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BCC Flow Charts

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Title: BCC Flow Charts


1
Presentation for Pima County Environmental
Quality Advisory Committee
Travis Bean University of Arizona
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Sonoran Desert vegetation poorly adapted to fire
5
Mapped Distribution in Arizona Sonora
Pima County
Santa Catalina Mts
Sea of Cortez
FrioCananea
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Buffelgrass patches on South slope of Catalina
Mts. in subdivisions will coalesce in 5-10 yrs
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Soldier Canyon, Santa Catalina Mountains
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Buffelgrass connects pricey developments in the
foothills with woody fuels higher up the Catalina
Mountains
AZ Upland
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Impacts of Buffelgrass Invasion
  • Irreversible transformation of Sonoran Desert to
    monospecific grassland
  • Impacts on prominent national parks and
    conservation initiatives, including land
    acquisition for preservation
  • Increasing demands mitigation requirements to
    protect threatened and endangered species
  • Escalating fire risks suppression costs in
    previously fireproof landscape
  • Reduced tourism property values

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Buffelgrass Invasion Fire risk in Catalina
Foothills
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1996
buffelgrass
Sabino Mountain Estates Buffelgrass Expansion
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1998
Sabino Mountain Estates Buffelgrass Expansion
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2002
Sabino Mountain Estates Buffelgrass Expansion
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2005
Sabino Mountain Estates Buffelgrass Expansion
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What is being done to address the buffelgrass
crisis?
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http//wwwpaztcn.wr.usgs.gov/buffelgrass
Outreach
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Courtesy of my old next door neighbor, AZ Daily
Star cartoonist David Fitzimmons
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Sonoran Desert Weedwackers
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Buffelgrass Eradication Day, March 1
Pima Assoc. of Governments
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Buffelgrass crisis will eventually require aerial
spraying of herbicides to slow down spread on
remote, steep terrain. This will require
community buy-in.
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Buffelgrass Summit, Feb. 9, 2007, Starr Pass
Marriott Resort
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  • Minimize spread in areas where buffelgrass not
    yet established
  • Implement control priorities based on actual
    potential impacts
  • Restore treated areas in ways that increase
    resilience against future invasion
  • In areas where control is no longer feasible,
    mitigate fire risks to life property
  • Motivate legislation aimed at sustaining the
    control effort
  • Create a template for invasive sp mgmt in AZ

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Principal Invasive Grasses Fueling Wildfires in
the American Deserts
Bromus tectorum cheatgrass
Schismus arabicus Schismus barbatus Mediterranean
grass
Bromus rubens red brome
Pennisetum ciliare buffelgrass
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At which threshold is this unmanageable/irreversib
le?
Carrying Capacity
Saturation Phase
Effective Control Unlikely without Massive
resource Inputs
Quarantine Priority Stage
Eradication Priority Stage
Control Priority Stage
Control costs
Invader abundance
Fire
Expansion Phase
Colonization Phase
Time
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Invader abundance, Fuel Connectivity Wildfire
Size
Nonlinear due toincreasingconnectivity
Average fire size
Invader Abundance (Time)
37
Recent Invasives-Driven Wildfires in the Western
U.S.
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July 2002 Mustang Fire, Dutch John Mountain
16,000 acres
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July 2006 Sawtooth Complex Fire
61,700 acres
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June 2005 Cave Creek Complex Fire
243,950 acres
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Buffelgrass Attributes
  • Perennial C4 bunchgrass from Africa/S. Asia
  • Individuals can live 20 yrs
  • Swollen stem bases allow it to store carbs
    survive grazing, drought fire
  • Apomictic, seeds viable for up to 4 yrs
  • Susceptible to cold
  • Introduced throughout subtropics escapes readily
  • Fire temperatures gt1000F, gt12 flames

