Title: Mergers
1Mergers AcquisitionsStrategies for Todays
Economy
Philip W. Reitz
May 25, 2000
Financial Executives Institute Annual
Leadership Conference
William Blair Company Limited Liability Company
2Presentation Overview
- Is This a Good Time to Sell Your Business?
- Recent MA Activity
- Implications From Internet Explosion
- How to Sell Your Business
3Who Is Phil Reitz?
- BA in Economics from Northwestern
- MBA from Stanford Arjay Miller Scholar
- Six Years with First Boston in 1980s
- Principal in William Blair Co.s MA Group
Specializing in Middle Market, Sell-Side
Advisories - 17 Years of Investment Banking Experience
4- Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
5Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
YES!
6Best Indication Is High Volume
Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
7Drivers for High Volume
Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
- Stock Market Health
- Cost and Availability of Debt
- Motivated Buyers
- Both Corporate and Investment Funds
8Stock Market Health Historical P/E Ratios
Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
9Consistently High Premiums
Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
10Interest Rates Still Historically Low
Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
11Motivated Corporate Buyers
Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
1999 vs.
1Q 2000 vs.
1998
1Q 1999
Real GDP Growth
4.1
5.0
Corporate Profit Growth
8.8
N/A
Average SP 500 Promised EPS Growth
18.0
1) Corporations Are Feeling Good About Economy
and
Current Business Prospects
2) Corporation Must Buy
To Keep Up With Promised Growth
12Motivated Financial Buyers
Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
Add Debt Huge Buying Power Huge
Motivation to Do Deals
13Scorecard
Is This a Good Time To Sell Your Business?
1 to 10 Scale
- Stock Market
- Debt Market
- Motivated Buyers
- Corporate
- Financial
8 5 7 9
29 of 40
14 15High MA Volume
Recent MA Activity
Number of
Overall Deal
Transactions
Volume
1Q 2000
2,488
495.7 Billion
Best Ever Quarter For Each Statistic
Source MergerStat
16MA Volume by Size of Deal
Recent MA Activity
Lots of Big Deals
1 Billion
70 Mega
-
Deals
399.3 Billion
Best Ever Quarter For Each Statistic
Lots of Medium Sized Deals
25
-
250 Million Deals
351 Deals
33.1 Billion
Best Ever Quarter For Each Statistic
17Driving Trends
Recent MA Activity
- More European Activity Up 89 from 1998 to 1999
- More Internet Activity 70 of 1Q 2000 MA
Announced Deal Were Internet-related Vs. 25 in
1Q 1999
18- Implications From Internet Explosion
19Historical Perspective
Implications From Internet Explosion
20Traditional Valuation Techniques Do Not Fit
Internet
Implications From Internet Explosion
21Internet Valuation Techniques
Implications From Internet Explosion
22Biggest Lesson On Internet MA
Implications From Internet Explosion
When You Are Buying Potential, Make Sure You Get
the People Who Will Turn Potential Into Reality
- Tactics
- Decide Who Stays and Who Goes Quickly
- Establish Stay Bonuses and Option Plan Deep Into
Organization - Consider Non-standard Compensation
- Day Care
- Sabbaticals
- Dress Code
23Other Lessons for Internet MA
Implications From Internet Explosion
- Auction Process Takes Too Long
- Internet Speed is Faster than Five Months
- Must Always Be on the Make for a Partner
- Must Sell Concept of Deal
- Stocks Trade on Potential Not Here Now
- Deals Can Change the Perception of That Concept
24- How to Sell Your Business
25How to Sell Your Business
Step One Hire an Investment Banker
26Three Big Issues
How to Sell Your Business
Valuation
Potential Buyers
Sale Process
27Valuation
How to Sell Your Business
- Numerous Techniques
- Comparable Public Company Multiples, Comparable
Acquisition Multiples, Discounted Cash Flow,
Theoretical Leveraged Buyout, Buyer Accretion,
Value of Goodwill, Discounted Future Stock Price,
etc., etc. - Correct Value
- Surround Value with Analysis
- Result of Auction
- Application of Judgment
28Decide How Valuation Will Be Used
How to Sell Your Business
- In true auction, preliminary valuation is wasted
effort - Constructive Uses for Valuation
- Asking Price Focuses Discussion but Limits
Upside - Walk-away Price Needed in Negotiated Deal
29Potential Buyers
How to Sell Your Business
Financial Buyers with Portfolio Company
Corporate Buyers
FinancialBuyers
30Potential Buyers
How to Sell Your Business
31Potential Buyers Who Pays More?
How to Sell Your Business
32Alternative Marketing Approaches
How to Sell Your Business
Closed Negotiation
Open Auction
Targeted Solicitation
Evaluate interested parties and existing offers
Method
Solicit offers from any interested parties
Explore short list of most-likely buyers
No new disclosure
Disclosure ofIntent to Sell
Press release
Limited disclosure
Parties able to complete transaction on favorable
terms
Pre-screening
Very little
Strategic and financial fit
Three or fewer
Number of Potential Buyers
Typically fifteen or more
Five to ten
10 weeks or less
ApproximateTime Required
Four months or more
Three to four months
33Process Timeframe
How to Sell Your Business
Twenty Weeks
Formal Marketing Effort
Final Bids and Negotiation
Buyer Due Diligence
Prepare Confidential Memorandum
Plan Strategy and Conduct Due Diligence
34QA