Title: Elder Care Services
 1Elder Care Services 
 2 Summary
US demand to be driven by demographic 
changes Through 2018, growth in US elder care 
service revenues will be stimulated by 
demographic changes, especially by the large 
baby boom generation entering retirement years 
and longer life expectancies. Both of these 
trends will contribute to the rising size of the 
older population. Growth in elder care services 
will be further spurred by modified regulations, 
as improved coverage of these services, 
especially through Medicare, allows for greater 
flexibility and more choices for patients. Elder 
care service providers compete functionally with 
informal caregivers, typically family members 
however, a growing number of older adults either 
do not have family members who are able to care 
for them or simply prefer using professional 
care. 
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 3Home healthcare will be fastest growing 
segment In 2013, skilled nursing facilities, 
with 45 percent of the total, accounted for the 
largest share of elder care service revenue. 
However, home healthcare is projected to exhibit 
faster growth. Advances will be driven by the 
shift in preference among the older population to 
age in place, remaining in their homes as long as 
possible, as well as by regulatory changes that 
improve coverage of these home-based services. 
The ability of more seniors to utilize home-based 
services rather than institutional care will be 
further aided by advancements in medical 
technology, such as remote monitoring and a new 
generation of personal emergency response 
systems. Continuing care retirement communities 
(CCRCs) will also see growth, as housing markets 
improve and housing values increase, boosting the 
ability of elderly individuals to raise money for 
the steep entry fees at CCRCs. 
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 4More seniors appreciate the less institutional 
feel and convenience of lifetime care from 
independent living as opposed to skilled nursing 
care at a single location. Social services (e.g., 
senior centers, adult day care, companion 
services, non-medical home care or homemaker 
services, respite care, and group support 
services) will also see increased demand. Such 
nonmedical care can postpone or negate the need 
for more expensive skilled nursing facilities or 
other institutional care services. The growing 
availability of home and community based Medicaid 
waivers will further benefit the market. Assisted 
living provides similar non-medical care, but in 
an institutional setting. 
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 5Government programs will remain leading pay 
source Government programs remain the leading 
payment source for the elder care service 
industry, despite efforts to rein in 
expenditures. In 2013, Medicaid and Medicare 
combined to account for more than half of 
payments for elder care services. This dominance 
makes elder care service industry highly reliant 
on and reactive to government reimbursements 
changes in reimbursement rates, coverage, or 
eligibility can have a significant impact on the 
industry. Out-of-pocket expenditures continue to 
be essential for continuing care communities and 
assisted living facilities, as many non-medical 
care costs are not covered by Medicare or 
Medicaid. Private insurance usage will see 
aboveaverage gains in light of both the longterm 
care insurance industry maturing as more seniors 
have coverage and consumer concerns over the 
governmentss ability to pay for future elder 
care needs. Other payment sources include 
charitable donations, private grants, and other 
government resources such as the US Veterans 
Administration.
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 6 Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION ix I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY II. MARKET 
ENVIRONMENT General Demographic 
Trends Macroeconomic Outlook Consumer Spending 
Trends Building Construction Trends Business 
Establishment Trends Service Sector 
Outlook Healthcare Trends National Health 
Expenditures Medical Conditions Chronic 
Conditions Acute Conditions 
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 7To view the full Executive Summary and Table of 
Contents, please visit Elder Care 
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