42
Where are we on the logistic growth curve for
buffelgrass?
Hermosillo
Tucson
Control costs
Invader abundance
Fire
Phoenix
Southern Baja
Time
43
Mapped Distribution in Arizona Sonora
Pima County
Santa Catalina Mts
Sea of Cortez
FrioCananea
44
Catalina Mts
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Buffelgrass patches on South slope of Catalina
Mts. in subdivisions will coalesce in 5-10 yrs
Photo taken November 2007
46
Buffelgrass connects pricey developments in the
desert foothills with woody fuels higher up the
Catalina Mountains
AZ Upland
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Buffelgrass invasion rates must be taken into
account
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1996
buffelgrass
Sabino Mountain Estates Buffelgrass Expansion
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1998
Sabino Mountain Estates Buffelgrass Expansion
51
2002
Sabino Mountain Estates Buffelgrass Expansion
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2005
Sabino Mountain Estates Buffelgrass Expansion
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Plan B Adaptation What we should start doing
to minimize impacts as desert become more
flammable
Plan A- Mitigation What we must do to prevent
desert from becoming more flammable
54
What is being done?
Buffelgrass Summit 02/09/07
Completed 03/01/2008
Volunteer efforts since 2000
Southern Arizona Buffelgrass Coordination Center
(SABCC) Nov 2008
55
www.buffelgrass.org
56
Sara Smallhouse SoAZ Leadership
Jim Kiser SoAZ Leadership
Mike Hein, City Manager, City of Tucson
Chuck Huckelberry Pima Co. Administrator
Rick Hodges, President Tucson Assoc. of Realtors
Tom Brandhuber, Chief Rural Metro
Dennis Dickerson Pima Assoc of Gov
Lisa Lovallo So Az VP, Cox Communications
Steve Lynn VP, TEP
57
Sarah Craighead Saguaro Natl Park
Rick Brucsa AZ-Sonora Desert Museum
Lisa Graumlich University of AZ
Julio Betancourt USGS
Jeanine Derby Forest Service
Mike Taylor BLM
Marilyn Hanson Sonoran Desert Weedwackers
Alix Rogstad AZ-Sonora Desert Museum
58
Whats neededRegional Coordination
  • Demonstration Rapid Response Teams
  • Provide expertise
  • Demonstration plots
  • Research treatment options
  • Seasonal crews
  • Rapid mobilization
  • Fiduciary Agent
  • Public Private Funds
  • Donations
  • Grant Management
  • Informational Clearinghouse
  • Mapping Inventory Data
  • Treatments
  • Research (Results Gaps)
  • Policy
  • Resource and Learning Center
  • Volunteers
  • General Public
  • Media (Public Campaigns)

59
SABCC Organizational Chart
RED SABCC bare bones model BLACK SABCC
fully developed model
60
Examples of Performance Metrics 0-2 yrs
  • Raise minimum of 2 million in cash
  • Consistent policies (adopted and enforceable)
  • Establish routine treatments by all jurisdictions
  • Buffelgrass management on 1,000 acres (treated)
  • 200 financial contributors
  • Hot Spots identified in Strategic Plan fully
    mapped
  • Total volunteer hours increased by 10,000 hours
  • Annual updates to Strategic Plan
  • 25 of HOAs have complete buffelgrass removal
  • 10 of businesses qualify for a Certificate of
    Removal
  • Contingency plan approved by public, non-profit,
    and corporate stakeholders
  • Protocols developed and revised
  • Host first biennial meeting (Year 2)
  • Public awareness survey (baseline)
  • Advise key stakeholders (SAHBA, utilities,
    conservation, insurance, tourism, etc.)
  • Fire Risk Assessment for all of Southern Arizona

61
Examples of Performance Metrics 3-5 yrs
  • Endowment fund of 10M (minimum)
  • Re-negotiate MOU/MOAs for staffing support of BCC
  • Buffelgrass management on 5,000 acres (1,000 ac
    re-treated)
  • 400 financial contributors
  • Online interactive map functional and used by 80
    of partners
  • Entire region (as identified in Strategic Plan)
    fully mapped
  • 1,000 acres effectively controlled
  • Annual updates to Strategic Plan
  • 50 of HOAs have complete buffelgrass removal
  • 50 of businesses qualify for a Certificate of
    Removal
  • Report on effective treatments (based on
    monitoring products), restoration, and
    contingency plans
  • Public awareness survey (Year 3 or 4)
  • Protocols developed and revised
  • Host biennial meeting (Year 4)
  • Advise key stakeholders (SAHBA, utilities,
    conservation groups, insurance, tourism, etc.)
  • Reduce risk of fires in open spaces and protected
    areas to 100 acres

62
Examples of Performance Metrics 6-10 yrs
  • Buffelgrass management on 10,000 acres (5,000 ac
    re-treated)
  • Financial contributions of 1M/year
  • 1,000 acres effectively controlled
  • Annual updates to Strategic Plan
  • 100 of HOAs have complete buffelgrass removal
  • 100 of businesses qualify for a Certificate of
    Removal
  • Report on effective treatments (based on
    monitoring products),
  • restoration, and contingency plans
  • Public awareness survey (Year 9)
  • Protocols developed and revised
  • Host biennial meetings (Year 6, Year 8, Year 10)
  • Advise key stakeholders (SAHBA, utilities,
    conservation groups,
  • insurance, tourism, etc.)
  • Reduce risk of fires in open spaces and protected
    areas to 100 acres

63
Travis Bean520.621.8589bean_at_email.arizona.edu bu
ffelgrass.org
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