The Woo Group RBC Wealth Management Hong Kong USA - Turbulence Ahead?

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Title: The Woo Group RBC Wealth Management Hong Kong USA - Turbulence Ahead?


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The Woo Group RBC Wealth Management Hong Kong USA
  • Monthly Overview Turbulence Ahead?

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  • A late-month rally allowed munis to post positive
    performance numbers in June, returning 0.09. For
    2014, performance has been an impressive 6.00.
    However, recent monthly returns have been on a
    declining trend, and we think munis will likely
    struggle to duplicate the strong H1 2014
    performance. Coincidentally, this slowdown in
    performance comes as the Federal Reserve enters a
    period where it could be considering how to best
    communicate its monetary policy exit strategy
    without invoking a repeat of the 2013 taper
    tantrum. The Federal Reserve, at its most recent
    meeting, repeated that current accommodative
    monetary policy will remain in place for a
    considerable period as the economy slowly
    recovers. That being said, with recent stronger
    employment and inflation readings, the
    more-hawkish members of the Federal Reserve Board
    are growing restless, analysts are grinding their
    teeth over the Federal Reserve falling behind the
    (inflation) curve, and even Fed Chair Janet
    Yellen warned against becoming complacent because
    rates wont stay low forever. We still believe
    interest rate normalization will take years and
    will be an uneven process. However, as the Fed
    refines its messaging plan, markets could
    experience some turbulence. We recommend
    investors take advantage of these periods of
    volatility to add bonds to their portfolios at
    cheaper prices.

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  • In this issue of Municipal Market Insight
  •  
  • Muni pillars of support have recently shown signs
    of stress. We offer our thoughts, or concerns, on
    what we see as some cracks beginning to form in
    some of the factors which have been supporting
    the muni market in recent months.
  •  
  • Pension funding shortfalls roil the muni markets
    and scare investors. We address the Pension
    Funding Conundrum and provide clarity and our
    perspective.
  • Has anyone heard there is an election this fall?
    We provide our thoughts on the recent defeat of
    former House Majority Leader Eric Cantor and the
    possible implications for the muni market.

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  • Our monthly Commonwealth of Puerto Rico Update
    covers the governments Public Corporation Debt
    Enforcement and Recovery Act, which is designed
    to allow certain government-related corporations
    to renegotiate terms of outstanding debt. We also
    discuss the governments rapid response to budget
    shortfalls.
  •  
  • Insurance Commentary reviews a motion filed by
    several insurers to delay Detroits bankruptcy
    trial.
  •  
  • Municipal Market Headline Events provides clarity
    on recent news items covering Detroit and the
    State of Michigan, the State of New Jersey, New
    York State and the City of New York Metropolitan
    Transit Authority, San Bernardino, CA, and the
    Virgin Islands.
  • See this here
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