Unusual Options Activity In PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF $UUP PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Title: Unusual Options Activity In PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF $UUP


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  • OPTIONS TRADING

Unusual Options Activity In PowerShares DB US
Dollar Bullish ETF UUP
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  • Hi, My name is Steve and Im with Options Trading
    Research, today were reviewing our recently
    published article

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  • Unusual Options Activity In PowerShares DB US
    Dollar Bullish ETF UUP

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  • As many of you know, unusual options activity can
    be a valuable indicator as to what traders are
    thinking, and more importantly, where these
    stocks are heading in the short-term.

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  • This is something professional options traders
    pay a lot of attention to, and for good reason
    Unusual options activity can tip off big moves
    in a stock, either up or down.

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  • So lets take a look at some interesting
    activity that caught our eye this week
  • PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF UUP is a
    popular method for investing in the US dollar.

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  • The ETF compares the dollar against a basket of
    six major world currencies. For a good
    description of the fund, follow the link.
  • UUP is trading at 24.68, up 2 for the year.
    Thats 7 below the 52-week high, and 12 from
    the 52-week low.

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  • So what does unusual options activity in UUP tell
    us?

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  • Buying UUP is the equivalent of investing in the
    US dollar (such as buying treasury bonds). The
    difference is the ETF is being tracked against a
    basket of six world currencies rather than being
    a standalone fixed income product.

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  • Regardless, the stronger the dollar, the better
    UUP does. The dollar has been particularly strong
    lately despite ultra low rates. Thats
    essentially because the US economy has been the
    strongest in the world.

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  • Relative to just about everywhere else, the
    dollar is still the safest currency out there.
    Heres the dealThis week, a trader bought a huge
    block of calls on UUP.

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  • Keep in mind, a call option makes money when the
    underlying stock or ETF goes higher.
    Specifically, a trader purchased 50,000 September
    25 calls for 0.10.

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  • The total cash collected for this trade is
    roughly 500,000. Breakeven point for the trade
    is 25.10. Given the open interest, this trade
    is clearly an opening position.
  • Heres the chart of UUP

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  • UUP has dropped below the 50-day average the past
    few days due to the correction in equity markets.
    However, the steep losses look they hit a bottom
    and may be in the process of reversing.

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  • This trade suggests the dollars retreat is at an
    end. Whats more, with emerging market economies
    looking fragile, the dollar is once again being
    recognized as the safest play to be.

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  • The trader was able to buy the calls for just 10
    cents because UUP doesnt move all that much
    (like most currency ETFs). However, the ETF
    price could very easily climb above 25 by
    September expiration

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  • . In addition, the call price doesnt have to
    appreciate that much in order for the trade to be
    a big winner. Thats the benefit of buying
    50,000 calls!

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  • More Options Trading Ideas

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  • Keep in mind, theres a lot more unusual options
    activity going on than what we discuss here. We
    just try to bring you what we feel are the most
    significant ones and the ones you might actually
    be able to make some money on!

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