
Domenico Rossetti di Valdalbero European
Commission, DG Research Tel. [phone]
Fax [phone] E-mail domenico.rossetti-di
-valdalbero_at_cec.eu.int
2
DRIVING FORCES

• Sustainable Development
• Gothenburg Summit
• Kyoto Protocol
• Johannesburg Conclusions
• Research Policy
• Lisbon Strategy
• European Research Area
• Barcelona Summit
• SD, global change and ecosystems
• Green Paper Towards a European Strategy for the
  security of energy supply
• White Paper European Transport Policy for 2010
  Time to decide
• The EC 6th EAP Environment 2010 our future,
  our choice

3
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND
ECOSYSTEMS (PRIORITY 6 of the 6th RTD FP)

• Sustainable energy systems (810 M)
• Short and medium term impact (DG TREN)
• Medium and long term impact (DG RTD)
• Sustainable surface transport (610 M)
• Global change and ecosystems (700 M)

4
SHORT AND MEDIUM-TERM RESEARCH ACTIONS (405 M)

• Clean energy, in particular renewables
• Cost effective supply
• Large scale integration
• Energy savings and energy efficiency
• Eco-buildings
• Polygeneration
• Alternative motor fuels

5
MEDIUM AND LONG-TERMRESEARCH ACTIONS (405 M)

• Fuel cells, including their applications
• New technologies for energy carriers,
  particularly H2
• New and advanced concepts in renewable energy
  technologies
• Capture and sequestration of CO2
• Socio-economic tools and concepts for energy
  strategy

6
INSTRUMENTS

• NEW
• Integrated Projects (IP)
• Networks of Excellence (NoE)
• TRADITIONAL
• Specific Targeted Research Projects (STRP)
• Co-ordination Actions (CA)
• Specific Support Actions (SSA)

7
SOCIO-ECONOMIC (2003.ML)

• Social issues related to implementation of medium
  and long term energy technologies
• Quantitative and qualitative forecasting methods

Quantification of energy externalities
8
POLICY SUPPORT AND ANTICIPATING SCIENTIFIC AND
TECHNOLOGICAL NEEDS

• Policy-orientated research
• The development of tools, indicators and
• operational parameters for assessing
• sustainable transport and energy systems
• performance (economic, environmental and
  social)

9
EVALUATION CRITERIA (with Threshold marks)cf.
Annex B of the Work Programme
10
QUANTITATIVE TOOLS

• World energy model POLES
• European energy model PRIMES
• European general equilibrium model GEM-E3
• European econometric model NEMESIS
• Analytical framework for RES SAFIRE
• External costs accounting system EXTERNE
• Energy Technology Systems Analysis
  Programme ETSAP

11
QUANTITATIVE RESULTS

• World energy, Technology and climate policy
  Outlook - 2030 (WETO)
• European energy and transport - trends to 2030
• Assessing climate response options policy
  simulations - insights from using national and
  international models (ACROPOLIS) - in
  collaboration with the International Energy
  Agency

12
QUALITATIVE TOOLS

• Delphi method for energy technologies (2030)
• Public opinion perception (Eurobarometer)
• Energy technology indicators
• Participatory methods

13
POLICY-USE OF QUANTITATIVE TOOLS

• Proposal for a directive of the EP and of the
  Council on the promotion of electricity from
  renewable energy sources in the internal
  electricity market - COM(2000)279
• Use of SAFIRE model
• Green paper - Towards a European strategy for the
  security of energy supply - COM(2000)769
• Use of PRIMES and POLES models

14
POLICY-USE OF QUANTITATIVE TOOLS

• Green Paper on Greenhouse gas emissions trading
  within the European Union - COM(2000)87 final
• Use of PRIMES and POLES models
• Community guidelines on state aid for
  environmental protection - OJEC C 37/3
• Use of EXTERNE accounting framework

15
HIGH-LEVEL GROUP ON HYDROGEN AND FUEL CELLS

• Established in October 2002 by Commissioners de
  Palacio and Busquin
• Composed of the main H2 and FC stakeholders
  (research community, industry, public authorities
  and end-users)
• Requested to provide a collective vision
  outlining the research, deployment and
  non-technical actions needed

16
H2 PRIMARY ENERGY SOURCES, ENERGY CONVERTERS AND
APPLICATIONS
PS Sizes of sectors have no connection with
current or expected markets
17
FC TECHNOLOGIES, FUELS AND APPLICATIONS
AFC Alkaline Fuel Cells DMFC Direct
Methanol Fuel Cell PAFC Phosphoric Acid Fuel
Cell PEM Proton Exchange Membrane FC MCFC
Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell SOFC Solid Oxide
Fuel Cell
PS Sizes of sectors have no connection with
current or expected markets
18
KEY ELEMENTS AND DRIVERS FOR A STRATEGIC RESEARCH
AGENDA
19
SKELETON FOR A EUROPEAN H2 AND FUEL CELL ROADMAP
20
RECOMMENDATIONS

• Creation of a coherent policy framework
  (transport, energy and environment) rewarding
  technologies meeting policy objectives
• Substantially increase energy RTD budget
• Extend demonstration and pilot programmes
• Support and integrate socio-economic research
• Bringing together financing organisations
• Europe-wide education and training programme
• Enhancing international cooperation and
  communication

21
CONCLUSIONS

• Constant and durable link among European
  researchers from various disciplines
• A scientific reference system to support
  decision-makers
• To combine quantitative and qualitative
  approaches
• Permanent peer-review of tools and
  methodologies
• Researchers should foresee and anticipate policy
  needs (Roadmap)